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Distributions module#

statista.distributions.Distributions #

Facade for working with probability distributions.

Distributions can be used in two modes:

  1. Single-distribution mode: pass a distribution name to wrap a specific distribution and delegate all method calls to it.
  2. Multi-distribution mode: pass only data (no distribution name) and use fit / best_fit to compare all distributions.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
distribution str | None

Name of the distribution to use. Must be one of the keys in available_distributions ('GEV', 'Gumbel', 'Exponential', 'Normal'). If None, no single distribution is wrapped — use fit or best_fit instead.

None
data list | ndarray | None

Data time series as a list or numpy array.

None
parameters dict[str, Any] | Parameters | None

Distribution parameters as a Parameters instance or a dictionary (auto-converted).

Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)

None

Attributes:

Name Type Description
available_distributions dict[str, type[AbstractDistribution]]

Registry mapping distribution names to their classes.

distribution AbstractDistribution | None

The underlying distribution instance (None in multi-distribution mode).

Raises:

Type Description
ValueError

If the distribution name is not in available_distributions.

ValueError

If neither distribution nor data is provided.

Examples:

  • Single-distribution mode — wrap a Gumbel and fit:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
    >>> dist = Distributions("Gumbel", data=data)
    >>> params = dist.fit_model(method="lmoments", test=False)
    >>> params.loc is not None
    True
    >>> params.scale is not None
    True
    
  • Multi-distribution mode — find the best fit in one call:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
    >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
    >>> best_name, best_info = dist.best_fit() # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
    -----KS Test--------
    ...
    >>> best_name
    'GEV'
    
  • Create a distribution from known parameters:
    >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions, Parameters
    >>> params = Parameters(loc=500, scale=200)
    >>> dist = Distributions("Normal", parameters=params)
    >>> dist.parameters.loc
    500
    
  • Invalid distribution name raises ValueError:
    >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
    >>> Distributions("InvalidDist", data=[1, 2, 3])
    Traceback (most recent call last):
        ...
    ValueError: InvalidDist not supported
    
See Also

Gumbel: Gumbel (Extreme Value Type I) distribution. GEV: Generalized Extreme Value distribution. Exponential: Exponential distribution. Normal: Normal (Gaussian) distribution.

Source code in src/statista/distributions/facade.py
class Distributions:
    """Facade for working with probability distributions.

    ``Distributions`` can be used in two modes:

    1. **Single-distribution mode**: pass a distribution name to wrap a
       specific distribution and delegate all method calls to it.
    2. **Multi-distribution mode**: pass only data (no distribution name)
       and use ``fit`` / ``best_fit`` to compare all distributions.

    Args:
        distribution: Name of the distribution to use. Must be one of the
            keys in ``available_distributions`` ('GEV', 'Gumbel',
            'Exponential', 'Normal'). If None, no single distribution is
            wrapped — use ``fit`` or ``best_fit`` instead.
        data: Data time series as a list or numpy array.
        parameters: Distribution parameters as a ``Parameters`` instance
            or a dictionary (auto-converted).
            ```python
            Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
            ```

    Attributes:
        available_distributions (dict[str, type[AbstractDistribution]]):
            Registry mapping distribution names to their classes.
        distribution (AbstractDistribution | None): The underlying
            distribution instance (None in multi-distribution mode).

    Raises:
        ValueError: If the distribution name is not in
            ``available_distributions``.
        ValueError: If neither distribution nor data is provided.

    Examples:
        - Single-distribution mode — wrap a Gumbel and fit:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
            >>> dist = Distributions("Gumbel", data=data)
            >>> params = dist.fit_model(method="lmoments", test=False)
            >>> params.loc is not None
            True
            >>> params.scale is not None
            True

            ```
        - Multi-distribution mode — find the best fit in one call:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
            >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
            >>> best_name, best_info = dist.best_fit() # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
            -----KS Test--------
            ...
            >>> best_name
            'GEV'

            ```
        - Create a distribution from known parameters:
            ```python
            >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions, Parameters
            >>> params = Parameters(loc=500, scale=200)
            >>> dist = Distributions("Normal", parameters=params)
            >>> dist.parameters.loc
            500

            ```
        - Invalid distribution name raises ValueError:
            ```python
            >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
            >>> Distributions("InvalidDist", data=[1, 2, 3])
            Traceback (most recent call last):
                ...
            ValueError: InvalidDist not supported

            ```

    See Also:
        Gumbel: Gumbel (Extreme Value Type I) distribution.
        GEV: Generalized Extreme Value distribution.
        Exponential: Exponential distribution.
        Normal: Normal (Gaussian) distribution.

    """

    available_distributions: dict[str, type[AbstractDistribution]] = {
        "GEV": GEV,
        "Gumbel": Gumbel,
        "Exponential": Exponential,
        "Normal": Normal,
    }

    def __init__(
        self,
        distribution: str | None = None,
        data: list | np.ndarray | None = None,
        parameters: dict[str, Any] | Parameters | None = None,
    ):
        if distribution is not None:
            if distribution not in self.available_distributions:
                raise ValueError(f"{distribution} not supported")
            if data is None and parameters is None:
                raise ValueError(
                    "data or parameters must be provided when"
                    " specifying a distribution"
                )
            dist_class = self.available_distributions[distribution]
            self.distribution: AbstractDistribution | None = dist_class(
                data, parameters
            )
            self.__data = None
        else:
            if data is None:
                raise ValueError("Either distribution or data must be provided")
            self.distribution = None
            self.__data = np.array(data)

    @property
    def _data(self) -> np.ndarray | None:
        """Return the raw data array.

        In single-distribution mode, delegates to the underlying
        distribution's data to avoid storing a redundant copy. In
        multi-distribution mode, returns the locally stored array.
        """
        if self.distribution is not None:
            return self.distribution.data
        return self.__data

    def __getattr__(self, name: str):
        """Delegate attribute access to the underlying distribution instance.

        Any attribute or method not defined directly on ``Distributions``
        is looked up on the wrapped distribution object. This allows
        transparent access to ``pdf``, ``cdf``, ``fit_model``, ``ks``,
        ``chisquare``, ``inverse_cdf``, ``confidence_interval``, ``plot``,
        and all other methods of the concrete distribution.

        Args:
            name: Attribute name to look up.

        Returns:
            The attribute from the underlying distribution instance.

        Raises:
            AttributeError: If neither ``Distributions`` nor the underlying
                distribution has the requested attribute.
        """
        if self.distribution is not None:
            try:
                return getattr(self.distribution, name)
            except AttributeError:
                pass
        raise AttributeError(
            f"'{type(self).__name__}' object has no attribute '{name}'"
        )

    def fit(
        self,
        method: str = "lmoments",
        distributions: list[str] | None = None,
    ) -> dict[str, dict[str, Any]]:
        """Fit multiple distributions to the data and evaluate goodness of fit.

        Fits each distribution using the specified method, then runs both
        the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Chi-square goodness-of-fit tests. NaN
        values are removed and the data is sorted before fitting.

        Args:
            method: Fitting method ('mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', or
                'optimization'). Default is 'lmoments'.
            distributions: List of distribution names to fit. If None,
                fits all available distributions ('GEV', 'Gumbel',
                'Exponential', 'Normal').

        Returns:
            Dictionary keyed by distribution name, each value is a dict
            containing:
                - 'distribution': the fitted ``AbstractDistribution``
                  instance
                - 'parameters': ``Parameters`` instance (e.g.,
                  ``Parameters(loc=..., scale=...)``)
                - 'ks': tuple of (statistic, p-value) from the
                  Kolmogorov-Smirnov test
                - 'chisquare': tuple of (statistic, p-value) from the
                  Chi-square test

        Raises:
            ValueError: If a distribution name is not in
                ``available_distributions``.

        Examples:
            - Fit all distributions and inspect the result keys:
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
                >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
                >>> results = dist.fit() # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
                -----KS Test--------
                ...
                >>> sorted(results.keys())
                ['Exponential', 'GEV', 'Gumbel', 'Normal']

                ```
            - Fit only a subset of distributions:
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
                >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
                >>> results = dist.fit(
                ...     distributions=["Gumbel", "GEV"]
                ... ) # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
                -----KS Test--------
                ...
                >>> sorted(results.keys())
                ['GEV', 'Gumbel']

                ```
            - Access fitted parameters and KS p-value:
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
                >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
                >>> results = dist.fit(
                ...     distributions=["Gumbel"]
                ... ) # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
                -----KS Test--------
                ...
                >>> results["Gumbel"]["parameters"].loc is not None
                True
                >>> bool(0 <= results["Gumbel"]["ks"][1] <= 1)
                True

                ```

        See Also:
            best_fit: Fit all distributions and directly return the best
                one.

        """
        valid_methods = ("mle", "mm", "lmoments", "optimization")
        if method not in valid_methods:
            raise ValueError(f"method must be one of {valid_methods}, got '{method}'")

        data = np.array(self._data)
        data = data[~np.isnan(data)]
        data = np.sort(data)

        dist_names = (
            distributions
            if distributions is not None
            else list(self.available_distributions.keys())
        )

        if not dist_names:
            raise ValueError("distributions list must not be empty")

        results: dict[str, dict[str, Any]] = {}
        for name in dist_names:
            if name not in self.available_distributions:
                raise ValueError(f"{name} not supported")

            dist_class = self.available_distributions[name]
            dist_instance = dist_class(data=data)
            parameters = dist_instance.fit_model(method=method, test=False)
            ks_result = dist_instance.ks()
            chisquare_result = dist_instance.chisquare()

            results[name] = {
                "distribution": dist_instance,
                "parameters": parameters,
                "ks": ks_result,
                "chisquare": chisquare_result,
            }

        return results

    def best_fit(
        self,
        method: str = "lmoments",
        distributions: list[str] | None = None,
        criterion: str = "ks",
    ) -> tuple[str, dict[str, Any]]:
        """Find the best-fitting distribution for the data.

        Fits all (or selected) distributions and returns the one with
        the highest goodness-of-fit p-value.

        Args:
            method: Fitting method ('mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', or
                'optimization'). Default is 'lmoments'.
            distributions: List of distribution names to fit. If None,
                fits all available distributions.
            criterion: Goodness-of-fit criterion for selection.
                'ks' selects by highest Kolmogorov-Smirnov p-value.
                'chisquare' selects by highest Chi-square p-value.
                Default is 'ks'.

        Returns:
            Tuple of (distribution_name, result_dict) for the best fit.
            The result dict contains:
                - 'distribution': the fitted distribution instance
                - 'parameters': ``Parameters`` instance
                - 'ks': (statistic, p-value) tuple
                - 'chisquare': (statistic, p-value) tuple

        Raises:
            ValueError: If ``criterion`` is not 'ks' or 'chisquare'.

        Examples:
            - Find the best distribution directly from data:
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
                >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
                >>> best_name, best_info = dist.best_fit() # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
                -----KS Test--------
                ...
                >>> best_name
                'GEV'
                >>> best_info["parameters"].shape is not None
                True

                ```
            - Select by Chi-square criterion among specific distributions:
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
                >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
                >>> best_name, best_info = dist.best_fit(
                ...     distributions=["Gumbel", "GEV"],
                ...     criterion="chisquare",
                ... ) # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
                -----KS Test--------
                ...
                >>> best_name in ("Gumbel", "GEV")
                True

                ```

        See Also:
            fit: Fit multiple distributions and return all results.

        """
        if criterion not in ("ks", "chisquare"):
            raise ValueError(
                f"criterion must be 'ks' or 'chisquare', got '{criterion}'"
            )

        results = self.fit(method=method, distributions=distributions)

        best_name = next(iter(results))
        best_p_value = -1.0
        for name, info in results.items():
            p_value = info[criterion][1]
            if p_value > best_p_value:
                best_p_value = p_value
                best_name = name

        return best_name, results[best_name]

__getattr__(name) #

Delegate attribute access to the underlying distribution instance.

Any attribute or method not defined directly on Distributions is looked up on the wrapped distribution object. This allows transparent access to pdf, cdf, fit_model, ks, chisquare, inverse_cdf, confidence_interval, plot, and all other methods of the concrete distribution.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
name str

Attribute name to look up.

required

Returns:

Type Description

The attribute from the underlying distribution instance.

Raises:

Type Description
AttributeError

If neither Distributions nor the underlying distribution has the requested attribute.

Source code in src/statista/distributions/facade.py
def __getattr__(self, name: str):
    """Delegate attribute access to the underlying distribution instance.

    Any attribute or method not defined directly on ``Distributions``
    is looked up on the wrapped distribution object. This allows
    transparent access to ``pdf``, ``cdf``, ``fit_model``, ``ks``,
    ``chisquare``, ``inverse_cdf``, ``confidence_interval``, ``plot``,
    and all other methods of the concrete distribution.

    Args:
        name: Attribute name to look up.

    Returns:
        The attribute from the underlying distribution instance.

    Raises:
        AttributeError: If neither ``Distributions`` nor the underlying
            distribution has the requested attribute.
    """
    if self.distribution is not None:
        try:
            return getattr(self.distribution, name)
        except AttributeError:
            pass
    raise AttributeError(
        f"'{type(self).__name__}' object has no attribute '{name}'"
    )

fit(method='lmoments', distributions=None) #

Fit multiple distributions to the data and evaluate goodness of fit.

Fits each distribution using the specified method, then runs both the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Chi-square goodness-of-fit tests. NaN values are removed and the data is sorted before fitting.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
method str

Fitting method ('mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', or 'optimization'). Default is 'lmoments'.

'lmoments'
distributions list[str] | None

List of distribution names to fit. If None, fits all available distributions ('GEV', 'Gumbel', 'Exponential', 'Normal').

None

Returns:

Name Type Description
dict[str, dict[str, Any]]

Dictionary keyed by distribution name, each value is a dict

containing dict[str, dict[str, Any]]
  • 'distribution': the fitted AbstractDistribution instance
  • 'parameters': Parameters instance (e.g., Parameters(loc=..., scale=...))
  • 'ks': tuple of (statistic, p-value) from the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test
  • 'chisquare': tuple of (statistic, p-value) from the Chi-square test

Raises:

Type Description
ValueError

If a distribution name is not in available_distributions.

Examples:

  • Fit all distributions and inspect the result keys:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
    >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
    >>> results = dist.fit() # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
    -----KS Test--------
    ...
    >>> sorted(results.keys())
    ['Exponential', 'GEV', 'Gumbel', 'Normal']
    
  • Fit only a subset of distributions:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
    >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
    >>> results = dist.fit(
    ...     distributions=["Gumbel", "GEV"]
    ... ) # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
    -----KS Test--------
    ...
    >>> sorted(results.keys())
    ['GEV', 'Gumbel']
    
  • Access fitted parameters and KS p-value:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
    >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
    >>> results = dist.fit(
    ...     distributions=["Gumbel"]
    ... ) # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
    -----KS Test--------
    ...
    >>> results["Gumbel"]["parameters"].loc is not None
    True
    >>> bool(0 <= results["Gumbel"]["ks"][1] <= 1)
    True
    
See Also

best_fit: Fit all distributions and directly return the best one.

Source code in src/statista/distributions/facade.py
def fit(
    self,
    method: str = "lmoments",
    distributions: list[str] | None = None,
) -> dict[str, dict[str, Any]]:
    """Fit multiple distributions to the data and evaluate goodness of fit.

    Fits each distribution using the specified method, then runs both
    the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Chi-square goodness-of-fit tests. NaN
    values are removed and the data is sorted before fitting.

    Args:
        method: Fitting method ('mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', or
            'optimization'). Default is 'lmoments'.
        distributions: List of distribution names to fit. If None,
            fits all available distributions ('GEV', 'Gumbel',
            'Exponential', 'Normal').

    Returns:
        Dictionary keyed by distribution name, each value is a dict
        containing:
            - 'distribution': the fitted ``AbstractDistribution``
              instance
            - 'parameters': ``Parameters`` instance (e.g.,
              ``Parameters(loc=..., scale=...)``)
            - 'ks': tuple of (statistic, p-value) from the
              Kolmogorov-Smirnov test
            - 'chisquare': tuple of (statistic, p-value) from the
              Chi-square test

    Raises:
        ValueError: If a distribution name is not in
            ``available_distributions``.

    Examples:
        - Fit all distributions and inspect the result keys:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
            >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
            >>> results = dist.fit() # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
            -----KS Test--------
            ...
            >>> sorted(results.keys())
            ['Exponential', 'GEV', 'Gumbel', 'Normal']

            ```
        - Fit only a subset of distributions:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
            >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
            >>> results = dist.fit(
            ...     distributions=["Gumbel", "GEV"]
            ... ) # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
            -----KS Test--------
            ...
            >>> sorted(results.keys())
            ['GEV', 'Gumbel']

            ```
        - Access fitted parameters and KS p-value:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
            >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
            >>> results = dist.fit(
            ...     distributions=["Gumbel"]
            ... ) # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
            -----KS Test--------
            ...
            >>> results["Gumbel"]["parameters"].loc is not None
            True
            >>> bool(0 <= results["Gumbel"]["ks"][1] <= 1)
            True

            ```

    See Also:
        best_fit: Fit all distributions and directly return the best
            one.

    """
    valid_methods = ("mle", "mm", "lmoments", "optimization")
    if method not in valid_methods:
        raise ValueError(f"method must be one of {valid_methods}, got '{method}'")

    data = np.array(self._data)
    data = data[~np.isnan(data)]
    data = np.sort(data)

    dist_names = (
        distributions
        if distributions is not None
        else list(self.available_distributions.keys())
    )

    if not dist_names:
        raise ValueError("distributions list must not be empty")

    results: dict[str, dict[str, Any]] = {}
    for name in dist_names:
        if name not in self.available_distributions:
            raise ValueError(f"{name} not supported")

        dist_class = self.available_distributions[name]
        dist_instance = dist_class(data=data)
        parameters = dist_instance.fit_model(method=method, test=False)
        ks_result = dist_instance.ks()
        chisquare_result = dist_instance.chisquare()

        results[name] = {
            "distribution": dist_instance,
            "parameters": parameters,
            "ks": ks_result,
            "chisquare": chisquare_result,
        }

    return results

best_fit(method='lmoments', distributions=None, criterion='ks') #

Find the best-fitting distribution for the data.

Fits all (or selected) distributions and returns the one with the highest goodness-of-fit p-value.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
method str

Fitting method ('mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', or 'optimization'). Default is 'lmoments'.

'lmoments'
distributions list[str] | None

List of distribution names to fit. If None, fits all available distributions.

None
criterion str

Goodness-of-fit criterion for selection. 'ks' selects by highest Kolmogorov-Smirnov p-value. 'chisquare' selects by highest Chi-square p-value. Default is 'ks'.

'ks'

Returns:

Type Description
str

Tuple of (distribution_name, result_dict) for the best fit.

dict[str, Any]

The result dict contains: - 'distribution': the fitted distribution instance - 'parameters': Parameters instance - 'ks': (statistic, p-value) tuple - 'chisquare': (statistic, p-value) tuple

Raises:

Type Description
ValueError

If criterion is not 'ks' or 'chisquare'.

Examples:

  • Find the best distribution directly from data:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
    >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
    >>> best_name, best_info = dist.best_fit() # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
    -----KS Test--------
    ...
    >>> best_name
    'GEV'
    >>> best_info["parameters"].shape is not None
    True
    
  • Select by Chi-square criterion among specific distributions:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
    >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
    >>> best_name, best_info = dist.best_fit(
    ...     distributions=["Gumbel", "GEV"],
    ...     criterion="chisquare",
    ... ) # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
    -----KS Test--------
    ...
    >>> best_name in ("Gumbel", "GEV")
    True
    
See Also

fit: Fit multiple distributions and return all results.

Source code in src/statista/distributions/facade.py
def best_fit(
    self,
    method: str = "lmoments",
    distributions: list[str] | None = None,
    criterion: str = "ks",
) -> tuple[str, dict[str, Any]]:
    """Find the best-fitting distribution for the data.

    Fits all (or selected) distributions and returns the one with
    the highest goodness-of-fit p-value.

    Args:
        method: Fitting method ('mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', or
            'optimization'). Default is 'lmoments'.
        distributions: List of distribution names to fit. If None,
            fits all available distributions.
        criterion: Goodness-of-fit criterion for selection.
            'ks' selects by highest Kolmogorov-Smirnov p-value.
            'chisquare' selects by highest Chi-square p-value.
            Default is 'ks'.

    Returns:
        Tuple of (distribution_name, result_dict) for the best fit.
        The result dict contains:
            - 'distribution': the fitted distribution instance
            - 'parameters': ``Parameters`` instance
            - 'ks': (statistic, p-value) tuple
            - 'chisquare': (statistic, p-value) tuple

    Raises:
        ValueError: If ``criterion`` is not 'ks' or 'chisquare'.

    Examples:
        - Find the best distribution directly from data:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
            >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
            >>> best_name, best_info = dist.best_fit() # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
            -----KS Test--------
            ...
            >>> best_name
            'GEV'
            >>> best_info["parameters"].shape is not None
            True

            ```
        - Select by Chi-square criterion among specific distributions:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
            >>> dist = Distributions(data=data)
            >>> best_name, best_info = dist.best_fit(
            ...     distributions=["Gumbel", "GEV"],
            ...     criterion="chisquare",
            ... ) # doctest: +ELLIPSIS
            -----KS Test--------
            ...
            >>> best_name in ("Gumbel", "GEV")
            True

            ```

    See Also:
        fit: Fit multiple distributions and return all results.

    """
    if criterion not in ("ks", "chisquare"):
        raise ValueError(
            f"criterion must be 'ks' or 'chisquare', got '{criterion}'"
        )

    results = self.fit(method=method, distributions=distributions)

    best_name = next(iter(results))
    best_p_value = -1.0
    for name, info in results.items():
        p_value = info[criterion][1]
        if p_value > best_p_value:
            best_p_value = p_value
            best_name = name

    return best_name, results[best_name]

statista.distributions.PlottingPosition #

PlottingPosition.

Source code in src/statista/distributions/base.py
class PlottingPosition:
    """PlottingPosition."""

    @staticmethod
    def return_period(prob_non_exceed: list | np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray:
        """Return Period.

        Args:
            prob_non_exceed:
                non-exceedance probability.

        Returns:
            array:
                calculated return period.

        Examples:
            - First generate some random numbers between 0 and 1 as a non-exceedance probability. then use this non-exceedance
                to calculate the return period.
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> from statista.distributions import PlottingPosition
                >>> data = np.random.random(15)
                >>> rp = PlottingPosition.return_period(data)
                >>> print(rp) # doctest: +SKIP
                [ 1.33088992  4.75342173  2.46855419  1.42836548  2.75320582  2.2268505
                  8.06500888 10.56043917 18.28884687  1.10298241  1.2113997   1.40988022
                  1.02795867  1.01326322  1.05572108]

                ```
        """
        if any(np.asarray(prob_non_exceed) > 1):
            raise ValueError("Non-exceedance probability should be less than 1")
        prob_non_exceed = np.array(prob_non_exceed)
        t = 1 / (1 - prob_non_exceed)
        return t

    @staticmethod
    def weibul(data: list | np.ndarray, return_period: int = False) -> np.ndarray:
        """Weibul.

        Weibul method to calculate the cumulative distribution function cdf or
        return period.

        Args:
            data:
                list/array of the data.
            return_period:
                False to calculate the cumulative distribution function cdf or True to calculate the return period.
                Default=False

        Returns:
            cdf/T:
                cumulative distribution function or return period.

        Examples:
            ```python
            >>> data = [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10]
            >>> cdf = PlottingPosition.weibul(data)
            >>> print(cdf)
            [0.09090909 0.18181818 0.27272727 0.36363636 0.45454545 0.54545455
             0.63636364 0.72727273 0.81818182 0.90909091]

            ```
        """
        data = np.array(data)
        data.sort()
        n = len(data)
        cdf = np.array(range(1, n + 1)) / (n + 1)
        if not return_period:
            return cdf
        else:
            t = PlottingPosition.return_period(cdf)
            return t

return_period(prob_non_exceed) staticmethod #

Return Period.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
prob_non_exceed list | ndarray

non-exceedance probability.

required

Returns:

Name Type Description
array ndarray

calculated return period.

Examples:

  • First generate some random numbers between 0 and 1 as a non-exceedance probability. then use this non-exceedance to calculate the return period.
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import PlottingPosition
    >>> data = np.random.random(15)
    >>> rp = PlottingPosition.return_period(data)
    >>> print(rp) # doctest: +SKIP
    [ 1.33088992  4.75342173  2.46855419  1.42836548  2.75320582  2.2268505
      8.06500888 10.56043917 18.28884687  1.10298241  1.2113997   1.40988022
      1.02795867  1.01326322  1.05572108]
    
Source code in src/statista/distributions/base.py
@staticmethod
def return_period(prob_non_exceed: list | np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray:
    """Return Period.

    Args:
        prob_non_exceed:
            non-exceedance probability.

    Returns:
        array:
            calculated return period.

    Examples:
        - First generate some random numbers between 0 and 1 as a non-exceedance probability. then use this non-exceedance
            to calculate the return period.
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import PlottingPosition
            >>> data = np.random.random(15)
            >>> rp = PlottingPosition.return_period(data)
            >>> print(rp) # doctest: +SKIP
            [ 1.33088992  4.75342173  2.46855419  1.42836548  2.75320582  2.2268505
              8.06500888 10.56043917 18.28884687  1.10298241  1.2113997   1.40988022
              1.02795867  1.01326322  1.05572108]

            ```
    """
    if any(np.asarray(prob_non_exceed) > 1):
        raise ValueError("Non-exceedance probability should be less than 1")
    prob_non_exceed = np.array(prob_non_exceed)
    t = 1 / (1 - prob_non_exceed)
    return t

weibul(data, return_period=False) staticmethod #

Weibul.

Weibul method to calculate the cumulative distribution function cdf or return period.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
data list | ndarray

list/array of the data.

required
return_period int

False to calculate the cumulative distribution function cdf or True to calculate the return period. Default=False

False

Returns:

Type Description
ndarray

cdf/T: cumulative distribution function or return period.

Examples:

>>> data = [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10]
>>> cdf = PlottingPosition.weibul(data)
>>> print(cdf)
[0.09090909 0.18181818 0.27272727 0.36363636 0.45454545 0.54545455
 0.63636364 0.72727273 0.81818182 0.90909091]
Source code in src/statista/distributions/base.py
@staticmethod
def weibul(data: list | np.ndarray, return_period: int = False) -> np.ndarray:
    """Weibul.

    Weibul method to calculate the cumulative distribution function cdf or
    return period.

    Args:
        data:
            list/array of the data.
        return_period:
            False to calculate the cumulative distribution function cdf or True to calculate the return period.
            Default=False

    Returns:
        cdf/T:
            cumulative distribution function or return period.

    Examples:
        ```python
        >>> data = [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10]
        >>> cdf = PlottingPosition.weibul(data)
        >>> print(cdf)
        [0.09090909 0.18181818 0.27272727 0.36363636 0.45454545 0.54545455
         0.63636364 0.72727273 0.81818182 0.90909091]

        ```
    """
    data = np.array(data)
    data.sort()
    n = len(data)
    cdf = np.array(range(1, n + 1)) / (n + 1)
    if not return_period:
        return cdf
    else:
        t = PlottingPosition.return_period(cdf)
        return t

statista.distributions.Gumbel #

Bases: AbstractDistribution

Gumbel distribution (Maximum - Right Skewed) for extreme value analysis.

The Gumbel distribution is used to model the distribution of the maximum (or the minimum) of a number of samples of various distributions. It is commonly used in hydrology, meteorology, and other fields to model extreme events like floods, rainfall, and wind speeds.

The Gumbel distribution is a special case of the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution with shape parameter ξ = 0.

Attributes:

Name Type Description
_data ndarray

The data array used for distribution calculations.

_parameters Parameters

Distribution parameters (loc and scale).

  • The probability density function (PDF) of the Gumbel distribution is:

    \[ f(x; \zeta, \delta) = \frac{1}{\delta} \exp\left(-\frac{x - \zeta}{\delta}\right) \exp\left(-\exp\left(-\frac{x - \zeta}{\delta}\right)\right) \]

    Where \(\zeta\) (zeta) is the location parameter and \(\delta\) (delta) is the scale parameter.

  • The cumulative distribution function (CDF) is:

    \[ F(x; \zeta, \delta) = \exp\left(-\exp\left(-\frac{x - \zeta}{\delta}\right)\right) \]
  • The location parameter \(\zeta\) shifts the distribution along the x-axis, determining the mode (peak) of the distribution. It can range from negative to positive infinity.

  • The scale parameter \(\delta\) controls the spread of the distribution. A larger scale parameter results in a wider distribution. It must always be positive.
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
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class Gumbel(AbstractDistribution):
    """Gumbel distribution (Maximum - Right Skewed) for extreme value analysis.

    The Gumbel distribution is used to model the distribution of the maximum (or the minimum)
    of a number of samples of various distributions. It is commonly used in hydrology,
    meteorology, and other fields to model extreme events like floods, rainfall, and wind speeds.

    The Gumbel distribution is a special case of the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV)
    distribution with shape parameter ξ = 0.

    Attributes:
        _data (np.ndarray): The data array used for distribution calculations.
        _parameters (Parameters): Distribution parameters (loc and scale).

    - The probability density function (PDF) of the Gumbel distribution is:

        $$
        f(x; \\zeta, \\delta) = \\frac{1}{\\delta}
        \\exp\\left(-\\frac{x - \\zeta}{\\delta}\\right)
        \\exp\\left(-\\exp\\left(-\\frac{x - \\zeta}{\\delta}\\right)\\right)
        $$

        Where \\(\\zeta\\) (zeta) is the location parameter and \\(\\delta\\) (delta)
        is the scale parameter.

    - The cumulative distribution function (CDF) is:

        $$
        F(x; \\zeta, \\delta) = \\exp\\left(-\\exp\\left(-\\frac{x - \\zeta}{\\delta}\\right)\\right)
        $$

    - The location parameter \\(\\zeta\\) shifts the distribution along the x-axis, determining
      the mode (peak) of the distribution. It can range from negative to positive infinity.
    - The scale parameter \\(\\delta\\) controls the spread of the distribution. A larger scale
      parameter results in a wider distribution. It must always be positive.
    """

    def __init__(
        self,
        data: list | np.ndarray | None = None,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    ):
        """Initialize a Gumbel distribution with data or parameters.

        Args:
            data:
                Data time series as a list or numpy array.
            parameters:
                Distribution parameters.
                - loc (numeric):
                    Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
                - scale (numeric):
                    Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
                ```python
                Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
                ```

        Raises:
            ValueError: If neither data nor parameters are provided.
            TypeError: If data is not a list or numpy array, or if parameters is not a dictionary.

        Examples:
            - Import necessary libraries
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel

                ```
            - Load sample data:
                ```python
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")

                ```
            - Initialize with data only
                ```python
                >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)

                ```
            - Initialize with both data and parameters
                ```python
                >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
                >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data, parameters)

                ```
            - Initialize with parameters only
                ```python
                >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(parameters=Parameters(loc=0, scale=1))

                ```
        """
        super().__init__(data, parameters)

    @staticmethod
    def _pdf_eq(data: list | np.ndarray, parameters: Parameters) -> np.ndarray:
        """Calculate the probability density function (PDF) values for Gumbel distribution.

        This method implements the Gumbel PDF equation:
        f(x; ζ, δ) = (1/δ) * exp(-(x-ζ)/δ) * exp(-exp(-(x-ζ)/δ))

        Args:
            data:
                Data points for which to calculate PDF values.
            parameters:
                Parameters instance containing:
                    - loc: Location parameter (ζ)
                    - scale: Scale parameter (δ), must be positive

        Returns:
            Numpy array containing the PDF values for each data point.

        Raises:
            ValueError: If the scale parameter is negative or zero.

        old code:
        ```python
        >>> ts = np.array([1, 2, 3, 4, 5]) # any value
        >>> loc = 0.0 # any value
        >>> scale = 1.0 # any value
        >>> z = (ts - loc) / scale
        >>> pdf = (1.0 / scale) * (np.exp(-(z + (np.exp(-z)))))

        ```
        """
        loc = parameters.loc
        scale = parameters.scale
        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

        pdf = gumbel_r.pdf(data, loc=loc, scale=scale)
        return pdf

    def pdf(  # type: ignore[override]
        self,
        plot_figure: bool = False,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
        data: list[float] | np.ndarray | None = None,
        *args: Any,
        **kwargs: Any,
    ) -> np.ndarray | tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any]:
        """Calculate the probability density function (PDF) values for Gumbel distribution.

        This method calculates the PDF values for the given data using the specified
        Gumbel distribution parameters. It can also generate a plot of the PDF.

        Args:
            plot_figure:
                Whether to generate a plot of the PDF. Default is False.
            parameters:
                    Distribution parameters.
                    - loc (Numberic):
                        Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
                    - scale (Numberic):
                        Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
                    ```python
                    Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
                    ```
                    If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.
            data:
                Data points for which to calculate PDF values. If None, uses the data provided during initialization.
            *args:
                Variable length argument list to pass to the parent class method.
            **kwargs:
                Arbitrary keyword arguments to pass to the plotting function.
                the possible keyword arguments are:
                    - fig_size:
                        Size of the figure as a tuple (width, height). Default is (6, 5).
                    - xlabel:
                        Label for the x-axis. Default is "Actual data".
                    - ylabel:
                        Label for the y-axis. Default is "pdf".
                    - fontsize:
                        Font size for plot labels. Default is 15.

        Returns:
            If plot_figure is False:
                Numpy array containing the PDF values for each data point.
            If plot_figure is True:
                Tuple containing:
                - Numpy array of PDF values
                - Figure object
                - Axes object

        Examples:
            - Import libraries:
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel

                ```
            - Load sample data:
                ```python
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")

                ```
            - Calculate PDF values with default parameters:
                ```python
                >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)
                >>> gumbel_dist.fit_model() # doctest: +SKIP
                -----KS Test--------
                Statistic = 0.019
                Accept Hypothesis
                P value = 0.9937026761524456
                Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108)
                >>> pdf_values = gumbel_dist.pdf() # doctest: +SKIP

                ```
            - Generate a PDF plot:
                ```python
                >>> pdf_values, fig, ax = gumbel_dist.pdf(
                ...     plot_figure=True,
                ...     xlabel="Values",
                ...     ylabel="Density",
                ...     fig_size=(8, 6)
                ... ) # doctest: +SKIP

                ```
                ![gamma-pdf](./../../_images/distributions/gamma-pdf-1.png)

            - Calculate PDF with custom parameters:
                ```python
                >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
                >>> pdf_custom = gumbel_dist.pdf(parameters=parameters)
                >>> print(pdf_custom) #doctest: +SKIP
                array([5.44630532e-02, 1.55313724e-01, 3.29857975e-01, 7.01082330e-02,
                       3.54572987e-01, 1.46804327e-01, 3.36843753e-01, 1.01491310e-01,
                       2.38861650e-01, 3.42034071e-01, 2.59606975e-01, 3.33403275e-01,
                       3.52075676e-01, 1.24617619e-01, 6.37994991e-02, 3.67871923e-01,
                       ...
                       2.12529308e-01, 3.13383427e-01, 3.62783762e-01, 4.09957082e-02,
                       2.61395400e-01, 2.58511435e-01, 1.94640967e-01, 3.37392659e-01])
                ```
        """
        result = super().pdf(
            parameters=parameters,
            data=data,
            plot_figure=plot_figure,
            *args,
            **kwargs,
        )  # type: ignore[misc]
        return result

    def random(
        self,
        size: int,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    ) -> tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any] | np.ndarray:
        """Generate random samples from the Gumbel distribution.

        This method generates random samples following the Gumbel distribution
        with the specified parameters.

        Args:
            size:
                Number of random samples to generate.
            parameters:
                    Distribution parameters.
                    - loc (Numberic):
                        Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
                    - scale (Numberic):
                        Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
                    ```python
                    Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
                    ```
                    If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.

        Returns:
            Numpy array containing the generated random samples.

        Raises:
            ValueError: If the parameters are not provided and not available from initialization.

        Examples:
            - import the required modules and generate random samples:
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
                >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
                >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(parameters=parameters)
                >>> random_data = gumbel_dist.random(1000)

                ```
            - Analyze the generated data:
                - Plot the PDF of the random data:
                ```python
                >>> _ = gumbel_dist.pdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")

                ```
                ![gamma-pdf](./../../_images/distributions/gamma-random-1.png)

                - Plot the CDF of the random data:
                    ```python
                    >>> _ = gumbel_dist.cdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")

                    ```
                    ![gamma-cdf](./../../_images/distributions/gamma-cdf-1.png)

            - Verify the parameters by fitting the model to the random data
                ```python
                >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data=random_data)
                >>> fitted_params = gumbel_dist.fit_model() #doctest: +SKIP
                -----KS Test--------
                Statistic = 0.018
                Accept Hypothesis
                P value = 0.9969602438295625
                >>> print(f"Fitted parameters: {fitted_params}") #doctest: +SKIP
                Fitted parameters: Parameters(loc=np.float64(-0.010212105435018243), scale=1.010287499893525)

                ```
            - Should be close to the original parameters Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
            ```
        """
        # if no parameters are provided, take the parameters provided in the class initialization.
        if parameters is None:
            parameters = self.parameters
        elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
            parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

        loc = parameters.loc  # type: ignore[union-attr]
        scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]
        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

        random_data = gumbel_r.rvs(loc=loc, scale=scale, size=size)
        return random_data

    @staticmethod
    def _cdf_eq(data: list | np.ndarray, parameters: Parameters) -> np.ndarray:
        """Calculate the cumulative distribution function (CDF) values for Gumbel distribution.

        This method implements the Gumbel CDF equation:
        F(x; ζ, δ) = exp(-exp(-(x-ζ)/δ))

        Args:
            data: Data points for which to calculate CDF values.
            parameters: Parameters instance containing:
                - loc: Location parameter (ζ)
                - scale: Scale parameter (δ), must be positive

        Returns:
            Numpy array containing the CDF values for each data point.

        Raises:
            ValueError: If the scale parameter is negative or zero.

        old code:
        ```python
        >>> ts = np.array([1, 2, 3, 4, 5]) # any value
        >>> loc = 0.0 # any value
        >>> scale = 1.0 # any value
        >>> z = (ts - loc) / scale
        >>> cdf = np.exp(-np.exp(-z))

        ```
        """
        loc = parameters.loc
        scale = parameters.scale
        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

        cdf = gumbel_r.cdf(data, loc=loc, scale=scale)
        return cdf

    def cdf(  # type: ignore[override]
        self,
        plot_figure: bool = False,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
        data: list[float] | np.ndarray | None = None,
        *args: Any,
        **kwargs: Any,
    ) -> (
        np.ndarray | tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Axes]
    ):  # pylint: disable=arguments-differ
        """Calculate the cumulative distribution function (CDF) values for Gumbel distribution.

        This method calculates the CDF values for the given data using the specified
        Gumbel distribution parameters. It can also generate a plot of the CDF.

        Args:
            plot_figure:
                Whether to generate a plot of the CDF. Default is False.
            parameters:
                Distribution parameters.
                - loc:
                    Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
                - scale:
                    Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
                ```python
                Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
                ```
                If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.
            data:
                Data points for which to calculate CDF values. If None, uses the data provided during initialization.
            *args:
                Variable length argument list to pass to the parent class method.
            **kwargs:
                - fig_size:
                    Size of the figure as a tuple (width, height). Default is (6, 5).
                - xlabel:
                    Label for the x-axis. Default is "Actual data".
                - ylabel:
                    Label for the y-axis. Default is "cdf".
                - fontsize:
                    Font size for plot labels. Default is 15.

        Returns:
            If plot_figure is False:
                Numpy array containing the CDF values for each data point.
            If plot_figure is True:
                Tuple containing:
                - Numpy array of CDF values
                - Figure object
                - Axes object

        Examples:
            -  Load sample data:
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")

                ```
            -  Calculate CDF values with default parameters:
                ```python
                >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)
                >>> gumbel_dist.fit_model() # doctest: +SKIP
                -----KS Test--------
                Statistic = 0.019
                Accept Hypothesis
                P value = 0.9937026761524456
                Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108)
                >>> cdf_values = gumbel_dist.cdf() # doctest: +SKIP

                ```
            -  Generate a CDF plot:
                ```python
                >>> cdf_values, fig, ax = gumbel_dist.cdf(
                ...     plot_figure=True,
                ...     xlabel="Values",
                ...     ylabel="Probability",
                ...     fig_size=(8, 6)
                ... ) # doctest: +SKIP

                ```
                ![gamma-cdf](./../../_images/distributions/gamma-cdf-2.png)

            -  Calculate CDF with custom parameters:
                ```python
                >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
                >>> cdf_custom = gumbel_dist.cdf(parameters=parameters)

                ```
            -  Calculate exceedance probability (1-CDF):
                ```python
                >>> exceedance_prob = 1 - cdf_values # doctest: +SKIP

                ```
            ```
        """
        result = super().cdf(
            parameters=parameters,
            data=data,
            plot_figure=plot_figure,
            *args,
            **kwargs,
        )  # type: ignore[misc]
        return result

    def return_period(
        self,
        *,
        data: bool | list[float] | None = None,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    ) -> np.ndarray:
        """Calculate return periods for given data values.

        The return period is the average time between events of a given magnitude.
        It is calculated as 1/(1-F(x)), where F(x) is the cumulative distribution function.

        Args:
            data:
                Values for which to calculate return periods. Can be a single value, list, or array.
                If None, uses the data provided during initialization.
            parameters:
                Distribution parameters.
                - loc (Numeric):
                    Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
                - scale (Numeric):
                    Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
                ```
                Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
                ```
                If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.

        Returns:
            np.ndarray:
                Return periods corresponding to the input data values.
                - If input is a single value, returns a single value.
                - If input is a list or array, returns an array of return periods.

        Examples:
            - Import necessary libraries:
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel

                ```
            -  Calculate return periods for specific values
                ```python
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
                >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data=data, parameters=Parameters(loc=0, scale=1))
                >>> return_periods = gumbel_dist.return_period()

                ```
            -  Calculate the 100-year return level:
                - First, find the CDF value corresponding to a 100-year return period
                - F(x) = 1 - 1/T, where T is the return period
                ```python
                >>> cdf_value = 1 - 1/100

                ```
            - Then, find the quantile corresponding to this CDF value:
                ```python
                >>> return_level_100yr = gumbel_dist.inverse_cdf([cdf_value], parameters=Parameters(loc=0, scale=1))[0]
                >>> print(f"100-year return level: {return_level_100yr:.4f}")
                100-year return level: 4.6001

                ```
        """
        if data is None:
            ts: Any = self.data
        else:
            ts = data

        # if no parameters are provided, take the parameters provided in the class initialization.
        if parameters is None:
            parameters = self.parameters
        elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
            parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

        cdf: np.ndarray = self.cdf(parameters=parameters, data=ts)  # type: ignore[assignment]

        rp = 1 / (1 - cdf)

        return rp

    @staticmethod
    def truncated_distribution(opt_parameters: list[float], data: list[float]) -> float:
        """Calculate a negative log-likelihood for a truncated Gumbel distribution.

        This function calculates the negative log-likelihood of a Gumbel distribution
        that is truncated (i.e., the data only includes values above a certain threshold).
        It is used as an objective function for parameter optimization when fitting
        a truncated Gumbel distribution to data.

        This approach is useful when the dataset is incomplete or when data is only
        available above a certain threshold, a common scenario in environmental sciences,
        finance, and other fields dealing with extremes.

        Args:
            opt_parameters:
                List of parameters to optimize:
                    - opt_parameters[0]: Threshold value
                    - opt_parameters[1]: Location parameter (loc)
                    - opt_parameters[2]: Scale parameter (scale)
            data:
                Data points to fit the truncated distribution to.

        Returns:
            Negative log-likelihood value. Lower values indicate better fit.

        Notes:
            The negative log-likelihood is calculated as the sum of two components:
                - L1: Log-likelihood for values below the threshold
                - L2: Log-likelihood for values above the threshold

        Reference:
            https://stackoverflow.com/questions/23217484/how-to-find-parameters-of-gumbels-distribution-using-scipy-optimize

        Examples:
            - import the required modules and generate sample data:
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> from scipy.optimize import minimize
                >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
                >>> data = np.random.gumbel(loc=10, scale=2, size=1000)

                ```
            - Initial parameter guess [threshold, loc, scale]:
                ```python
                >>> initial_params = [5.0, 8.0, 1.5]

                ```
            - Optimize parameters:
                ```python
                >>> result = minimize(
                ...     Gumbel.truncated_distribution,
                ...     initial_params,
                ...     args=(data,),
                ...     method='Nelder-Mead'
                ... )

                ```
            - Extract optimized parameters:
                ```python
                >>> threshold, loc, scale = result.x
                >>> print(f"Optimized parameters: threshold={threshold}, loc={loc}, scale={scale}")
                Optimized parameters: threshold=4.0, loc=9.599999999999994, scale=1.5

                ```
        """
        threshold = opt_parameters[0]
        loc = opt_parameters[1]
        scale = opt_parameters[2]

        non_truncated_data = data[data < threshold]  # type: ignore[operator]
        nx2 = len(data[data >= threshold])  # type: ignore[arg-type, operator]
        # pdf with a scaled pdf
        # L1 is pdf based
        parameters = Parameters(loc=loc, scale=scale)
        pdf = Gumbel._pdf_eq(non_truncated_data, parameters)  # type: ignore[arg-type]
        #  the CDF at the threshold is used because the data is assumed to be truncated, meaning that observations below
        #  this threshold are not included in the dataset. When dealing with truncated data, it's essential to adjust
        #  the likelihood calculation to account for the fact that only values above the threshold are observed. The
        #  CDF at the threshold effectively normalizes the distribution, ensuring that the probabilities sum to 1 over
        #  the range of the observed data.
        cdf_at_threshold = 1 - Gumbel._cdf_eq(threshold, parameters)  # type: ignore[arg-type]
        # calculates the negative log-likelihood of a Gumbel distribution
        # Adjust the likelihood for the truncation
        # likelihood = pdf / (1 - adjusted_cdf)

        l1 = (-np.log((pdf / scale))).sum()
        # L2 is cdf based
        l2 = (-np.log(cdf_at_threshold)) * nx2

        return l1 + l2

    def fit_model(
        self,
        method: str = "mle",
        obj_func: Callable = None,
        threshold: None | float | int = None,
        test: bool = True,
    ) -> Parameters:
        """Estimate the parameters of the Gumbel distribution from data.

        This method fits the Gumbel distribution to the data using various estimation
        methods, including Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), Method of Moments (MM),
        L-moments, or custom optimization.

        When using the 'optimization' method with a threshold, the method employs two
        likelihood functions:
            - L1: For values below the threshold
            - L2: For values above the threshold

        The parameters are estimated by maximizing the product L1*L2.

        Args:
            method:
                Estimation method to use. Default is 'mle'.
                Options:
                    - 'mle' (Maximum Likelihood Estimation),
                    - 'mm' (Method of Moments),
                    - 'lmoments' (L-moments),
                    - 'optimization' (Custom optimization)
            obj_func (callable | None):
                Custom objective function to use for parameter estimation. Only used when method is 'optimization'.
                Default is None.
            threshold (float | int | None):
                Value above which to consider data points. If provided, only data points above this threshold are
                used for estimation when using the 'optimization' method. Default is None (use all data points).
            test:
                Whether to perform goodness-of-fit tests after estimation. Default is True.

        Returns:
            Parameters:
                - loc (Numeric):
                    Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
                - scale (Numeric):
                    Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution
                ```python
                Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
                ```

        Raises:
            ValueError: If an invalid method is specified or if required parameters are missing.

        Examples:
            - Import necessary libraries:
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel

                ```
            - Load sample data:
                ```python
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
                >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)

                ```
            - Fit using Maximum Likelihood Estimation (default):
                ```python
                >>> parameters = gumbel_dist.fit_model(method="mle", test=True)
                -----KS Test--------
                Statistic = 0.019
                Accept Hypothesis
                P value = 0.9937026761524456
                >>> print(parameters)
                Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108)

                ```
            - Fit using L-moments:
                ```python
                >>> parameters = gumbel_dist.fit_model(method="lmoments", test=True)
                -----KS Test--------
                Statistic = 0.019
                Accept Hypothesis
                P value = 0.9937026761524456
                >>> print(parameters)
                Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.006700226367219564), scale=np.float64(1.0531061622114444))

                ```
            - Fit using optimization with a threshold:
                ```python
                >>> threshold = np.quantile(data, 0.80)
                >>> print(threshold)
                1.5717000000000005
                >>> parameters = gumbel_dist.fit_model(
                ...     method="optimization",
                ...     obj_func=Gumbel.truncated_distribution,
                ...     threshold=threshold
                ... )
                Optimization terminated successfully.
                         Current function value: 0.000000
                         Iterations: 39
                         Function evaluations: 116
                -----KS Test--------
                Statistic = 0.107
                reject Hypothesis
                P value = 2.0977827855404345e-05

                ```
            # Note: When P value is less than the significance level, we reject the null hypothesis,
            # but in this case we're fitting the distribution to part of the data, not the whole data.
            ```
        """
        # obj_func = lambda p, x: (-np.log(Gumbel.pdf(x, p[0], p[1]))).sum()
        # #first we make a simple Gumbel fit
        # Par1 = so.fmin(obj_func, [0.5,0.5], args=(np.array(data),))
        method = super().fit_model(method=method)  # type: ignore[assignment]

        if method == "mle" or method == "mm":
            param_list: Any = list(gumbel_r.fit(self.data, method=method))
        elif method == "lmoments":
            lm = Lmoments(self.data)
            lmu = lm.calculate()
            param_list = Lmoments.gumbel(lmu)
        elif method == "optimization":
            if obj_func is None or threshold is None:
                raise TypeError("threshold should be numeric value")

            param_list = gumbel_r.fit(self.data, method="mle")
            # then we use the result as starting value for your truncated Gumbel fit
            param_list = so.fmin(
                obj_func,
                [threshold, param_list[0], param_list[1]],
                args=(self.data,),
                maxiter=500,
                maxfun=500,
            )
            param_list = [param_list[1], param_list[2]]
        else:
            raise ValueError(f"The given: {method} does not exist")

        param = Parameters(loc=param_list[0], scale=param_list[1])
        self.parameters = param

        if test:
            self.ks()
            self.chisquare()

        return param

    def inverse_cdf(
        self,
        cdf: np.ndarray | list[float] | None = None,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    ) -> np.ndarray:
        """Calculate the inverse of the cumulative distribution function (quantile function).

        This method calculates the theoretical values (quantiles) corresponding to the given
        CDF values using the specified Gumbel distribution parameters.

        Args:
            cdf: CDF values (non-exceedance probabilities) for which to calculate the quantiles.
                Values should be between 0 and 1.
            parameters (Parameters):
                If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.
                    - loc (Numeric):
                        Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
                    - scale (Numeric):
                        Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
                    ```python
                    Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
                ```

        Returns:
            Numpy array containing the quantile values corresponding to the given CDF values.

        Raises:
            ValueError: If any CDF value is less than or equal to 0 or greater than 1.

        Examples:
            - Load sample data and initialize distribution:
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
                >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
                >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data, parameters)

                ```
            - Calculate quantiles for specific probabilities:
                ```python
                >>> cdf = [0.1, 0.2, 0.4, 0.6, 0.8, 0.9]
                >>> data_values = gumbel_dist.inverse_cdf(cdf)
                >>> print(data_values) # doctest: +SKIP
                [-0.83403245 -0.475885 0.08742157 0.67172699 1.49993999 2.25036733]

                ```

            - Calculate return levels for specific return periods:
                ```python
                >>> return_periods = [10, 50, 100]
                >>> probs = 1 - 1/np.array(return_periods)
                >>> return_levels = gumbel_dist.inverse_cdf(probs)
                >>> print(f"10-year return level: {return_levels[0]:.2f}")
                10-year return level: 2.25
                >>> print(f"50-year return level: {return_levels[1]:.2f}")
                50-year return level: 3.90
                >>> print(f"100-year return level: {return_levels[2]:.2f}")
                100-year return level: 4.60

                ```
        """
        if parameters is None:
            parameters = self.parameters
        elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
            parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

        cdf = np.array(cdf)
        if np.any(cdf < 0) or np.any(cdf > 1):
            raise ValueError(CDF_INVALID_VALUE_ERROR)

        qth = self._inv_cdf(cdf, parameters)  # type: ignore[arg-type]

        return qth

    @staticmethod
    def _inv_cdf(cdf: np.ndarray | list[float], parameters: Parameters) -> np.ndarray:
        """Calculate the inverse CDF (quantile function) values for Gumbel distribution.

        This method implements the Gumbel inverse CDF equation:
        Q(p) = loc - scale * ln(-ln(p))

        Args:
            cdf: CDF values (non-exceedance probabilities) for which to calculate quantiles.
                Values should be between 0 and 1.
            parameters: Parameters instance containing:
                - loc: Location parameter (ζ)
                - scale: Scale parameter (δ), must be positive

        Returns:
            Numpy array containing the quantile values corresponding to the given CDF values.

        Raises:
            ValueError: If the scale parameter is negative or zero.
        """
        loc = parameters.loc
        scale = parameters.scale
        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

        qth = gumbel_r.ppf(cdf, loc=loc, scale=scale)

        return qth

    def ks(self) -> GoodnessOfFitResult:
        """Perform the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test for goodness of fit.

        This method tests whether the data follows the fitted Gumbel distribution using
        the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. The test compares the empirical CDF of the data
        with the theoretical CDF of the fitted distribution.

        Returns:
            Tuple:
                - 0:
                    D statistic: The maximum absolute difference between the empirical and theoretical CDFs.
                    The smaller the D statistic, the more likely the data follows the distribution.
                    The KS test statistic measures the maximum distance between the empirical CDF
                    (Weibull plotting position) and the CDF of the reference distribution.
                - 1:
                    p-value The probability of observing a D statistic as extreme as the one calculated, assuming the
                    null hypothesis is true (data follows the distribution).
                    A high p-value (close to 1) suggests that there is a high probability that the sample comes from
                    the specified distribution.
                    If p-value < significance level (typically 0.05), reject the null hypothesis.

        Raises:
            ValueError:
                If the distribution parameters have not been estimated.

        Examples:
            - Import necessary libraries and initialize the Gumbel distribution:
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel

                ```
            - Perform KS test:
                ```python
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
                >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)
                >>> gumbel_dist.fit_model()
                -----KS Test--------
                Statistic = 0.019
                Accept Hypothesis
                P value = 0.9937026761524456
                Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108)
                >>> d_stat, p_value = gumbel_dist.ks()
                -----KS Test--------
                Statistic = 0.019
                Accept Hypothesis
                P value = 0.9937026761524456

                ```
            - Interpret the results:
                ```python
                >>> alpha = 0.05
                >>> if p_value < alpha:
                ...     print(f"Reject the null hypothesis (p-value: {p_value:.4f} < {alpha})")
                ...     print("The data does not follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.")
                ... else:
                ...     print(f"Cannot reject the null hypothesis (p-value: {p_value:.4f} >= {alpha})")
                ...     print("The data may follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.")
                Cannot reject the null hypothesis (p-value: 0.9937 >= 0.05)
                The data may follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.

                ```
        """
        return super().ks()

    def chisquare(self) -> GoodnessOfFitResult:
        """Perform the Chi-square test for goodness of fit.

        This method tests whether the data follows the fitted Gumbel distribution using the Chi-square test. The test
        compares the observed frequencies with the expected frequencies under the fitted distribution.

        Returns:
            Tuple:
                - Chi-square statistic:
                    The test statistic measuring the difference between observed and expected frequencies.
                - p-value:
                    The probability of observing a Chi-square statistic as extreme as the one calculated,
                    assuming the null hypothesis is true (data follows the distribution).
                    If p-value < significance level (typically 0.05), reject the null hypothesis. Returns None if the test
                    fails due to an exception.

        Raises:
            ValueError:
                If the distribution parameters have not been estimated.

        Examples:
            - Perform Chi-square test:
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
                >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)
                >>> gumbel_dist.fit_model()
                -----KS Test--------
                Statistic = 0.019
                Accept Hypothesis
                P value = 0.9937026761524456
                Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108)
                >>> gumbel_dist.chisquare() #doctest: +SKIP

                ```
            - Interpret the results:
                ```python
                >>> alpha = 0.05
                >>> if p_value < alpha: #doctest: +SKIP
                ...     print(f"Reject the null hypothesis (p-value: {p_value:.4f} < {alpha})")
                ...     print("The data does not follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.")
                >>> else: #doctest: +SKIP
                ...     print(f"Cannot reject the null hypothesis (p-value: {p_value:.4f} >= {alpha})")
                ...     print("The data may follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.")
                ```
        """
        return super().chisquare()

    def confidence_interval(  # type: ignore[override]
        self,
        alpha: float = 0.1,
        prob_non_exceed: np.ndarray = None,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
        plot_figure: bool = False,
        **kwargs: Any,
    ) -> tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray] | tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray, Figure, Axes]:
        """Calculate confidence intervals for the Gumbel distribution quantiles.

        This method calculates the upper and lower bounds of the confidence interval
        for the quantiles of the Gumbel distribution. It can also generate a plot of the
        confidence intervals.

        Args:
            alpha (float):
                Significance level for the confidence interval. Default is 0.1 (90% confidence interval).
            prob_non_exceed: Non-exceedance probabilities for which to calculate quantiles.
                If None, uses the empirical CDF calculated using Weibull plotting positions.
            parameters (Parameters):
                If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.
                - loc (Numeric):
                    Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
                - scale (Numeric):
                    Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
                ```python
                Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
                ```
            plot_figure (bool):
                Whether to generate a plot of the confidence intervals. Default is False.
            **kwargs:
                Additional keyword arguments to pass to the plotting function.
                    - fig_size:
                        Size of the figure as a tuple (width, height). Default is (6, 6).
                    - fontsize:
                        Font size for plot labels. Default is 11.
                    - marker_size:
                        Size of markers in the plot.

        Returns:
            If plot_figure is False:
                Tuple containing:
                - Numpy array of upper bound values
                - Numpy array of lower bound values
            If plot_figure is True:
                Tuple containing:
                - Numpy array of upper bound values
                - Numpy array of lower bound values
                - Figure object
                - Axes object

        Raises:
            ValueError: If the scale parameter is negative or zero.

        Examples:
            - Load data and initialize distribution:
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
                >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
                >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=463.8040, scale=220.0724)
                >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data, parameters)

                ```
            - Calculate confidence intervals
                ```python
                >>> upper, lower = gumbel_dist.confidence_interval(alpha=0.1)

                ```
            - Generate a confidence interval plot:
                ```python
                >>> upper, lower, fig, ax = gumbel_dist.confidence_interval(
                ...     alpha=0.1,
                ...     plot_figure=True,
                ...     marker_size=10
                ... )
                >>> plt.show()

                ```
            ![image](./../../_images/distributions/gumbel-confidence-interval.png)
        """
        # if no parameters are provided, take the parameters provided in the class initialization.
        if parameters is None:
            parameters = self.parameters
        elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
            parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

        scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]
        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

        if prob_non_exceed is None:
            prob_non_exceed = PlottingPosition.weibul(self.data)

        qth = self._inv_cdf(prob_non_exceed, parameters)  # type: ignore[arg-type]
        y = [-np.log(-np.log(j)) for j in prob_non_exceed]
        std_error = [
            (scale / np.sqrt(len(self.data)))
            * np.sqrt(1.1087 + 0.5140 * j + 0.6079 * j**2)
            for j in y
        ]
        v = norm.ppf(1 - alpha / 2)
        q_upper = np.array([qth[j] + v * std_error[j] for j in range(len(qth))])
        q_lower = np.array([qth[j] - v * std_error[j] for j in range(len(qth))])

        if plot_figure:
            # if the prob_non_exceed is given, check if the length is the same as the data
            if len(prob_non_exceed) != len(self.data):
                raise ValueError(PROB_NON_EXCEEDENCE_ERROR)

            fig, ax = Plot.confidence_level(
                qth, self.data, q_lower, q_upper, alpha=alpha, **kwargs  # type: ignore[arg-type]
            )
            return q_upper, q_lower, fig, ax
        else:
            return q_upper, q_lower

    def plot(
        self,
        fig_size: tuple[float, float] = (10, 5),
        xlabel: str = PDF_XAXIS_LABEL,
        ylabel: str = "cdf",
        fontsize: int = 15,
        cdf: np.ndarray | list | None = None,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    ) -> tuple[Figure, tuple[Axes, Axes]]:  # pylint: disable=arguments-differ
        """Probability plot.

        Probability Plot method calculates the theoretical values based on the Gumbel distribution
        parameters, theoretical cdf (or weibul), and calculates the confidence interval.

        Args:
            fig_size: tuple, Default is (10, 5).
                Size of the figure.
            cdf: [np.ndarray]
                theoretical cdf calculated using weibul or using the distribution cdf function.
            fig_size: [tuple]
                Default is (10, 5)
            xlabel: [str]
                Default is "Actual data"
            ylabel: [str]
                Default is "cdf"
            fontsize: [float]
                Default is 15.
            parameters: Parameters
                Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
                - loc: [numeric]
                    location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
                - scale: [numeric]
                    scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.

        Returns:
            Figure:
                matplotlib figure object
            tuple[Axes, Axes]:
                matplotlib plot axes

        Examples:
        - Instantiate the Gumbel class with the data and the parameters:
            ```python
            >>> import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=463.8040, scale=220.0724)
            >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data, parameters)

            ```
        - To calculate the confidence interval, we need to provide the confidence level (`alpha`).
            ```python
            >>> fig, ax = gumbel_dist.plot()
            >>> print(fig)
            Figure(1000x500)
            >>> print(ax)
            (<Axes: xlabel='Actual data', ylabel='pdf'>, <Axes: xlabel='Actual data', ylabel='cdf'>)

            ```
            ![gumbel-plot](./../../_images/gumbel-plot.png)
        """
        # if no parameters are provided, take the parameters provided in the class initialization.
        if parameters is None:
            parameters = self.parameters
        elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
            parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

        scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]

        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

        if cdf is None:
            cdf = PlottingPosition.weibul(self.data)
        else:
            # if the cdf is given, check if the length is the same as the data
            if len(cdf) != len(self.data):
                raise ValueError(
                    "Length of cdf does not match the length of data, use the `PlottingPosition.weibul(data)` "
                    "to the get the non-exceedance probability"
                )

        q_x = np.linspace(
            float(self.data_sorted[0]), 1.5 * float(self.data_sorted[-1]), 10000
        )
        pdf_fitted: Any = self.pdf(parameters=parameters, data=q_x)
        cdf_fitted: Any = self.cdf(parameters=parameters, data=q_x)

        fig, ax = Plot.details(
            q_x,
            self.data,
            pdf_fitted,
            cdf_fitted,
            cdf,
            fig_size=fig_size,
            xlabel=xlabel,
            ylabel=ylabel,
            fontsize=fontsize,
        )

        return fig, ax

__init__(data=None, parameters=None) #

Initialize a Gumbel distribution with data or parameters.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
data list | ndarray | None

Data time series as a list or numpy array.

None
parameters Parameters | dict[str, float] | None

Distribution parameters. - loc (numeric): Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution - scale (numeric): Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)

Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)

None

Raises:

Type Description
ValueError

If neither data nor parameters are provided.

TypeError

If data is not a list or numpy array, or if parameters is not a dictionary.

Examples:

  • Import necessary libraries
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
    
  • Load sample data:
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
    
  • Initialize with data only
    >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)
    
  • Initialize with both data and parameters
    >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
    >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data, parameters)
    
  • Initialize with parameters only
    >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(parameters=Parameters(loc=0, scale=1))
    
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
def __init__(
    self,
    data: list | np.ndarray | None = None,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
):
    """Initialize a Gumbel distribution with data or parameters.

    Args:
        data:
            Data time series as a list or numpy array.
        parameters:
            Distribution parameters.
            - loc (numeric):
                Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
            - scale (numeric):
                Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
            ```python
            Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
            ```

    Raises:
        ValueError: If neither data nor parameters are provided.
        TypeError: If data is not a list or numpy array, or if parameters is not a dictionary.

    Examples:
        - Import necessary libraries
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel

            ```
        - Load sample data:
            ```python
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")

            ```
        - Initialize with data only
            ```python
            >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)

            ```
        - Initialize with both data and parameters
            ```python
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
            >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data, parameters)

            ```
        - Initialize with parameters only
            ```python
            >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(parameters=Parameters(loc=0, scale=1))

            ```
    """
    super().__init__(data, parameters)

pdf(plot_figure=False, parameters=None, data=None, *args, **kwargs) #

Calculate the probability density function (PDF) values for Gumbel distribution.

This method calculates the PDF values for the given data using the specified Gumbel distribution parameters. It can also generate a plot of the PDF.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
plot_figure bool

Whether to generate a plot of the PDF. Default is False.

False
parameters Parameters | dict[str, float] | None
Distribution parameters.
- loc (Numberic):
    Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
- scale (Numberic):
    Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
```python
Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
```
If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.
None
data list[float] | ndarray | None

Data points for which to calculate PDF values. If None, uses the data provided during initialization.

None
*args Any

Variable length argument list to pass to the parent class method.

()
**kwargs Any

Arbitrary keyword arguments to pass to the plotting function. the possible keyword arguments are: - fig_size: Size of the figure as a tuple (width, height). Default is (6, 5). - xlabel: Label for the x-axis. Default is "Actual data". - ylabel: Label for the y-axis. Default is "pdf". - fontsize: Font size for plot labels. Default is 15.

{}

Returns:

Type Description
ndarray | tuple[ndarray, Figure, Any]

If plot_figure is False: Numpy array containing the PDF values for each data point.

ndarray | tuple[ndarray, Figure, Any]

If plot_figure is True: Tuple containing: - Numpy array of PDF values - Figure object - Axes object

Examples:

  • Import libraries:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
    
  • Load sample data:
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
    
  • Calculate PDF values with default parameters:
    >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)
    >>> gumbel_dist.fit_model() # doctest: +SKIP
    -----KS Test--------
    Statistic = 0.019
    Accept Hypothesis
    P value = 0.9937026761524456
    Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108)
    >>> pdf_values = gumbel_dist.pdf() # doctest: +SKIP
    
  • Generate a PDF plot:

    >>> pdf_values, fig, ax = gumbel_dist.pdf(
    ...     plot_figure=True,
    ...     xlabel="Values",
    ...     ylabel="Density",
    ...     fig_size=(8, 6)
    ... ) # doctest: +SKIP
    
    gamma-pdf

  • Calculate PDF with custom parameters:

    >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
    >>> pdf_custom = gumbel_dist.pdf(parameters=parameters)
    >>> print(pdf_custom) #doctest: +SKIP
    array([5.44630532e-02, 1.55313724e-01, 3.29857975e-01, 7.01082330e-02,
           3.54572987e-01, 1.46804327e-01, 3.36843753e-01, 1.01491310e-01,
           2.38861650e-01, 3.42034071e-01, 2.59606975e-01, 3.33403275e-01,
           3.52075676e-01, 1.24617619e-01, 6.37994991e-02, 3.67871923e-01,
           ...
           2.12529308e-01, 3.13383427e-01, 3.62783762e-01, 4.09957082e-02,
           2.61395400e-01, 2.58511435e-01, 1.94640967e-01, 3.37392659e-01])
    

Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
def pdf(  # type: ignore[override]
    self,
    plot_figure: bool = False,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    data: list[float] | np.ndarray | None = None,
    *args: Any,
    **kwargs: Any,
) -> np.ndarray | tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any]:
    """Calculate the probability density function (PDF) values for Gumbel distribution.

    This method calculates the PDF values for the given data using the specified
    Gumbel distribution parameters. It can also generate a plot of the PDF.

    Args:
        plot_figure:
            Whether to generate a plot of the PDF. Default is False.
        parameters:
                Distribution parameters.
                - loc (Numberic):
                    Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
                - scale (Numberic):
                    Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
                ```python
                Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
                ```
                If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.
        data:
            Data points for which to calculate PDF values. If None, uses the data provided during initialization.
        *args:
            Variable length argument list to pass to the parent class method.
        **kwargs:
            Arbitrary keyword arguments to pass to the plotting function.
            the possible keyword arguments are:
                - fig_size:
                    Size of the figure as a tuple (width, height). Default is (6, 5).
                - xlabel:
                    Label for the x-axis. Default is "Actual data".
                - ylabel:
                    Label for the y-axis. Default is "pdf".
                - fontsize:
                    Font size for plot labels. Default is 15.

    Returns:
        If plot_figure is False:
            Numpy array containing the PDF values for each data point.
        If plot_figure is True:
            Tuple containing:
            - Numpy array of PDF values
            - Figure object
            - Axes object

    Examples:
        - Import libraries:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel

            ```
        - Load sample data:
            ```python
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")

            ```
        - Calculate PDF values with default parameters:
            ```python
            >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)
            >>> gumbel_dist.fit_model() # doctest: +SKIP
            -----KS Test--------
            Statistic = 0.019
            Accept Hypothesis
            P value = 0.9937026761524456
            Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108)
            >>> pdf_values = gumbel_dist.pdf() # doctest: +SKIP

            ```
        - Generate a PDF plot:
            ```python
            >>> pdf_values, fig, ax = gumbel_dist.pdf(
            ...     plot_figure=True,
            ...     xlabel="Values",
            ...     ylabel="Density",
            ...     fig_size=(8, 6)
            ... ) # doctest: +SKIP

            ```
            ![gamma-pdf](./../../_images/distributions/gamma-pdf-1.png)

        - Calculate PDF with custom parameters:
            ```python
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
            >>> pdf_custom = gumbel_dist.pdf(parameters=parameters)
            >>> print(pdf_custom) #doctest: +SKIP
            array([5.44630532e-02, 1.55313724e-01, 3.29857975e-01, 7.01082330e-02,
                   3.54572987e-01, 1.46804327e-01, 3.36843753e-01, 1.01491310e-01,
                   2.38861650e-01, 3.42034071e-01, 2.59606975e-01, 3.33403275e-01,
                   3.52075676e-01, 1.24617619e-01, 6.37994991e-02, 3.67871923e-01,
                   ...
                   2.12529308e-01, 3.13383427e-01, 3.62783762e-01, 4.09957082e-02,
                   2.61395400e-01, 2.58511435e-01, 1.94640967e-01, 3.37392659e-01])
            ```
    """
    result = super().pdf(
        parameters=parameters,
        data=data,
        plot_figure=plot_figure,
        *args,
        **kwargs,
    )  # type: ignore[misc]
    return result

random(size, parameters=None) #

Generate random samples from the Gumbel distribution.

This method generates random samples following the Gumbel distribution with the specified parameters.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
size int

Number of random samples to generate.

required
parameters Parameters | dict[str, float] | None
Distribution parameters.
- loc (Numberic):
    Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
- scale (Numberic):
    Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
```python
Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
```
If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.
None

Returns:

Type Description
tuple[ndarray, Figure, Any] | ndarray

Numpy array containing the generated random samples.

Raises:

Type Description
ValueError

If the parameters are not provided and not available from initialization.

Examples:

  • import the required modules and generate random samples:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
    >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
    >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(parameters=parameters)
    >>> random_data = gumbel_dist.random(1000)
    
  • Analyze the generated data:

    • Plot the PDF of the random data:

      >>> _ = gumbel_dist.pdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")
      
      gamma-pdf

    • Plot the CDF of the random data:

      >>> _ = gumbel_dist.cdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")
      
      gamma-cdf

  • Verify the parameters by fitting the model to the random data

    >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data=random_data)
    >>> fitted_params = gumbel_dist.fit_model() #doctest: +SKIP
    -----KS Test--------
    Statistic = 0.018
    Accept Hypothesis
    P value = 0.9969602438295625
    >>> print(f"Fitted parameters: {fitted_params}") #doctest: +SKIP
    Fitted parameters: Parameters(loc=np.float64(-0.010212105435018243), scale=1.010287499893525)
    

  • Should be close to the original parameters Parameters(loc=0, scale=1) ```
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
def random(
    self,
    size: int,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
) -> tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any] | np.ndarray:
    """Generate random samples from the Gumbel distribution.

    This method generates random samples following the Gumbel distribution
    with the specified parameters.

    Args:
        size:
            Number of random samples to generate.
        parameters:
                Distribution parameters.
                - loc (Numberic):
                    Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
                - scale (Numberic):
                    Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
                ```python
                Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
                ```
                If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.

    Returns:
        Numpy array containing the generated random samples.

    Raises:
        ValueError: If the parameters are not provided and not available from initialization.

    Examples:
        - import the required modules and generate random samples:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
            >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(parameters=parameters)
            >>> random_data = gumbel_dist.random(1000)

            ```
        - Analyze the generated data:
            - Plot the PDF of the random data:
            ```python
            >>> _ = gumbel_dist.pdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")

            ```
            ![gamma-pdf](./../../_images/distributions/gamma-random-1.png)

            - Plot the CDF of the random data:
                ```python
                >>> _ = gumbel_dist.cdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")

                ```
                ![gamma-cdf](./../../_images/distributions/gamma-cdf-1.png)

        - Verify the parameters by fitting the model to the random data
            ```python
            >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data=random_data)
            >>> fitted_params = gumbel_dist.fit_model() #doctest: +SKIP
            -----KS Test--------
            Statistic = 0.018
            Accept Hypothesis
            P value = 0.9969602438295625
            >>> print(f"Fitted parameters: {fitted_params}") #doctest: +SKIP
            Fitted parameters: Parameters(loc=np.float64(-0.010212105435018243), scale=1.010287499893525)

            ```
        - Should be close to the original parameters Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
        ```
    """
    # if no parameters are provided, take the parameters provided in the class initialization.
    if parameters is None:
        parameters = self.parameters
    elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
        parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

    loc = parameters.loc  # type: ignore[union-attr]
    scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]
    if scale is None or scale <= 0:
        raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

    random_data = gumbel_r.rvs(loc=loc, scale=scale, size=size)
    return random_data

cdf(plot_figure=False, parameters=None, data=None, *args, **kwargs) #

Calculate the cumulative distribution function (CDF) values for Gumbel distribution.

This method calculates the CDF values for the given data using the specified Gumbel distribution parameters. It can also generate a plot of the CDF.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
plot_figure bool

Whether to generate a plot of the CDF. Default is False.

False
parameters Parameters | dict[str, float] | None

Distribution parameters. - loc: Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution - scale: Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)

Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.

None
data list[float] | ndarray | None

Data points for which to calculate CDF values. If None, uses the data provided during initialization.

None
*args Any

Variable length argument list to pass to the parent class method.

()
**kwargs Any
  • fig_size: Size of the figure as a tuple (width, height). Default is (6, 5).
  • xlabel: Label for the x-axis. Default is "Actual data".
  • ylabel: Label for the y-axis. Default is "cdf".
  • fontsize: Font size for plot labels. Default is 15.
{}

Returns:

Type Description
ndarray | tuple[ndarray, Figure, Axes]

If plot_figure is False: Numpy array containing the CDF values for each data point.

ndarray | tuple[ndarray, Figure, Axes]

If plot_figure is True: Tuple containing: - Numpy array of CDF values - Figure object - Axes object

Examples:

  • Load sample data:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
    
  • Calculate CDF values with default parameters:
    >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)
    >>> gumbel_dist.fit_model() # doctest: +SKIP
    -----KS Test--------
    Statistic = 0.019
    Accept Hypothesis
    P value = 0.9937026761524456
    Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108)
    >>> cdf_values = gumbel_dist.cdf() # doctest: +SKIP
    
  • Generate a CDF plot:

    >>> cdf_values, fig, ax = gumbel_dist.cdf(
    ...     plot_figure=True,
    ...     xlabel="Values",
    ...     ylabel="Probability",
    ...     fig_size=(8, 6)
    ... ) # doctest: +SKIP
    
    gamma-cdf

  • Calculate CDF with custom parameters:

    >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
    >>> cdf_custom = gumbel_dist.cdf(parameters=parameters)
    

  • Calculate exceedance probability (1-CDF):
    >>> exceedance_prob = 1 - cdf_values # doctest: +SKIP
    
    ```
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
def cdf(  # type: ignore[override]
    self,
    plot_figure: bool = False,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    data: list[float] | np.ndarray | None = None,
    *args: Any,
    **kwargs: Any,
) -> (
    np.ndarray | tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Axes]
):  # pylint: disable=arguments-differ
    """Calculate the cumulative distribution function (CDF) values for Gumbel distribution.

    This method calculates the CDF values for the given data using the specified
    Gumbel distribution parameters. It can also generate a plot of the CDF.

    Args:
        plot_figure:
            Whether to generate a plot of the CDF. Default is False.
        parameters:
            Distribution parameters.
            - loc:
                Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
            - scale:
                Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
            ```python
            Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
            ```
            If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.
        data:
            Data points for which to calculate CDF values. If None, uses the data provided during initialization.
        *args:
            Variable length argument list to pass to the parent class method.
        **kwargs:
            - fig_size:
                Size of the figure as a tuple (width, height). Default is (6, 5).
            - xlabel:
                Label for the x-axis. Default is "Actual data".
            - ylabel:
                Label for the y-axis. Default is "cdf".
            - fontsize:
                Font size for plot labels. Default is 15.

    Returns:
        If plot_figure is False:
            Numpy array containing the CDF values for each data point.
        If plot_figure is True:
            Tuple containing:
            - Numpy array of CDF values
            - Figure object
            - Axes object

    Examples:
        -  Load sample data:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")

            ```
        -  Calculate CDF values with default parameters:
            ```python
            >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)
            >>> gumbel_dist.fit_model() # doctest: +SKIP
            -----KS Test--------
            Statistic = 0.019
            Accept Hypothesis
            P value = 0.9937026761524456
            Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108)
            >>> cdf_values = gumbel_dist.cdf() # doctest: +SKIP

            ```
        -  Generate a CDF plot:
            ```python
            >>> cdf_values, fig, ax = gumbel_dist.cdf(
            ...     plot_figure=True,
            ...     xlabel="Values",
            ...     ylabel="Probability",
            ...     fig_size=(8, 6)
            ... ) # doctest: +SKIP

            ```
            ![gamma-cdf](./../../_images/distributions/gamma-cdf-2.png)

        -  Calculate CDF with custom parameters:
            ```python
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
            >>> cdf_custom = gumbel_dist.cdf(parameters=parameters)

            ```
        -  Calculate exceedance probability (1-CDF):
            ```python
            >>> exceedance_prob = 1 - cdf_values # doctest: +SKIP

            ```
        ```
    """
    result = super().cdf(
        parameters=parameters,
        data=data,
        plot_figure=plot_figure,
        *args,
        **kwargs,
    )  # type: ignore[misc]
    return result

return_period(*, data=None, parameters=None) #

Calculate return periods for given data values.

The return period is the average time between events of a given magnitude. It is calculated as 1/(1-F(x)), where F(x) is the cumulative distribution function.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
data bool | list[float] | None

Values for which to calculate return periods. Can be a single value, list, or array. If None, uses the data provided during initialization.

None
parameters Parameters | dict[str, float] | None

Distribution parameters. - loc (Numeric): Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution - scale (Numeric): Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)

Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.

None

Returns:

Type Description
ndarray

np.ndarray: Return periods corresponding to the input data values. - If input is a single value, returns a single value. - If input is a list or array, returns an array of return periods.

Examples:

  • Import necessary libraries:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
    
  • Calculate return periods for specific values
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
    >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data=data, parameters=Parameters(loc=0, scale=1))
    >>> return_periods = gumbel_dist.return_period()
    
  • Calculate the 100-year return level:
    • First, find the CDF value corresponding to a 100-year return period
    • F(x) = 1 - 1/T, where T is the return period
      >>> cdf_value = 1 - 1/100
      
  • Then, find the quantile corresponding to this CDF value:
    >>> return_level_100yr = gumbel_dist.inverse_cdf([cdf_value], parameters=Parameters(loc=0, scale=1))[0]
    >>> print(f"100-year return level: {return_level_100yr:.4f}")
    100-year return level: 4.6001
    
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
def return_period(
    self,
    *,
    data: bool | list[float] | None = None,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
) -> np.ndarray:
    """Calculate return periods for given data values.

    The return period is the average time between events of a given magnitude.
    It is calculated as 1/(1-F(x)), where F(x) is the cumulative distribution function.

    Args:
        data:
            Values for which to calculate return periods. Can be a single value, list, or array.
            If None, uses the data provided during initialization.
        parameters:
            Distribution parameters.
            - loc (Numeric):
                Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
            - scale (Numeric):
                Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
            ```
            Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
            ```
            If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.

    Returns:
        np.ndarray:
            Return periods corresponding to the input data values.
            - If input is a single value, returns a single value.
            - If input is a list or array, returns an array of return periods.

    Examples:
        - Import necessary libraries:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel

            ```
        -  Calculate return periods for specific values
            ```python
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
            >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data=data, parameters=Parameters(loc=0, scale=1))
            >>> return_periods = gumbel_dist.return_period()

            ```
        -  Calculate the 100-year return level:
            - First, find the CDF value corresponding to a 100-year return period
            - F(x) = 1 - 1/T, where T is the return period
            ```python
            >>> cdf_value = 1 - 1/100

            ```
        - Then, find the quantile corresponding to this CDF value:
            ```python
            >>> return_level_100yr = gumbel_dist.inverse_cdf([cdf_value], parameters=Parameters(loc=0, scale=1))[0]
            >>> print(f"100-year return level: {return_level_100yr:.4f}")
            100-year return level: 4.6001

            ```
    """
    if data is None:
        ts: Any = self.data
    else:
        ts = data

    # if no parameters are provided, take the parameters provided in the class initialization.
    if parameters is None:
        parameters = self.parameters
    elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
        parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

    cdf: np.ndarray = self.cdf(parameters=parameters, data=ts)  # type: ignore[assignment]

    rp = 1 / (1 - cdf)

    return rp

truncated_distribution(opt_parameters, data) staticmethod #

Calculate a negative log-likelihood for a truncated Gumbel distribution.

This function calculates the negative log-likelihood of a Gumbel distribution that is truncated (i.e., the data only includes values above a certain threshold). It is used as an objective function for parameter optimization when fitting a truncated Gumbel distribution to data.

This approach is useful when the dataset is incomplete or when data is only available above a certain threshold, a common scenario in environmental sciences, finance, and other fields dealing with extremes.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
opt_parameters list[float]

List of parameters to optimize: - opt_parameters[0]: Threshold value - opt_parameters[1]: Location parameter (loc) - opt_parameters[2]: Scale parameter (scale)

required
data list[float]

Data points to fit the truncated distribution to.

required

Returns:

Type Description
float

Negative log-likelihood value. Lower values indicate better fit.

Notes

The negative log-likelihood is calculated as the sum of two components: - L1: Log-likelihood for values below the threshold - L2: Log-likelihood for values above the threshold

Reference

https://stackoverflow.com/questions/23217484/how-to-find-parameters-of-gumbels-distribution-using-scipy-optimize

Examples:

  • import the required modules and generate sample data:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from scipy.optimize import minimize
    >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
    >>> data = np.random.gumbel(loc=10, scale=2, size=1000)
    
  • Initial parameter guess [threshold, loc, scale]:
    >>> initial_params = [5.0, 8.0, 1.5]
    
  • Optimize parameters:
    >>> result = minimize(
    ...     Gumbel.truncated_distribution,
    ...     initial_params,
    ...     args=(data,),
    ...     method='Nelder-Mead'
    ... )
    
  • Extract optimized parameters:
    >>> threshold, loc, scale = result.x
    >>> print(f"Optimized parameters: threshold={threshold}, loc={loc}, scale={scale}")
    Optimized parameters: threshold=4.0, loc=9.599999999999994, scale=1.5
    
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
@staticmethod
def truncated_distribution(opt_parameters: list[float], data: list[float]) -> float:
    """Calculate a negative log-likelihood for a truncated Gumbel distribution.

    This function calculates the negative log-likelihood of a Gumbel distribution
    that is truncated (i.e., the data only includes values above a certain threshold).
    It is used as an objective function for parameter optimization when fitting
    a truncated Gumbel distribution to data.

    This approach is useful when the dataset is incomplete or when data is only
    available above a certain threshold, a common scenario in environmental sciences,
    finance, and other fields dealing with extremes.

    Args:
        opt_parameters:
            List of parameters to optimize:
                - opt_parameters[0]: Threshold value
                - opt_parameters[1]: Location parameter (loc)
                - opt_parameters[2]: Scale parameter (scale)
        data:
            Data points to fit the truncated distribution to.

    Returns:
        Negative log-likelihood value. Lower values indicate better fit.

    Notes:
        The negative log-likelihood is calculated as the sum of two components:
            - L1: Log-likelihood for values below the threshold
            - L2: Log-likelihood for values above the threshold

    Reference:
        https://stackoverflow.com/questions/23217484/how-to-find-parameters-of-gumbels-distribution-using-scipy-optimize

    Examples:
        - import the required modules and generate sample data:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from scipy.optimize import minimize
            >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
            >>> data = np.random.gumbel(loc=10, scale=2, size=1000)

            ```
        - Initial parameter guess [threshold, loc, scale]:
            ```python
            >>> initial_params = [5.0, 8.0, 1.5]

            ```
        - Optimize parameters:
            ```python
            >>> result = minimize(
            ...     Gumbel.truncated_distribution,
            ...     initial_params,
            ...     args=(data,),
            ...     method='Nelder-Mead'
            ... )

            ```
        - Extract optimized parameters:
            ```python
            >>> threshold, loc, scale = result.x
            >>> print(f"Optimized parameters: threshold={threshold}, loc={loc}, scale={scale}")
            Optimized parameters: threshold=4.0, loc=9.599999999999994, scale=1.5

            ```
    """
    threshold = opt_parameters[0]
    loc = opt_parameters[1]
    scale = opt_parameters[2]

    non_truncated_data = data[data < threshold]  # type: ignore[operator]
    nx2 = len(data[data >= threshold])  # type: ignore[arg-type, operator]
    # pdf with a scaled pdf
    # L1 is pdf based
    parameters = Parameters(loc=loc, scale=scale)
    pdf = Gumbel._pdf_eq(non_truncated_data, parameters)  # type: ignore[arg-type]
    #  the CDF at the threshold is used because the data is assumed to be truncated, meaning that observations below
    #  this threshold are not included in the dataset. When dealing with truncated data, it's essential to adjust
    #  the likelihood calculation to account for the fact that only values above the threshold are observed. The
    #  CDF at the threshold effectively normalizes the distribution, ensuring that the probabilities sum to 1 over
    #  the range of the observed data.
    cdf_at_threshold = 1 - Gumbel._cdf_eq(threshold, parameters)  # type: ignore[arg-type]
    # calculates the negative log-likelihood of a Gumbel distribution
    # Adjust the likelihood for the truncation
    # likelihood = pdf / (1 - adjusted_cdf)

    l1 = (-np.log((pdf / scale))).sum()
    # L2 is cdf based
    l2 = (-np.log(cdf_at_threshold)) * nx2

    return l1 + l2

fit_model(method='mle', obj_func=None, threshold=None, test=True) #

Estimate the parameters of the Gumbel distribution from data.

This method fits the Gumbel distribution to the data using various estimation methods, including Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), Method of Moments (MM), L-moments, or custom optimization.

When using the 'optimization' method with a threshold, the method employs two likelihood functions: - L1: For values below the threshold - L2: For values above the threshold

The parameters are estimated by maximizing the product L1*L2.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
method str

Estimation method to use. Default is 'mle'. Options: - 'mle' (Maximum Likelihood Estimation), - 'mm' (Method of Moments), - 'lmoments' (L-moments), - 'optimization' (Custom optimization)

'mle'
obj_func callable | None

Custom objective function to use for parameter estimation. Only used when method is 'optimization'. Default is None.

None
threshold float | int | None

Value above which to consider data points. If provided, only data points above this threshold are used for estimation when using the 'optimization' method. Default is None (use all data points).

None
test bool

Whether to perform goodness-of-fit tests after estimation. Default is True.

True

Returns:

Name Type Description
Parameters Parameters
  • loc (Numeric): Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
  • scale (Numeric): Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution
    Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
    

Raises:

Type Description
ValueError

If an invalid method is specified or if required parameters are missing.

Examples:

  • Import necessary libraries:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
    
  • Load sample data:
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
    >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)
    
  • Fit using Maximum Likelihood Estimation (default):
    >>> parameters = gumbel_dist.fit_model(method="mle", test=True)
    -----KS Test--------
    Statistic = 0.019
    Accept Hypothesis
    P value = 0.9937026761524456
    >>> print(parameters)
    Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108)
    
  • Fit using L-moments:
    >>> parameters = gumbel_dist.fit_model(method="lmoments", test=True)
    -----KS Test--------
    Statistic = 0.019
    Accept Hypothesis
    P value = 0.9937026761524456
    >>> print(parameters)
    Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.006700226367219564), scale=np.float64(1.0531061622114444))
    
  • Fit using optimization with a threshold:
    >>> threshold = np.quantile(data, 0.80)
    >>> print(threshold)
    1.5717000000000005
    >>> parameters = gumbel_dist.fit_model(
    ...     method="optimization",
    ...     obj_func=Gumbel.truncated_distribution,
    ...     threshold=threshold
    ... )
    Optimization terminated successfully.
             Current function value: 0.000000
             Iterations: 39
             Function evaluations: 116
    -----KS Test--------
    Statistic = 0.107
    reject Hypothesis
    P value = 2.0977827855404345e-05
    
Note: When P value is less than the significance level, we reject the null hypothesis,#
but in this case we're fitting the distribution to part of the data, not the whole data.#

```

Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
def fit_model(
    self,
    method: str = "mle",
    obj_func: Callable = None,
    threshold: None | float | int = None,
    test: bool = True,
) -> Parameters:
    """Estimate the parameters of the Gumbel distribution from data.

    This method fits the Gumbel distribution to the data using various estimation
    methods, including Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), Method of Moments (MM),
    L-moments, or custom optimization.

    When using the 'optimization' method with a threshold, the method employs two
    likelihood functions:
        - L1: For values below the threshold
        - L2: For values above the threshold

    The parameters are estimated by maximizing the product L1*L2.

    Args:
        method:
            Estimation method to use. Default is 'mle'.
            Options:
                - 'mle' (Maximum Likelihood Estimation),
                - 'mm' (Method of Moments),
                - 'lmoments' (L-moments),
                - 'optimization' (Custom optimization)
        obj_func (callable | None):
            Custom objective function to use for parameter estimation. Only used when method is 'optimization'.
            Default is None.
        threshold (float | int | None):
            Value above which to consider data points. If provided, only data points above this threshold are
            used for estimation when using the 'optimization' method. Default is None (use all data points).
        test:
            Whether to perform goodness-of-fit tests after estimation. Default is True.

    Returns:
        Parameters:
            - loc (Numeric):
                Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
            - scale (Numeric):
                Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution
            ```python
            Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
            ```

    Raises:
        ValueError: If an invalid method is specified or if required parameters are missing.

    Examples:
        - Import necessary libraries:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel

            ```
        - Load sample data:
            ```python
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
            >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)

            ```
        - Fit using Maximum Likelihood Estimation (default):
            ```python
            >>> parameters = gumbel_dist.fit_model(method="mle", test=True)
            -----KS Test--------
            Statistic = 0.019
            Accept Hypothesis
            P value = 0.9937026761524456
            >>> print(parameters)
            Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108)

            ```
        - Fit using L-moments:
            ```python
            >>> parameters = gumbel_dist.fit_model(method="lmoments", test=True)
            -----KS Test--------
            Statistic = 0.019
            Accept Hypothesis
            P value = 0.9937026761524456
            >>> print(parameters)
            Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.006700226367219564), scale=np.float64(1.0531061622114444))

            ```
        - Fit using optimization with a threshold:
            ```python
            >>> threshold = np.quantile(data, 0.80)
            >>> print(threshold)
            1.5717000000000005
            >>> parameters = gumbel_dist.fit_model(
            ...     method="optimization",
            ...     obj_func=Gumbel.truncated_distribution,
            ...     threshold=threshold
            ... )
            Optimization terminated successfully.
                     Current function value: 0.000000
                     Iterations: 39
                     Function evaluations: 116
            -----KS Test--------
            Statistic = 0.107
            reject Hypothesis
            P value = 2.0977827855404345e-05

            ```
        # Note: When P value is less than the significance level, we reject the null hypothesis,
        # but in this case we're fitting the distribution to part of the data, not the whole data.
        ```
    """
    # obj_func = lambda p, x: (-np.log(Gumbel.pdf(x, p[0], p[1]))).sum()
    # #first we make a simple Gumbel fit
    # Par1 = so.fmin(obj_func, [0.5,0.5], args=(np.array(data),))
    method = super().fit_model(method=method)  # type: ignore[assignment]

    if method == "mle" or method == "mm":
        param_list: Any = list(gumbel_r.fit(self.data, method=method))
    elif method == "lmoments":
        lm = Lmoments(self.data)
        lmu = lm.calculate()
        param_list = Lmoments.gumbel(lmu)
    elif method == "optimization":
        if obj_func is None or threshold is None:
            raise TypeError("threshold should be numeric value")

        param_list = gumbel_r.fit(self.data, method="mle")
        # then we use the result as starting value for your truncated Gumbel fit
        param_list = so.fmin(
            obj_func,
            [threshold, param_list[0], param_list[1]],
            args=(self.data,),
            maxiter=500,
            maxfun=500,
        )
        param_list = [param_list[1], param_list[2]]
    else:
        raise ValueError(f"The given: {method} does not exist")

    param = Parameters(loc=param_list[0], scale=param_list[1])
    self.parameters = param

    if test:
        self.ks()
        self.chisquare()

    return param

inverse_cdf(cdf=None, parameters=None) #

Calculate the inverse of the cumulative distribution function (quantile function).

This method calculates the theoretical values (quantiles) corresponding to the given CDF values using the specified Gumbel distribution parameters.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
cdf ndarray | list[float] | None

CDF values (non-exceedance probabilities) for which to calculate the quantiles. Values should be between 0 and 1.

None
parameters Parameters

If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization. - loc (Numeric): Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution - scale (Numeric): Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive) python Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)

None

Returns:

Type Description
ndarray

Numpy array containing the quantile values corresponding to the given CDF values.

Raises:

Type Description
ValueError

If any CDF value is less than or equal to 0 or greater than 1.

Examples:

  • Load sample data and initialize distribution:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
    >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
    >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data, parameters)
    
  • Calculate quantiles for specific probabilities:

    >>> cdf = [0.1, 0.2, 0.4, 0.6, 0.8, 0.9]
    >>> data_values = gumbel_dist.inverse_cdf(cdf)
    >>> print(data_values) # doctest: +SKIP
    [-0.83403245 -0.475885 0.08742157 0.67172699 1.49993999 2.25036733]
    

  • Calculate return levels for specific return periods:

    >>> return_periods = [10, 50, 100]
    >>> probs = 1 - 1/np.array(return_periods)
    >>> return_levels = gumbel_dist.inverse_cdf(probs)
    >>> print(f"10-year return level: {return_levels[0]:.2f}")
    10-year return level: 2.25
    >>> print(f"50-year return level: {return_levels[1]:.2f}")
    50-year return level: 3.90
    >>> print(f"100-year return level: {return_levels[2]:.2f}")
    100-year return level: 4.60
    

Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
def inverse_cdf(
    self,
    cdf: np.ndarray | list[float] | None = None,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
) -> np.ndarray:
    """Calculate the inverse of the cumulative distribution function (quantile function).

    This method calculates the theoretical values (quantiles) corresponding to the given
    CDF values using the specified Gumbel distribution parameters.

    Args:
        cdf: CDF values (non-exceedance probabilities) for which to calculate the quantiles.
            Values should be between 0 and 1.
        parameters (Parameters):
            If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.
                - loc (Numeric):
                    Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
                - scale (Numeric):
                    Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
                ```python
                Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
            ```

    Returns:
        Numpy array containing the quantile values corresponding to the given CDF values.

    Raises:
        ValueError: If any CDF value is less than or equal to 0 or greater than 1.

    Examples:
        - Load sample data and initialize distribution:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1)
            >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data, parameters)

            ```
        - Calculate quantiles for specific probabilities:
            ```python
            >>> cdf = [0.1, 0.2, 0.4, 0.6, 0.8, 0.9]
            >>> data_values = gumbel_dist.inverse_cdf(cdf)
            >>> print(data_values) # doctest: +SKIP
            [-0.83403245 -0.475885 0.08742157 0.67172699 1.49993999 2.25036733]

            ```

        - Calculate return levels for specific return periods:
            ```python
            >>> return_periods = [10, 50, 100]
            >>> probs = 1 - 1/np.array(return_periods)
            >>> return_levels = gumbel_dist.inverse_cdf(probs)
            >>> print(f"10-year return level: {return_levels[0]:.2f}")
            10-year return level: 2.25
            >>> print(f"50-year return level: {return_levels[1]:.2f}")
            50-year return level: 3.90
            >>> print(f"100-year return level: {return_levels[2]:.2f}")
            100-year return level: 4.60

            ```
    """
    if parameters is None:
        parameters = self.parameters
    elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
        parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

    cdf = np.array(cdf)
    if np.any(cdf < 0) or np.any(cdf > 1):
        raise ValueError(CDF_INVALID_VALUE_ERROR)

    qth = self._inv_cdf(cdf, parameters)  # type: ignore[arg-type]

    return qth

ks() #

Perform the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test for goodness of fit.

This method tests whether the data follows the fitted Gumbel distribution using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. The test compares the empirical CDF of the data with the theoretical CDF of the fitted distribution.

Returns:

Name Type Description
Tuple GoodnessOfFitResult
  • 0: D statistic: The maximum absolute difference between the empirical and theoretical CDFs. The smaller the D statistic, the more likely the data follows the distribution. The KS test statistic measures the maximum distance between the empirical CDF (Weibull plotting position) and the CDF of the reference distribution.
  • 1: p-value The probability of observing a D statistic as extreme as the one calculated, assuming the null hypothesis is true (data follows the distribution). A high p-value (close to 1) suggests that there is a high probability that the sample comes from the specified distribution. If p-value < significance level (typically 0.05), reject the null hypothesis.

Raises:

Type Description
ValueError

If the distribution parameters have not been estimated.

Examples:

  • Import necessary libraries and initialize the Gumbel distribution:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
    
  • Perform KS test:
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
    >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)
    >>> gumbel_dist.fit_model()
    -----KS Test--------
    Statistic = 0.019
    Accept Hypothesis
    P value = 0.9937026761524456
    Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108)
    >>> d_stat, p_value = gumbel_dist.ks()
    -----KS Test--------
    Statistic = 0.019
    Accept Hypothesis
    P value = 0.9937026761524456
    
  • Interpret the results:
    >>> alpha = 0.05
    >>> if p_value < alpha:
    ...     print(f"Reject the null hypothesis (p-value: {p_value:.4f} < {alpha})")
    ...     print("The data does not follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.")
    ... else:
    ...     print(f"Cannot reject the null hypothesis (p-value: {p_value:.4f} >= {alpha})")
    ...     print("The data may follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.")
    Cannot reject the null hypothesis (p-value: 0.9937 >= 0.05)
    The data may follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.
    
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
def ks(self) -> GoodnessOfFitResult:
    """Perform the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test for goodness of fit.

    This method tests whether the data follows the fitted Gumbel distribution using
    the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. The test compares the empirical CDF of the data
    with the theoretical CDF of the fitted distribution.

    Returns:
        Tuple:
            - 0:
                D statistic: The maximum absolute difference between the empirical and theoretical CDFs.
                The smaller the D statistic, the more likely the data follows the distribution.
                The KS test statistic measures the maximum distance between the empirical CDF
                (Weibull plotting position) and the CDF of the reference distribution.
            - 1:
                p-value The probability of observing a D statistic as extreme as the one calculated, assuming the
                null hypothesis is true (data follows the distribution).
                A high p-value (close to 1) suggests that there is a high probability that the sample comes from
                the specified distribution.
                If p-value < significance level (typically 0.05), reject the null hypothesis.

    Raises:
        ValueError:
            If the distribution parameters have not been estimated.

    Examples:
        - Import necessary libraries and initialize the Gumbel distribution:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel

            ```
        - Perform KS test:
            ```python
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
            >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)
            >>> gumbel_dist.fit_model()
            -----KS Test--------
            Statistic = 0.019
            Accept Hypothesis
            P value = 0.9937026761524456
            Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108)
            >>> d_stat, p_value = gumbel_dist.ks()
            -----KS Test--------
            Statistic = 0.019
            Accept Hypothesis
            P value = 0.9937026761524456

            ```
        - Interpret the results:
            ```python
            >>> alpha = 0.05
            >>> if p_value < alpha:
            ...     print(f"Reject the null hypothesis (p-value: {p_value:.4f} < {alpha})")
            ...     print("The data does not follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.")
            ... else:
            ...     print(f"Cannot reject the null hypothesis (p-value: {p_value:.4f} >= {alpha})")
            ...     print("The data may follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.")
            Cannot reject the null hypothesis (p-value: 0.9937 >= 0.05)
            The data may follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.

            ```
    """
    return super().ks()

chisquare() #

Perform the Chi-square test for goodness of fit.

This method tests whether the data follows the fitted Gumbel distribution using the Chi-square test. The test compares the observed frequencies with the expected frequencies under the fitted distribution.

Returns:

Name Type Description
Tuple GoodnessOfFitResult
  • Chi-square statistic: The test statistic measuring the difference between observed and expected frequencies.
  • p-value: The probability of observing a Chi-square statistic as extreme as the one calculated, assuming the null hypothesis is true (data follows the distribution). If p-value < significance level (typically 0.05), reject the null hypothesis. Returns None if the test fails due to an exception.

Raises:

Type Description
ValueError

If the distribution parameters have not been estimated.

Examples:

  • Perform Chi-square test:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
    >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)
    >>> gumbel_dist.fit_model()
    -----KS Test--------
    Statistic = 0.019
    Accept Hypothesis
    P value = 0.9937026761524456
    Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108)
    >>> gumbel_dist.chisquare() #doctest: +SKIP
    
  • Interpret the results:
    >>> alpha = 0.05
    >>> if p_value < alpha: #doctest: +SKIP
    ...     print(f"Reject the null hypothesis (p-value: {p_value:.4f} < {alpha})")
    ...     print("The data does not follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.")
    >>> else: #doctest: +SKIP
    ...     print(f"Cannot reject the null hypothesis (p-value: {p_value:.4f} >= {alpha})")
    ...     print("The data may follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.")
    
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
def chisquare(self) -> GoodnessOfFitResult:
    """Perform the Chi-square test for goodness of fit.

    This method tests whether the data follows the fitted Gumbel distribution using the Chi-square test. The test
    compares the observed frequencies with the expected frequencies under the fitted distribution.

    Returns:
        Tuple:
            - Chi-square statistic:
                The test statistic measuring the difference between observed and expected frequencies.
            - p-value:
                The probability of observing a Chi-square statistic as extreme as the one calculated,
                assuming the null hypothesis is true (data follows the distribution).
                If p-value < significance level (typically 0.05), reject the null hypothesis. Returns None if the test
                fails due to an exception.

    Raises:
        ValueError:
            If the distribution parameters have not been estimated.

    Examples:
        - Perform Chi-square test:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt")
            >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data)
            >>> gumbel_dist.fit_model()
            -----KS Test--------
            Statistic = 0.019
            Accept Hypothesis
            P value = 0.9937026761524456
            Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108)
            >>> gumbel_dist.chisquare() #doctest: +SKIP

            ```
        - Interpret the results:
            ```python
            >>> alpha = 0.05
            >>> if p_value < alpha: #doctest: +SKIP
            ...     print(f"Reject the null hypothesis (p-value: {p_value:.4f} < {alpha})")
            ...     print("The data does not follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.")
            >>> else: #doctest: +SKIP
            ...     print(f"Cannot reject the null hypothesis (p-value: {p_value:.4f} >= {alpha})")
            ...     print("The data may follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.")
            ```
    """
    return super().chisquare()

confidence_interval(alpha=0.1, prob_non_exceed=None, parameters=None, plot_figure=False, **kwargs) #

Calculate confidence intervals for the Gumbel distribution quantiles.

This method calculates the upper and lower bounds of the confidence interval for the quantiles of the Gumbel distribution. It can also generate a plot of the confidence intervals.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
alpha float

Significance level for the confidence interval. Default is 0.1 (90% confidence interval).

0.1
prob_non_exceed ndarray

Non-exceedance probabilities for which to calculate quantiles. If None, uses the empirical CDF calculated using Weibull plotting positions.

None
parameters Parameters

If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization. - loc (Numeric): Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution - scale (Numeric): Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)

Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)

None
plot_figure bool

Whether to generate a plot of the confidence intervals. Default is False.

False
**kwargs Any

Additional keyword arguments to pass to the plotting function. - fig_size: Size of the figure as a tuple (width, height). Default is (6, 6). - fontsize: Font size for plot labels. Default is 11. - marker_size: Size of markers in the plot.

{}

Returns:

Type Description
tuple[ndarray, ndarray] | tuple[ndarray, ndarray, Figure, Axes]

If plot_figure is False: Tuple containing: - Numpy array of upper bound values - Numpy array of lower bound values

tuple[ndarray, ndarray] | tuple[ndarray, ndarray, Figure, Axes]

If plot_figure is True: Tuple containing: - Numpy array of upper bound values - Numpy array of lower bound values - Figure object - Axes object

Raises:

Type Description
ValueError

If the scale parameter is negative or zero.

Examples:

  • Load data and initialize distribution:
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
    >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
    >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=463.8040, scale=220.0724)
    >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data, parameters)
    
  • Calculate confidence intervals
    >>> upper, lower = gumbel_dist.confidence_interval(alpha=0.1)
    
  • Generate a confidence interval plot:
    >>> upper, lower, fig, ax = gumbel_dist.confidence_interval(
    ...     alpha=0.1,
    ...     plot_figure=True,
    ...     marker_size=10
    ... )
    >>> plt.show()
    
    image
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
def confidence_interval(  # type: ignore[override]
    self,
    alpha: float = 0.1,
    prob_non_exceed: np.ndarray = None,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    plot_figure: bool = False,
    **kwargs: Any,
) -> tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray] | tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray, Figure, Axes]:
    """Calculate confidence intervals for the Gumbel distribution quantiles.

    This method calculates the upper and lower bounds of the confidence interval
    for the quantiles of the Gumbel distribution. It can also generate a plot of the
    confidence intervals.

    Args:
        alpha (float):
            Significance level for the confidence interval. Default is 0.1 (90% confidence interval).
        prob_non_exceed: Non-exceedance probabilities for which to calculate quantiles.
            If None, uses the empirical CDF calculated using Weibull plotting positions.
        parameters (Parameters):
            If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.
            - loc (Numeric):
                Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
            - scale (Numeric):
                Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
            ```python
            Parameters(loc=0.0, scale=1.0)
            ```
        plot_figure (bool):
            Whether to generate a plot of the confidence intervals. Default is False.
        **kwargs:
            Additional keyword arguments to pass to the plotting function.
                - fig_size:
                    Size of the figure as a tuple (width, height). Default is (6, 6).
                - fontsize:
                    Font size for plot labels. Default is 11.
                - marker_size:
                    Size of markers in the plot.

    Returns:
        If plot_figure is False:
            Tuple containing:
            - Numpy array of upper bound values
            - Numpy array of lower bound values
        If plot_figure is True:
            Tuple containing:
            - Numpy array of upper bound values
            - Numpy array of lower bound values
            - Figure object
            - Axes object

    Raises:
        ValueError: If the scale parameter is negative or zero.

    Examples:
        - Load data and initialize distribution:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
            >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=463.8040, scale=220.0724)
            >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data, parameters)

            ```
        - Calculate confidence intervals
            ```python
            >>> upper, lower = gumbel_dist.confidence_interval(alpha=0.1)

            ```
        - Generate a confidence interval plot:
            ```python
            >>> upper, lower, fig, ax = gumbel_dist.confidence_interval(
            ...     alpha=0.1,
            ...     plot_figure=True,
            ...     marker_size=10
            ... )
            >>> plt.show()

            ```
        ![image](./../../_images/distributions/gumbel-confidence-interval.png)
    """
    # if no parameters are provided, take the parameters provided in the class initialization.
    if parameters is None:
        parameters = self.parameters
    elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
        parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

    scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]
    if scale is None or scale <= 0:
        raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

    if prob_non_exceed is None:
        prob_non_exceed = PlottingPosition.weibul(self.data)

    qth = self._inv_cdf(prob_non_exceed, parameters)  # type: ignore[arg-type]
    y = [-np.log(-np.log(j)) for j in prob_non_exceed]
    std_error = [
        (scale / np.sqrt(len(self.data)))
        * np.sqrt(1.1087 + 0.5140 * j + 0.6079 * j**2)
        for j in y
    ]
    v = norm.ppf(1 - alpha / 2)
    q_upper = np.array([qth[j] + v * std_error[j] for j in range(len(qth))])
    q_lower = np.array([qth[j] - v * std_error[j] for j in range(len(qth))])

    if plot_figure:
        # if the prob_non_exceed is given, check if the length is the same as the data
        if len(prob_non_exceed) != len(self.data):
            raise ValueError(PROB_NON_EXCEEDENCE_ERROR)

        fig, ax = Plot.confidence_level(
            qth, self.data, q_lower, q_upper, alpha=alpha, **kwargs  # type: ignore[arg-type]
        )
        return q_upper, q_lower, fig, ax
    else:
        return q_upper, q_lower

plot(fig_size=(10, 5), xlabel=PDF_XAXIS_LABEL, ylabel='cdf', fontsize=15, cdf=None, parameters=None) #

Probability plot.

Probability Plot method calculates the theoretical values based on the Gumbel distribution parameters, theoretical cdf (or weibul), and calculates the confidence interval.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
fig_size tuple[float, float]

tuple, Default is (10, 5). Size of the figure.

(10, 5)
cdf ndarray | list | None

[np.ndarray] theoretical cdf calculated using weibul or using the distribution cdf function.

None
fig_size tuple[float, float]

[tuple] Default is (10, 5)

(10, 5)
xlabel str

[str] Default is "Actual data"

PDF_XAXIS_LABEL
ylabel str

[str] Default is "cdf"

'cdf'
fontsize int

[float] Default is 15.

15
parameters Parameters | dict[str, float] | None

Parameters Parameters(loc=val, scale=val) - loc: [numeric] location parameter of the gumbel distribution. - scale: [numeric] scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.

None

Returns:

Name Type Description
Figure Figure

matplotlib figure object

tuple[Axes, Axes]

tuple[Axes, Axes]: matplotlib plot axes

Examples:

  • Instantiate the Gumbel class with the data and the parameters:
    >>> import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
    >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=463.8040, scale=220.0724)
    >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data, parameters)
    
  • To calculate the confidence interval, we need to provide the confidence level (alpha).
    >>> fig, ax = gumbel_dist.plot()
    >>> print(fig)
    Figure(1000x500)
    >>> print(ax)
    (<Axes: xlabel='Actual data', ylabel='pdf'>, <Axes: xlabel='Actual data', ylabel='cdf'>)
    
    gumbel-plot
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
def plot(
    self,
    fig_size: tuple[float, float] = (10, 5),
    xlabel: str = PDF_XAXIS_LABEL,
    ylabel: str = "cdf",
    fontsize: int = 15,
    cdf: np.ndarray | list | None = None,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
) -> tuple[Figure, tuple[Axes, Axes]]:  # pylint: disable=arguments-differ
    """Probability plot.

    Probability Plot method calculates the theoretical values based on the Gumbel distribution
    parameters, theoretical cdf (or weibul), and calculates the confidence interval.

    Args:
        fig_size: tuple, Default is (10, 5).
            Size of the figure.
        cdf: [np.ndarray]
            theoretical cdf calculated using weibul or using the distribution cdf function.
        fig_size: [tuple]
            Default is (10, 5)
        xlabel: [str]
            Default is "Actual data"
        ylabel: [str]
            Default is "cdf"
        fontsize: [float]
            Default is 15.
        parameters: Parameters
            Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
            - loc: [numeric]
                location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
            - scale: [numeric]
                scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.

    Returns:
        Figure:
            matplotlib figure object
        tuple[Axes, Axes]:
            matplotlib plot axes

    Examples:
    - Instantiate the Gumbel class with the data and the parameters:
        ```python
        >>> import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
        >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt")
        >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=463.8040, scale=220.0724)
        >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data, parameters)

        ```
    - To calculate the confidence interval, we need to provide the confidence level (`alpha`).
        ```python
        >>> fig, ax = gumbel_dist.plot()
        >>> print(fig)
        Figure(1000x500)
        >>> print(ax)
        (<Axes: xlabel='Actual data', ylabel='pdf'>, <Axes: xlabel='Actual data', ylabel='cdf'>)

        ```
        ![gumbel-plot](./../../_images/gumbel-plot.png)
    """
    # if no parameters are provided, take the parameters provided in the class initialization.
    if parameters is None:
        parameters = self.parameters
    elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
        parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

    scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]

    if scale is None or scale <= 0:
        raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

    if cdf is None:
        cdf = PlottingPosition.weibul(self.data)
    else:
        # if the cdf is given, check if the length is the same as the data
        if len(cdf) != len(self.data):
            raise ValueError(
                "Length of cdf does not match the length of data, use the `PlottingPosition.weibul(data)` "
                "to the get the non-exceedance probability"
            )

    q_x = np.linspace(
        float(self.data_sorted[0]), 1.5 * float(self.data_sorted[-1]), 10000
    )
    pdf_fitted: Any = self.pdf(parameters=parameters, data=q_x)
    cdf_fitted: Any = self.cdf(parameters=parameters, data=q_x)

    fig, ax = Plot.details(
        q_x,
        self.data,
        pdf_fitted,
        cdf_fitted,
        cdf,
        fig_size=fig_size,
        xlabel=xlabel,
        ylabel=ylabel,
        fontsize=fontsize,
    )

    return fig, ax

statista.distributions.GEV #

Bases: AbstractDistribution

GEV (Generalized Extreme value statistics)

  • The Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution is used to model the largest or smallest value among a large set of independent, identically distributed random values.
  • The GEV distribution encompasses three types of distributions: Gumbel, Fréchet, and Weibull, which are distinguished by a shape parameter (\(\\xi\) (xi)).

  • The probability density function (PDF) of the Generalized-extreme-value distribution is:

    \[ f(x; \\zeta, \\delta, \\xi)=\\frac{1}{\\delta}\\mathrm{*}{\\mathrm{Q(x)}}^{\\xi+1}\\mathrm{ *} e^{\\mathrm{-Q(x)}} \]
    \[ Q(x; \\zeta, \\delta, \\xi)= \\begin{cases} \\left(1+ \\xi \\left(\\frac{x-\\zeta}{\\delta} \\right) \\right)^\\frac{-1}{\\xi} & \\quad\\land\\xi\\neq 0 \\\\ e^{- \\left(\\frac{x-\\zeta}{\\delta} \\right)} & \\quad \\land \\xi=0 \\end{cases} \]

    Where the \(\\delta\) (delta) is the scale parameter, \(\\zeta\) (zeta) is the location parameter, and \(\\xi\) (xi) is the shape parameter.

  • The location parameter \(\\zeta\) shifts the distribution along the x-axis. It essentially determines the mode (peak) of the distribution and its location. Changing the location parameter moves the distribution left or right without altering its shape. The location parameter ranges from negative infinity to positive infinity.

  • The scale parameter \(\\delta\) controls the spread or dispersion of the distribution. A larger scale parameter results in a wider distribution, while a smaller scale parameter results in a narrower distribution. It must always be positive.
  • The shape parameter \(\\xi\) (xi) determines the shape of the distribution. The shape parameter can be positive, negative, or zero. The shape parameter is used to classify the GEV distribution into three types: \(\\xi = 0\) Gumbel (Type I), \(\\xi > 0\) Fréchet (Type II), and \(\\xi < 0\) Weibull (Type III). The shape parameter determines the tail behavior of the distribution.

    In hydrology, the distribution is reparametrized with \(k=-\\xi\) (xi) (El Adlouni et al., 2008).

  • The cumulative distribution function (CDF) is:

    \[ F(x; \\zeta, \\delta, \\xi)= \\begin{cases} \\exp\\left(- \\left(1+ \\xi \\left(\\frac{x-\\zeta}{\\delta} \\right) \\right)^\\frac{-1}{\\xi} \\right) & \\quad\\land\\xi\\neq 0 \\land 1 + \\xi \\left( \\frac{x-\\zeta}{\\delta}\\right) > 0 \\\\ \\exp\\left(- \\exp\\left(- \\frac{x-\\zeta}{\\delta} \\right) \\right) & \\quad \\land \\xi=0 \\end{cases} \]
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
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class GEV(AbstractDistribution):
    r"""GEV (Generalized Extreme value statistics)

    - The Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution is used to model the largest or smallest value among a large
        set of independent, identically distributed random values.
    - The GEV distribution encompasses three types of distributions: Gumbel, Fréchet, and Weibull, which are
        distinguished by a shape parameter (\(\\xi\) (xi)).

    - The probability density function (PDF) of the Generalized-extreme-value distribution is:

        $$
        f(x; \\zeta, \\delta, \\xi)=\\frac{1}{\\delta}\\mathrm{*}{\\mathrm{Q(x)}}^{\\xi+1}\\mathrm{
        *} e^{\\mathrm{-Q(x)}}
        $$

        $$
        Q(x; \\zeta, \\delta, \\xi)=
        \\begin{cases}
            \\left(1+ \\xi \\left(\\frac{x-\\zeta}{\\delta} \\right) \\right)^\\frac{-1}{\\xi} &
            \\quad\\land\\xi\\neq 0 \\\\
            e^{- \\left(\\frac{x-\\zeta}{\\delta} \\right)} & \\quad \\land \\xi=0
        \\end{cases}
        $$

        Where the \(\\delta\) (delta) is the scale parameter, \(\\zeta\) (zeta) is the location parameter,
        and \(\\xi\) (xi) is the shape parameter.

    - The location parameter \(\\zeta\) shifts the distribution along the x-axis. It essentially determines the mode
        (peak) of the distribution and its location. Changing the location parameter moves the distribution left or
        right without altering its shape. The location parameter ranges from negative infinity to positive infinity.
    - The scale parameter \(\\delta\) controls the spread or dispersion of the distribution. A larger scale parameter
        results in a wider distribution, while a smaller scale parameter results in a narrower distribution. It must
        always be positive.
    - The shape parameter \(\\xi\) (xi) determines the shape of the distribution. The shape parameter can be positive,
        negative, or zero. The shape parameter is used to classify the GEV distribution into three types: \(\\xi = 0\)
        Gumbel (Type I), \(\\xi > 0\) Fréchet (Type II), and \(\\xi < 0\) Weibull (Type III). The shape
        parameter determines the tail behavior of the distribution.

        In hydrology, the distribution is reparametrized with \(k=-\\xi\) (xi) (El Adlouni et al., 2008).

    - The cumulative distribution function (CDF) is:

        $$
        F(x; \\zeta, \\delta, \\xi)=
        \\begin{cases}
            \\exp\\left(- \\left(1+ \\xi \\left(\\frac{x-\\zeta}{\\delta} \\right) \\right)^\\frac{-1}{\\xi} \\right) &
            \\quad\\land\\xi\\neq 0 \\land 1 + \\xi \\left( \\frac{x-\\zeta}{\\delta}\\right) > 0 \\\\
            \\exp\\left(- \\exp\\left(- \\frac{x-\\zeta}{\\delta} \\right) \\right) & \\quad \\land \\xi=0
        \\end{cases}
        $$

    """

    def __init__(
        self,
        data: list | np.ndarray | None = None,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    ):
        """GEV.

        Args:
            data: [list]
                data time series.
            parameters: Parameters
                Distribution parameters instance.

                - loc: [numeric]
                    location parameter of the GEV distribution.
                - scale: [numeric]
                    scale parameter of the GEV distribution.
                - shape: [numeric]
                    shape parameter of the GEV distribution.

        Examples:
            - First load the sample data.
                ```python
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt")

                ```
        - I nstantiate the Gumbel class only with the data.
            ```python
            >>> gev_dist = GEV(data)
            >>> print(gev_dist) # doctest: +SKIP
            <statista.distributions.Gumbel object at 0x000001CDDE9563F0>

            ```
        - You can also instantiate the Gumbel class with the data and the parameters if you already have them.
            ```python
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1)
            >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)
            >>> print(gev_dist) # doctest: +SKIP
            <statista.distributions.Gumbel object at 0x000001CDDEB32C00>
            ```
        """
        super().__init__(data, parameters)

    @staticmethod
    def _pdf_eq(data: list | np.ndarray, parameters: Parameters) -> np.ndarray:
        loc = parameters.loc
        scale = parameters.scale
        shape = parameters.shape

        pdf = genextreme.pdf(data, loc=loc, scale=scale, c=shape)
        return pdf

    def pdf(  # type: ignore[override]
        self,
        plot_figure: bool = False,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
        data: list[float] | np.ndarray | None = None,
        *args: Any,
        **kwargs: Any,
    ) -> tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any] | np.ndarray:
        """pdf.

        Returns the value of GEV's pdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

        Args:
            parameters: Parameters, optional, default is None.
                if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used.

                - loc: [numeric]
                    location parameter of the GEV distribution.
                - scale: [numeric]
                    scale parameter of the GEV distribution.
                - shape: [numeric]
                    shape parameter of the GEV distribution.
            data: np.ndarray, default is None.
                array if you want to calculate the pdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor
                method.
            plot_figure: [bool]
                Default is False.
            kwargs:
                fig_size: [tuple]
                    Default is (6, 5).
                xlabel: [str]
                    Default is "Actual data".
                ylabel: [str]
                    Default is "pdf".
                fontsize: [int]
                    Default is 15

        Returns:
            pdf: [np.ndarray]
                probability density function pdf.
            fig: matplotlib.figure.Figure, if `plot_figure` is True.
                Figure object.
            ax: matplotlib.axes.Axes, if `plot_figure` is True.
                Axes object.

        Examples:
            - To calculate the pdf of the GEV distribution, we need to provide the parameters.
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import GEV
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt")
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1)
            >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)
            >>> _ = gev_dist.pdf(plot_figure=True)

            ```
            ![gev-random-pdf](./../../_images/gev-random-pdf.png)
        """
        result = super().pdf(
            parameters=parameters,
            data=data,
            plot_figure=plot_figure,
            *args,
            **kwargs,
        )  # type: ignore[misc]

        return result

    def random(
        self,
        size: int,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    ) -> tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any] | np.ndarray:
        """Generate Random Variable.

        Args:
            size: int
                size of the random generated sample.
            parameters: Parameters
                Distribution parameters instance.

                - loc: [numeric]
                    location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
                - scale: [numeric]
                    scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.

        Returns:
            data: [np.ndarray]
                random generated data.

        Examples:
            - To generate a random sample that follow the gumbel distribution with the parameters loc=0 and scale=1.
                ```python
                >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1)
                >>> gev_dist = GEV(parameters=parameters)
                >>> random_data = gev_dist.random(100)

                ```
            - then we can use the `pdf` method to plot the pdf of the random data.
                ```python
                >>> _ = gev_dist.pdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")

                ```
                ![gev-random-pdf](./../../_images/gev-random-pdf.png)
                ```
                >>> _ = gev_dist.cdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")

                ```
                ![gev-random-cdf](./../../_images/gev-random-cdf.png)
        """
        # if no parameters are provided, take the parameters provided in the class initialization.
        if parameters is None:
            parameters = self.parameters
        elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
            parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

        loc = parameters.loc  # type: ignore[union-attr]
        scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]
        shape = parameters.shape  # type: ignore[union-attr]

        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

        random_data = genextreme.rvs(loc=loc, scale=scale, c=shape, size=size)
        return random_data

    @staticmethod
    def _cdf_eq(data: list | np.ndarray, parameters: Parameters) -> np.ndarray:
        loc = parameters.loc
        scale = parameters.scale
        shape = parameters.shape
        # equation https://www.rdocumentation.org/packages/evd/versions/2.3-6/topics/fextreme
        # z = (ts - loc) / scale
        # if shape == 0:
        #     # GEV is Gumbel distribution
        #     cdf = np.exp(-np.exp(-z))
        # else:
        #     y = 1 - shape * z
        #     cdf = list()
        #     for y_i in y:
        #         if y_i > ninf:
        #             logY = -np.log(y_i) / shape
        #             cdf.append(np.exp(-np.exp(-logY)))
        #         elif shape < 0:
        #             cdf.append(0)
        #         else:
        #             cdf.append(1)
        #
        # cdf = np.array(cdf)
        cdf = genextreme.cdf(data, c=shape, loc=loc, scale=scale)
        return cdf

    def cdf(  # type: ignore[override]
        self,
        plot_figure: bool = False,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
        data: list[float] | np.ndarray | None = None,
        *args: Any,
        **kwargs: Any,
    ) -> (
        tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Axes] | np.ndarray
    ):  # pylint: disable=arguments-differ
        """cdf.

        cdf calculates the value of Gumbel's cdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

        Args:
            parameters: Parameters, optional, default is None.
                if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used.

                - loc: [numeric]
                    location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
                - scale: [numeric]
                    scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
            data: np.ndarray, default is None.
                array if you want to calculate the cdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor
                method.
            plot_figure: [bool]
                Default is False.
            kwargs:
                fig_size: [tuple]
                    Default is (6, 5).
                xlabel: [str]
                    Default is "Actual data".
                ylabel: [str]
                    Default is "cdf".
                fontsize: [int]
                    Default is 15.

        Returns:
            cdf: [array]
                cumulative distribution function cdf.
            fig: matplotlib.figure.Figure, if `plot_figure` is True.
                Figure object.
            ax: matplotlib.axes.Axes, if `plot_figure` is True.
                Axes object.

        Examples:
            - To calculate the cdf of the GEV distribution, we need to provide the parameters.
                ```python
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt")
                >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1)
                >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)
                >>> _ = gev_dist.cdf(plot_figure=True)

                ```
            ![gev-random-cdf](./../../_images/gev-random-cdf.png)
        """
        result = super().cdf(
            parameters=parameters,
            data=data,
            plot_figure=plot_figure,
            *args,
            **kwargs,
        )  # type: ignore[misc]
        return result

    def return_period(
        self,
        *,
        data: np.ndarray | None = None,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    ) -> np.ndarray:
        """return_period.

            calculate return period calculates the return period for a list/array of values or a single value.

        Args:
            data (list/array/float):
                value you want the coresponding return value for
            parameters (Parameters):
                Distribution parameters instance.

                - shape (float):
                    shape parameter
                - loc (float):
                    location parameter
                - scale (float):
                    scale parameter

        Returns:
            float:
                return period
        """
        if data is None:
            data = self.data

        if parameters is None:
            parameters = self.parameters
        elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
            parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

        cdf: Any = self.cdf(parameters=parameters, data=data)

        rp = 1 / (1 - cdf)

        return rp

    def fit_model(
        self,
        method: str = "mle",
        obj_func=None,
        threshold: int | float | None = None,
        test: bool = True,
    ) -> Parameters:
        """Fit model.

        fit_model estimates the distribution parameter based on MLM
        (Maximum likelihood method), if an objective function is entered as an input

        There are two likelihood functions (L1 and L2), one for values above some
        threshold (x>=C) and one for the values below (x < C), now the likeliest parameters
        are those at the max value of multiplication between two functions max(L1*L2).

        In this case, the L1 is still the product of multiplication of probability
        density function's values at xi, but the L2 is the probability that threshold
        value C will be exceeded (1-F(C)).

        Args:
            obj_func (Callable | None):
                function to be used to get the distribution parameters.
            threshold (int | float | None):
                Value you want to consider only the greater values.
            method (str):
                'mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', optimization
            test (bool):
                Default is True

        Returns:
            Parameters:
                Distribution parameters instance.

                - loc: [numeric]
                    location parameter of the GEV distribution.
                - scale: [numeric]
                    scale parameter of the GEV distribution.
                - shape: [numeric]
                    shape parameter of the GEV distribution.

        Examples:
            - Instantiate the Gumbel class only with the data.
                ```python
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt")
                >>> gev_dist = GEV(data)

                ```
            - Then use the `fit_model` method to estimate the distribution parameters. the method takes the method as
                parameter, the default is 'mle'. the `test` parameter is used to perform the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and chisquare
                test.
                ```python
                >>> parameters = gev_dist.fit_model(method="mle", test=True)
                -----KS Test--------
                Statistic = 0.06
                Accept Hypothesis
                P value = 0.9942356257694902
                >>> print(parameters) # doctest: +SKIP
                Parameters(loc=-0.05962776672431072, scale=0.9114319092295455, shape=0.03492066094614391)

                ```
            - You can also use the `lmoments` method to estimate the distribution parameters.
                ```python
                >>> parameters = gev_dist.fit_model(method="lmoments", test=True)
                -----KS Test--------
                Statistic = 0.05
                Accept Hypothesis
                P value = 0.9996892272702655
                >>> print(parameters) # doctest: +SKIP
                Parameters(loc=-0.07182150513604696, scale=0.9153288314267931, shape=0.018944589308927475)

                ```
            - You can also use the `fit_model` method to estimate the distribution parameters using the 'optimization'
                method. the optimization method requires the `obj_func` and `threshold` parameter. the method
                will take the `threshold` number and try to fit the data values that are greater than the threshold.
                ```python
                >>> threshold = np.quantile(data, 0.80)
                >>> print(threshold)
                1.39252

                ```
        """
        # obj_func = lambda p, x: (-np.log(Gumbel.pdf(x, p[0], p[1]))).sum()
        # #first we make a simple Gumbel fit
        # Par1 = so.fmin(obj_func, [0.5,0.5], args=(np.array(data),))

        method = super().fit_model(method=method)  # type: ignore[assignment]
        if method == "mle" or method == "mm":
            param_list: Any = list(genextreme.fit(self.data, method=method))
        elif method == "lmoments":
            lm = Lmoments(self.data)
            lmu = lm.calculate()
            param_list = Lmoments.gev(lmu)
        elif method == "optimization":
            if obj_func is None or threshold is None:
                raise TypeError(OBJ_FUNCTION_THRESHOLD_ERROR)

            param_list = genextreme.fit(self.data, method="mle")
            # then we use the result as starting value for your truncated Gumbel fit
            param_list = so.fmin(
                obj_func,
                [threshold, param_list[0], param_list[1], param_list[2]],
                args=(self.data,),
                maxiter=500,
                maxfun=500,
            )
            param_list = [param_list[1], param_list[2], param_list[3]]
        else:
            raise ValueError(f"The given: {method} does not exist")

        param = Parameters(loc=param_list[1], scale=param_list[2], shape=param_list[0])
        self.parameters = param

        if test:
            self.ks()
            self.chisquare()

        return param

    def inverse_cdf(
        self,
        cdf: np.ndarray | list[float] | None = None,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    ) -> np.ndarray:
        """Theoretical Estimate.

        Theoretical Estimate method calculates the theoretical values based on a given non-exceedance probability

        Args:
            parameters: Parameters
                Distribution parameters instance.
            cdf: [list]
                cumulative distribution function/ Non-Exceedance probability.

        Returns:
            theoretical value: [numeric]
                Value based on the theoretical distribution

        Examples:
            - Instantiate the Gumbel class only with the data.
                ```python
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt")
                >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1)
                >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)

                ```
            - We will generate a random numbers between 0 and 1 and pass it to the inverse_cdf method as a probabilities
                to get the data that coresponds to these probabilities based on the distribution.
                ```python
                >>> cdf = [0.1, 0.2, 0.4, 0.6, 0.8, 0.9]
                >>> data_values = gev_dist.inverse_cdf(cdf)
                >>> print(data_values)
                [-0.86980039 -0.4873901   0.08704056  0.64966292  1.39286858  2.01513112]

                ```
        """
        if parameters is None:
            parameters = self.parameters
        elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
            parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

        cdf = np.array(cdf)
        if np.any(cdf < 0) or np.any(cdf > 1):
            raise ValueError(CDF_INVALID_VALUE_ERROR)

        q_th = self._inv_cdf(cdf, parameters)  # type: ignore[arg-type]
        return q_th

    @staticmethod
    def _inv_cdf(cdf: np.ndarray | list[float], parameters: Parameters):
        loc = parameters.loc
        scale = parameters.scale
        shape = parameters.shape

        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

        if shape is None:
            raise ValueError("Shape parameter should not be None")

        # the main equation from scipy
        q_th = genextreme.ppf(cdf, shape, loc=loc, scale=scale)
        return q_th

    def ks(self) -> GoodnessOfFitResult:
        """Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test.

        The smaller the D statistic, the more likely that the two samples are drawn from the
        same distribution. If ``p_value < alpha`` — reject the null hypothesis.

        Returns:
            GoodnessOfFitResult with ``statistic`` (D) and ``p_value``. Supports tuple unpacking
            ``stat, p = dist.ks()`` for backward compatibility.
        """
        return super().ks()

    def chisquare(self) -> GoodnessOfFitResult:
        """Chi-square goodness-of-fit test.

        Returns:
            GoodnessOfFitResult with ``statistic`` and ``p_value``. Supports tuple unpacking.
        """
        return super().chisquare()

    def confidence_interval(  # type: ignore[override]
        self,
        alpha: float = 0.1,
        plot_figure: bool = False,
        prob_non_exceed: np.ndarray = None,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
        state_function: Callable | None = None,
        n_samples: int = 100,
        method: str = "lmoments",
        **kwargs: Any,
    ) -> (
        tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray] | tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray, Figure, Axes]
    ):  # pylint: disable=arguments-differ
        """confidence_interval.

        Args:
            parameters: Parameters, optional, default is None.
                if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used.

                - loc: [numeric]
                    location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
                - scale: [numeric]
                    scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
            prob_non_exceed: [list]
                Non-Exceedance probability
            alpha: [numeric]
                alpha or SignificanceLevel is a value of the confidence interval.
            state_function: callable, Default is GEV.ci_func
                function to calculate the confidence interval.
            n_samples: [int]
                number of samples generated by the bootstrap method Default is 100.
            method: [str]
                method used to fit the generated samples from the bootstrap method ["lmoments", "mle", "mm"]. Default is
                "lmoments".
            plot_figure: bool, optional, default is False.
                to plot the confidence interval.

        Returns:
            q_upper: [list]
                upper-bound coresponding to the confidence interval.
            q_lower: [list]
                lower-bound coresponding to the confidence interval.
            fig: matplotlib.figure.Figure
                Figure object.
            ax: matplotlib.axes.Axes
                Axes object.

        Examples:
            - Instantiate the GEV class with the data and the parameters.
                ```python
                >>> import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series1.txt")
                >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=16.3928, scale=0.70054, shape=-0.1614793)
                >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)

                ```
            - to calculate the confidence interval, we need to provide the confidence level (`alpha`).
                ```python
                >>> upper, lower = gev_dist.confidence_interval(alpha=0.1)

                ```
            - You can also plot confidence intervals
                ```python
                >>> upper, lower, fig, ax = gev_dist.confidence_interval(alpha=0.1, plot_figure=True, marker_size=10)

                ```
            ![gev-confidence-interval](./../../_images/gev-confidence-interval.png)
        """
        # if no parameters are provided, take the parameters provided in the class initialization.
        if parameters is None:
            parameters = self.parameters
        elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
            parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

        scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]
        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

        if prob_non_exceed is None:
            prob_non_exceed = PlottingPosition.weibul(self.data)
        else:
            # if the prob_non_exceed is given, check if the length is the same as the data
            if len(prob_non_exceed) != len(self.data):
                raise ValueError(PROB_NON_EXCEEDENCE_ERROR)
        if state_function is None:
            state_function = GEV.ci_func

        ci = ConfidenceInterval.boot_strap(
            self.data,
            state_function=state_function,
            gevfit=parameters,
            F=prob_non_exceed,
            alpha=alpha,
            n_samples=n_samples,
            method=method,
            **kwargs,
        )
        q_lower = ci["lb"]
        q_upper = ci["ub"]

        if plot_figure:
            qth = self._inv_cdf(prob_non_exceed, parameters)  # type: ignore[arg-type]
            fig, ax = Plot.confidence_level(
                qth, self.data, q_lower, q_upper, alpha=alpha, **kwargs  # type: ignore[arg-type]
            )
            return q_upper, q_lower, fig, ax
        else:
            return q_upper, q_lower

    def plot(
        self,
        fig_size: tuple = (10, 5),
        xlabel: str = PDF_XAXIS_LABEL,
        ylabel: str = "cdf",
        fontsize: int = 15,
        cdf: np.ndarray | list | None = None,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    ) -> tuple[Figure, tuple[Axes, Axes]]:
        """Probability Plot.

        Probability Plot method calculates the theoretical values based on the Gumbel distribution
        parameters, theoretical cdf (or weibul), and calculates the confidence interval.

        Args:
            parameters (Parameters):
                Distribution parameters instance.

                - loc (numeric):
                    Location parameter of the GEV distribution.
                - scale (numeric):
                    Scale parameter of the GEV distribution.
                - shape (float | int):
                    Shape parameter for the GEV distribution.
            cdf (list):
                Theoretical cdf calculated using weibul or using the distribution cdf function.
            fontsize (numeric):
                Font size of the axis labels and legend
            ylabel (str):
                y label string
            xlabel (str):
                X label string
            fig_size (int):
                size of the pdf and cdf figure

        Returns:
            Figure:
                matplotlib figure object
            tuple[Axes, Axes]:
                matplotlib plot axes

        Examples:
            - Instantiate the Gumbel class with the data and the parameters.
                ```python
                >>> import numpy as np
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series1.txt")
                >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=16.3928, scale=0.70054, shape=-0.1614793)
                >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)

                ```
            - to calculate the confidence interval, we need to provide the confidence level (`alpha`).
                ```python
                >>> fig, ax = gev_dist.plot()
                >>> print(fig)
                Figure(1000x500)
                >>> print(ax)
                (<Axes: xlabel='Actual data', ylabel='pdf'>, <Axes: xlabel='Actual data', ylabel='cdf'>)

                ```
            ![gev-plot](./../../_images/gev-plot.png)
        """
        # if no parameters are provided, take the parameters provided in the class initialization.
        if parameters is None:
            parameters = self.parameters
        elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
            parameters = Parameters(**parameters)
        scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]

        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

        if cdf is None:
            cdf = PlottingPosition.weibul(self.data)
        else:
            # if the prob_non_exceed is given, check if the length is the same as the data
            if len(cdf) != len(self.data):
                raise ValueError(PROB_NON_EXCEEDENCE_ERROR)

        q_x = np.linspace(
            float(self.data_sorted[0]), 1.5 * float(self.data_sorted[-1]), 10000
        )
        pdf_fitted: Any = self.pdf(parameters=parameters, data=q_x)
        cdf_fitted: Any = self.cdf(parameters=parameters, data=q_x)

        fig, ax = Plot.details(
            q_x,
            self.data,
            pdf_fitted,
            cdf_fitted,
            cdf,
            fig_size=fig_size,
            xlabel=xlabel,
            ylabel=ylabel,
            fontsize=fontsize,
        )

        return fig, ax

        # The function to bootstrap

    @staticmethod
    def ci_func(data: list | np.ndarray, **kwargs: Any):
        """GEV distribution function.

        Parameters
        ----------
        data: [list, np.ndarray]
            time series
        kwargs (dict[str, Any]):
            gevfit: Parameters
                GEV distribution parameters instance.
            F: [list]
                Non-Exceedance probability
            method: [str]
                method used to fit the generated samples from the bootstrap method ["lmoments", "mle", "mm"]. Default is
                "lmoments".
        """
        gevfit = kwargs["gevfit"]
        prob_non_exceed = kwargs["F"]
        method = kwargs["method"]
        # generate theoretical estimates based on a random cdf, and the dist parameters
        sample = GEV._inv_cdf(np.random.rand(len(data)), gevfit)  # type: ignore[arg-type]

        # get parameters based on the new generated sample
        dist = GEV(sample)
        new_param = dist.fit_model(method=method, test=False)  # type: ignore[arg-type]

        # return period
        # T = np.arange(0.1, 999.1, 0.1) + 1
        # +1 in order not to make 1- 1/0.1 = -9
        # T = np.linspace(0.1, 999, len(data)) + 1
        # coresponding theoretical estimate to T
        # prob_non_exceed = 1 - 1 / T
        q_th = GEV._inv_cdf(prob_non_exceed, new_param)  # type: ignore[arg-type]

        res = [new_param.loc, new_param.scale, new_param.shape]
        res.extend(q_th)
        return tuple(res)

__init__(data=None, parameters=None) #

GEV.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
data list | ndarray | None

[list] data time series.

None
parameters Parameters | dict[str, float] | None

Parameters Distribution parameters instance.

  • loc: [numeric] location parameter of the GEV distribution.
  • scale: [numeric] scale parameter of the GEV distribution.
  • shape: [numeric] shape parameter of the GEV distribution.
None

Examples:

  • First load the sample data.
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt")
    
  • I nstantiate the Gumbel class only with the data.
    >>> gev_dist = GEV(data)
    >>> print(gev_dist) # doctest: +SKIP
    <statista.distributions.Gumbel object at 0x000001CDDE9563F0>
    
  • You can also instantiate the Gumbel class with the data and the parameters if you already have them.
    >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1)
    >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)
    >>> print(gev_dist) # doctest: +SKIP
    <statista.distributions.Gumbel object at 0x000001CDDEB32C00>
    
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
def __init__(
    self,
    data: list | np.ndarray | None = None,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
):
    """GEV.

    Args:
        data: [list]
            data time series.
        parameters: Parameters
            Distribution parameters instance.

            - loc: [numeric]
                location parameter of the GEV distribution.
            - scale: [numeric]
                scale parameter of the GEV distribution.
            - shape: [numeric]
                shape parameter of the GEV distribution.

    Examples:
        - First load the sample data.
            ```python
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt")

            ```
    - I nstantiate the Gumbel class only with the data.
        ```python
        >>> gev_dist = GEV(data)
        >>> print(gev_dist) # doctest: +SKIP
        <statista.distributions.Gumbel object at 0x000001CDDE9563F0>

        ```
    - You can also instantiate the Gumbel class with the data and the parameters if you already have them.
        ```python
        >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1)
        >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)
        >>> print(gev_dist) # doctest: +SKIP
        <statista.distributions.Gumbel object at 0x000001CDDEB32C00>
        ```
    """
    super().__init__(data, parameters)

pdf(plot_figure=False, parameters=None, data=None, *args, **kwargs) #

pdf.

Returns the value of GEV's pdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
parameters Parameters | dict[str, float] | None

Parameters, optional, default is None. if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used.

  • loc: [numeric] location parameter of the GEV distribution.
  • scale: [numeric] scale parameter of the GEV distribution.
  • shape: [numeric] shape parameter of the GEV distribution.
None
data list[float] | ndarray | None

np.ndarray, default is None. array if you want to calculate the pdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor method.

None
plot_figure bool

[bool] Default is False.

False
kwargs Any

fig_size: [tuple] Default is (6, 5). xlabel: [str] Default is "Actual data". ylabel: [str] Default is "pdf". fontsize: [int] Default is 15

{}

Returns:

Name Type Description
pdf tuple[ndarray, Figure, Any] | ndarray

[np.ndarray] probability density function pdf.

fig tuple[ndarray, Figure, Any] | ndarray

matplotlib.figure.Figure, if plot_figure is True. Figure object.

ax tuple[ndarray, Figure, Any] | ndarray

matplotlib.axes.Axes, if plot_figure is True. Axes object.

Examples:

  • To calculate the pdf of the GEV distribution, we need to provide the parameters.
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> from statista.distributions import GEV
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt")
    >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1)
    >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)
    >>> _ = gev_dist.pdf(plot_figure=True)
    
    gev-random-pdf
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
def pdf(  # type: ignore[override]
    self,
    plot_figure: bool = False,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    data: list[float] | np.ndarray | None = None,
    *args: Any,
    **kwargs: Any,
) -> tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any] | np.ndarray:
    """pdf.

    Returns the value of GEV's pdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

    Args:
        parameters: Parameters, optional, default is None.
            if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used.

            - loc: [numeric]
                location parameter of the GEV distribution.
            - scale: [numeric]
                scale parameter of the GEV distribution.
            - shape: [numeric]
                shape parameter of the GEV distribution.
        data: np.ndarray, default is None.
            array if you want to calculate the pdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor
            method.
        plot_figure: [bool]
            Default is False.
        kwargs:
            fig_size: [tuple]
                Default is (6, 5).
            xlabel: [str]
                Default is "Actual data".
            ylabel: [str]
                Default is "pdf".
            fontsize: [int]
                Default is 15

    Returns:
        pdf: [np.ndarray]
            probability density function pdf.
        fig: matplotlib.figure.Figure, if `plot_figure` is True.
            Figure object.
        ax: matplotlib.axes.Axes, if `plot_figure` is True.
            Axes object.

    Examples:
        - To calculate the pdf of the GEV distribution, we need to provide the parameters.
        ```python
        >>> import numpy as np
        >>> from statista.distributions import GEV
        >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt")
        >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1)
        >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)
        >>> _ = gev_dist.pdf(plot_figure=True)

        ```
        ![gev-random-pdf](./../../_images/gev-random-pdf.png)
    """
    result = super().pdf(
        parameters=parameters,
        data=data,
        plot_figure=plot_figure,
        *args,
        **kwargs,
    )  # type: ignore[misc]

    return result

random(size, parameters=None) #

Generate Random Variable.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
size int

int size of the random generated sample.

required
parameters Parameters | dict[str, float] | None

Parameters Distribution parameters instance.

  • loc: [numeric] location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
  • scale: [numeric] scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
None

Returns:

Name Type Description
data tuple[ndarray, Figure, Any] | ndarray

[np.ndarray] random generated data.

Examples:

  • To generate a random sample that follow the gumbel distribution with the parameters loc=0 and scale=1.
    >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1)
    >>> gev_dist = GEV(parameters=parameters)
    >>> random_data = gev_dist.random(100)
    
  • then we can use the pdf method to plot the pdf of the random data.
    >>> _ = gev_dist.pdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")
    
    gev-random-pdf
    >>> _ = gev_dist.cdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")
    
    gev-random-cdf
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
def random(
    self,
    size: int,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
) -> tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any] | np.ndarray:
    """Generate Random Variable.

    Args:
        size: int
            size of the random generated sample.
        parameters: Parameters
            Distribution parameters instance.

            - loc: [numeric]
                location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
            - scale: [numeric]
                scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.

    Returns:
        data: [np.ndarray]
            random generated data.

    Examples:
        - To generate a random sample that follow the gumbel distribution with the parameters loc=0 and scale=1.
            ```python
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1)
            >>> gev_dist = GEV(parameters=parameters)
            >>> random_data = gev_dist.random(100)

            ```
        - then we can use the `pdf` method to plot the pdf of the random data.
            ```python
            >>> _ = gev_dist.pdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")

            ```
            ![gev-random-pdf](./../../_images/gev-random-pdf.png)
            ```
            >>> _ = gev_dist.cdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")

            ```
            ![gev-random-cdf](./../../_images/gev-random-cdf.png)
    """
    # if no parameters are provided, take the parameters provided in the class initialization.
    if parameters is None:
        parameters = self.parameters
    elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
        parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

    loc = parameters.loc  # type: ignore[union-attr]
    scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]
    shape = parameters.shape  # type: ignore[union-attr]

    if scale is None or scale <= 0:
        raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

    random_data = genextreme.rvs(loc=loc, scale=scale, c=shape, size=size)
    return random_data

cdf(plot_figure=False, parameters=None, data=None, *args, **kwargs) #

cdf.

cdf calculates the value of Gumbel's cdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
parameters Parameters | dict[str, float] | None

Parameters, optional, default is None. if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used.

  • loc: [numeric] location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
  • scale: [numeric] scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
None
data list[float] | ndarray | None

np.ndarray, default is None. array if you want to calculate the cdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor method.

None
plot_figure bool

[bool] Default is False.

False
kwargs Any

fig_size: [tuple] Default is (6, 5). xlabel: [str] Default is "Actual data". ylabel: [str] Default is "cdf". fontsize: [int] Default is 15.

{}

Returns:

Name Type Description
cdf tuple[ndarray, Figure, Axes] | ndarray

[array] cumulative distribution function cdf.

fig tuple[ndarray, Figure, Axes] | ndarray

matplotlib.figure.Figure, if plot_figure is True. Figure object.

ax tuple[ndarray, Figure, Axes] | ndarray

matplotlib.axes.Axes, if plot_figure is True. Axes object.

Examples:

  • To calculate the cdf of the GEV distribution, we need to provide the parameters.
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt")
    >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1)
    >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)
    >>> _ = gev_dist.cdf(plot_figure=True)
    
    gev-random-cdf
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
def cdf(  # type: ignore[override]
    self,
    plot_figure: bool = False,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    data: list[float] | np.ndarray | None = None,
    *args: Any,
    **kwargs: Any,
) -> (
    tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Axes] | np.ndarray
):  # pylint: disable=arguments-differ
    """cdf.

    cdf calculates the value of Gumbel's cdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

    Args:
        parameters: Parameters, optional, default is None.
            if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used.

            - loc: [numeric]
                location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
            - scale: [numeric]
                scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
        data: np.ndarray, default is None.
            array if you want to calculate the cdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor
            method.
        plot_figure: [bool]
            Default is False.
        kwargs:
            fig_size: [tuple]
                Default is (6, 5).
            xlabel: [str]
                Default is "Actual data".
            ylabel: [str]
                Default is "cdf".
            fontsize: [int]
                Default is 15.

    Returns:
        cdf: [array]
            cumulative distribution function cdf.
        fig: matplotlib.figure.Figure, if `plot_figure` is True.
            Figure object.
        ax: matplotlib.axes.Axes, if `plot_figure` is True.
            Axes object.

    Examples:
        - To calculate the cdf of the GEV distribution, we need to provide the parameters.
            ```python
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt")
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1)
            >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)
            >>> _ = gev_dist.cdf(plot_figure=True)

            ```
        ![gev-random-cdf](./../../_images/gev-random-cdf.png)
    """
    result = super().cdf(
        parameters=parameters,
        data=data,
        plot_figure=plot_figure,
        *args,
        **kwargs,
    )  # type: ignore[misc]
    return result

return_period(*, data=None, parameters=None) #

return_period.

calculate return period calculates the return period for a list/array of values or a single value.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
data list / array / float

value you want the coresponding return value for

None
parameters Parameters

Distribution parameters instance.

  • shape (float): shape parameter
  • loc (float): location parameter
  • scale (float): scale parameter
None

Returns:

Name Type Description
float ndarray

return period

Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
def return_period(
    self,
    *,
    data: np.ndarray | None = None,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
) -> np.ndarray:
    """return_period.

        calculate return period calculates the return period for a list/array of values or a single value.

    Args:
        data (list/array/float):
            value you want the coresponding return value for
        parameters (Parameters):
            Distribution parameters instance.

            - shape (float):
                shape parameter
            - loc (float):
                location parameter
            - scale (float):
                scale parameter

    Returns:
        float:
            return period
    """
    if data is None:
        data = self.data

    if parameters is None:
        parameters = self.parameters
    elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
        parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

    cdf: Any = self.cdf(parameters=parameters, data=data)

    rp = 1 / (1 - cdf)

    return rp

fit_model(method='mle', obj_func=None, threshold=None, test=True) #

Fit model.

fit_model estimates the distribution parameter based on MLM (Maximum likelihood method), if an objective function is entered as an input

There are two likelihood functions (L1 and L2), one for values above some threshold (x>=C) and one for the values below (x < C), now the likeliest parameters are those at the max value of multiplication between two functions max(L1*L2).

In this case, the L1 is still the product of multiplication of probability density function's values at xi, but the L2 is the probability that threshold value C will be exceeded (1-F(C)).

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
obj_func Callable | None

function to be used to get the distribution parameters.

None
threshold int | float | None

Value you want to consider only the greater values.

None
method str

'mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', optimization

'mle'
test bool

Default is True

True

Returns:

Name Type Description
Parameters Parameters

Distribution parameters instance.

  • loc: [numeric] location parameter of the GEV distribution.
  • scale: [numeric] scale parameter of the GEV distribution.
  • shape: [numeric] shape parameter of the GEV distribution.

Examples:

  • Instantiate the Gumbel class only with the data.
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt")
    >>> gev_dist = GEV(data)
    
  • Then use the fit_model method to estimate the distribution parameters. the method takes the method as parameter, the default is 'mle'. the test parameter is used to perform the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and chisquare test.
    >>> parameters = gev_dist.fit_model(method="mle", test=True)
    -----KS Test--------
    Statistic = 0.06
    Accept Hypothesis
    P value = 0.9942356257694902
    >>> print(parameters) # doctest: +SKIP
    Parameters(loc=-0.05962776672431072, scale=0.9114319092295455, shape=0.03492066094614391)
    
  • You can also use the lmoments method to estimate the distribution parameters.
    >>> parameters = gev_dist.fit_model(method="lmoments", test=True)
    -----KS Test--------
    Statistic = 0.05
    Accept Hypothesis
    P value = 0.9996892272702655
    >>> print(parameters) # doctest: +SKIP
    Parameters(loc=-0.07182150513604696, scale=0.9153288314267931, shape=0.018944589308927475)
    
  • You can also use the fit_model method to estimate the distribution parameters using the 'optimization' method. the optimization method requires the obj_func and threshold parameter. the method will take the threshold number and try to fit the data values that are greater than the threshold.
    >>> threshold = np.quantile(data, 0.80)
    >>> print(threshold)
    1.39252
    
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
def fit_model(
    self,
    method: str = "mle",
    obj_func=None,
    threshold: int | float | None = None,
    test: bool = True,
) -> Parameters:
    """Fit model.

    fit_model estimates the distribution parameter based on MLM
    (Maximum likelihood method), if an objective function is entered as an input

    There are two likelihood functions (L1 and L2), one for values above some
    threshold (x>=C) and one for the values below (x < C), now the likeliest parameters
    are those at the max value of multiplication between two functions max(L1*L2).

    In this case, the L1 is still the product of multiplication of probability
    density function's values at xi, but the L2 is the probability that threshold
    value C will be exceeded (1-F(C)).

    Args:
        obj_func (Callable | None):
            function to be used to get the distribution parameters.
        threshold (int | float | None):
            Value you want to consider only the greater values.
        method (str):
            'mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', optimization
        test (bool):
            Default is True

    Returns:
        Parameters:
            Distribution parameters instance.

            - loc: [numeric]
                location parameter of the GEV distribution.
            - scale: [numeric]
                scale parameter of the GEV distribution.
            - shape: [numeric]
                shape parameter of the GEV distribution.

    Examples:
        - Instantiate the Gumbel class only with the data.
            ```python
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt")
            >>> gev_dist = GEV(data)

            ```
        - Then use the `fit_model` method to estimate the distribution parameters. the method takes the method as
            parameter, the default is 'mle'. the `test` parameter is used to perform the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and chisquare
            test.
            ```python
            >>> parameters = gev_dist.fit_model(method="mle", test=True)
            -----KS Test--------
            Statistic = 0.06
            Accept Hypothesis
            P value = 0.9942356257694902
            >>> print(parameters) # doctest: +SKIP
            Parameters(loc=-0.05962776672431072, scale=0.9114319092295455, shape=0.03492066094614391)

            ```
        - You can also use the `lmoments` method to estimate the distribution parameters.
            ```python
            >>> parameters = gev_dist.fit_model(method="lmoments", test=True)
            -----KS Test--------
            Statistic = 0.05
            Accept Hypothesis
            P value = 0.9996892272702655
            >>> print(parameters) # doctest: +SKIP
            Parameters(loc=-0.07182150513604696, scale=0.9153288314267931, shape=0.018944589308927475)

            ```
        - You can also use the `fit_model` method to estimate the distribution parameters using the 'optimization'
            method. the optimization method requires the `obj_func` and `threshold` parameter. the method
            will take the `threshold` number and try to fit the data values that are greater than the threshold.
            ```python
            >>> threshold = np.quantile(data, 0.80)
            >>> print(threshold)
            1.39252

            ```
    """
    # obj_func = lambda p, x: (-np.log(Gumbel.pdf(x, p[0], p[1]))).sum()
    # #first we make a simple Gumbel fit
    # Par1 = so.fmin(obj_func, [0.5,0.5], args=(np.array(data),))

    method = super().fit_model(method=method)  # type: ignore[assignment]
    if method == "mle" or method == "mm":
        param_list: Any = list(genextreme.fit(self.data, method=method))
    elif method == "lmoments":
        lm = Lmoments(self.data)
        lmu = lm.calculate()
        param_list = Lmoments.gev(lmu)
    elif method == "optimization":
        if obj_func is None or threshold is None:
            raise TypeError(OBJ_FUNCTION_THRESHOLD_ERROR)

        param_list = genextreme.fit(self.data, method="mle")
        # then we use the result as starting value for your truncated Gumbel fit
        param_list = so.fmin(
            obj_func,
            [threshold, param_list[0], param_list[1], param_list[2]],
            args=(self.data,),
            maxiter=500,
            maxfun=500,
        )
        param_list = [param_list[1], param_list[2], param_list[3]]
    else:
        raise ValueError(f"The given: {method} does not exist")

    param = Parameters(loc=param_list[1], scale=param_list[2], shape=param_list[0])
    self.parameters = param

    if test:
        self.ks()
        self.chisquare()

    return param

inverse_cdf(cdf=None, parameters=None) #

Theoretical Estimate.

Theoretical Estimate method calculates the theoretical values based on a given non-exceedance probability

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
parameters Parameters | dict[str, float] | None

Parameters Distribution parameters instance.

None
cdf ndarray | list[float] | None

[list] cumulative distribution function/ Non-Exceedance probability.

None

Returns:

Type Description
ndarray

theoretical value: [numeric] Value based on the theoretical distribution

Examples:

  • Instantiate the Gumbel class only with the data.
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt")
    >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1)
    >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)
    
  • We will generate a random numbers between 0 and 1 and pass it to the inverse_cdf method as a probabilities to get the data that coresponds to these probabilities based on the distribution.
    >>> cdf = [0.1, 0.2, 0.4, 0.6, 0.8, 0.9]
    >>> data_values = gev_dist.inverse_cdf(cdf)
    >>> print(data_values)
    [-0.86980039 -0.4873901   0.08704056  0.64966292  1.39286858  2.01513112]
    
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
def inverse_cdf(
    self,
    cdf: np.ndarray | list[float] | None = None,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
) -> np.ndarray:
    """Theoretical Estimate.

    Theoretical Estimate method calculates the theoretical values based on a given non-exceedance probability

    Args:
        parameters: Parameters
            Distribution parameters instance.
        cdf: [list]
            cumulative distribution function/ Non-Exceedance probability.

    Returns:
        theoretical value: [numeric]
            Value based on the theoretical distribution

    Examples:
        - Instantiate the Gumbel class only with the data.
            ```python
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt")
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1)
            >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)

            ```
        - We will generate a random numbers between 0 and 1 and pass it to the inverse_cdf method as a probabilities
            to get the data that coresponds to these probabilities based on the distribution.
            ```python
            >>> cdf = [0.1, 0.2, 0.4, 0.6, 0.8, 0.9]
            >>> data_values = gev_dist.inverse_cdf(cdf)
            >>> print(data_values)
            [-0.86980039 -0.4873901   0.08704056  0.64966292  1.39286858  2.01513112]

            ```
    """
    if parameters is None:
        parameters = self.parameters
    elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
        parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

    cdf = np.array(cdf)
    if np.any(cdf < 0) or np.any(cdf > 1):
        raise ValueError(CDF_INVALID_VALUE_ERROR)

    q_th = self._inv_cdf(cdf, parameters)  # type: ignore[arg-type]
    return q_th

ks() #

Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test.

The smaller the D statistic, the more likely that the two samples are drawn from the same distribution. If p_value < alpha — reject the null hypothesis.

Returns:

Type Description
GoodnessOfFitResult

GoodnessOfFitResult with statistic (D) and p_value. Supports tuple unpacking

GoodnessOfFitResult

stat, p = dist.ks() for backward compatibility.

Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
def ks(self) -> GoodnessOfFitResult:
    """Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test.

    The smaller the D statistic, the more likely that the two samples are drawn from the
    same distribution. If ``p_value < alpha`` — reject the null hypothesis.

    Returns:
        GoodnessOfFitResult with ``statistic`` (D) and ``p_value``. Supports tuple unpacking
        ``stat, p = dist.ks()`` for backward compatibility.
    """
    return super().ks()

chisquare() #

Chi-square goodness-of-fit test.

Returns:

Type Description
GoodnessOfFitResult

GoodnessOfFitResult with statistic and p_value. Supports tuple unpacking.

Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
def chisquare(self) -> GoodnessOfFitResult:
    """Chi-square goodness-of-fit test.

    Returns:
        GoodnessOfFitResult with ``statistic`` and ``p_value``. Supports tuple unpacking.
    """
    return super().chisquare()

confidence_interval(alpha=0.1, plot_figure=False, prob_non_exceed=None, parameters=None, state_function=None, n_samples=100, method='lmoments', **kwargs) #

confidence_interval.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
parameters Parameters | dict[str, float] | None

Parameters, optional, default is None. if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used.

  • loc: [numeric] location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
  • scale: [numeric] scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
None
prob_non_exceed ndarray

[list] Non-Exceedance probability

None
alpha float

[numeric] alpha or SignificanceLevel is a value of the confidence interval.

0.1
state_function Callable | None

callable, Default is GEV.ci_func function to calculate the confidence interval.

None
n_samples int

[int] number of samples generated by the bootstrap method Default is 100.

100
method str

[str] method used to fit the generated samples from the bootstrap method ["lmoments", "mle", "mm"]. Default is "lmoments".

'lmoments'
plot_figure bool

bool, optional, default is False. to plot the confidence interval.

False

Returns:

Name Type Description
q_upper tuple[ndarray, ndarray] | tuple[ndarray, ndarray, Figure, Axes]

[list] upper-bound coresponding to the confidence interval.

q_lower tuple[ndarray, ndarray] | tuple[ndarray, ndarray, Figure, Axes]

[list] lower-bound coresponding to the confidence interval.

fig tuple[ndarray, ndarray] | tuple[ndarray, ndarray, Figure, Axes]

matplotlib.figure.Figure Figure object.

ax tuple[ndarray, ndarray] | tuple[ndarray, ndarray, Figure, Axes]

matplotlib.axes.Axes Axes object.

Examples:

  • Instantiate the GEV class with the data and the parameters.
    >>> import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series1.txt")
    >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=16.3928, scale=0.70054, shape=-0.1614793)
    >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)
    
  • to calculate the confidence interval, we need to provide the confidence level (alpha).
    >>> upper, lower = gev_dist.confidence_interval(alpha=0.1)
    
  • You can also plot confidence intervals
    >>> upper, lower, fig, ax = gev_dist.confidence_interval(alpha=0.1, plot_figure=True, marker_size=10)
    
    gev-confidence-interval
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
def confidence_interval(  # type: ignore[override]
    self,
    alpha: float = 0.1,
    plot_figure: bool = False,
    prob_non_exceed: np.ndarray = None,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    state_function: Callable | None = None,
    n_samples: int = 100,
    method: str = "lmoments",
    **kwargs: Any,
) -> (
    tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray] | tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray, Figure, Axes]
):  # pylint: disable=arguments-differ
    """confidence_interval.

    Args:
        parameters: Parameters, optional, default is None.
            if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used.

            - loc: [numeric]
                location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
            - scale: [numeric]
                scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
        prob_non_exceed: [list]
            Non-Exceedance probability
        alpha: [numeric]
            alpha or SignificanceLevel is a value of the confidence interval.
        state_function: callable, Default is GEV.ci_func
            function to calculate the confidence interval.
        n_samples: [int]
            number of samples generated by the bootstrap method Default is 100.
        method: [str]
            method used to fit the generated samples from the bootstrap method ["lmoments", "mle", "mm"]. Default is
            "lmoments".
        plot_figure: bool, optional, default is False.
            to plot the confidence interval.

    Returns:
        q_upper: [list]
            upper-bound coresponding to the confidence interval.
        q_lower: [list]
            lower-bound coresponding to the confidence interval.
        fig: matplotlib.figure.Figure
            Figure object.
        ax: matplotlib.axes.Axes
            Axes object.

    Examples:
        - Instantiate the GEV class with the data and the parameters.
            ```python
            >>> import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series1.txt")
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=16.3928, scale=0.70054, shape=-0.1614793)
            >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)

            ```
        - to calculate the confidence interval, we need to provide the confidence level (`alpha`).
            ```python
            >>> upper, lower = gev_dist.confidence_interval(alpha=0.1)

            ```
        - You can also plot confidence intervals
            ```python
            >>> upper, lower, fig, ax = gev_dist.confidence_interval(alpha=0.1, plot_figure=True, marker_size=10)

            ```
        ![gev-confidence-interval](./../../_images/gev-confidence-interval.png)
    """
    # if no parameters are provided, take the parameters provided in the class initialization.
    if parameters is None:
        parameters = self.parameters
    elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
        parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

    scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]
    if scale is None or scale <= 0:
        raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

    if prob_non_exceed is None:
        prob_non_exceed = PlottingPosition.weibul(self.data)
    else:
        # if the prob_non_exceed is given, check if the length is the same as the data
        if len(prob_non_exceed) != len(self.data):
            raise ValueError(PROB_NON_EXCEEDENCE_ERROR)
    if state_function is None:
        state_function = GEV.ci_func

    ci = ConfidenceInterval.boot_strap(
        self.data,
        state_function=state_function,
        gevfit=parameters,
        F=prob_non_exceed,
        alpha=alpha,
        n_samples=n_samples,
        method=method,
        **kwargs,
    )
    q_lower = ci["lb"]
    q_upper = ci["ub"]

    if plot_figure:
        qth = self._inv_cdf(prob_non_exceed, parameters)  # type: ignore[arg-type]
        fig, ax = Plot.confidence_level(
            qth, self.data, q_lower, q_upper, alpha=alpha, **kwargs  # type: ignore[arg-type]
        )
        return q_upper, q_lower, fig, ax
    else:
        return q_upper, q_lower

plot(fig_size=(10, 5), xlabel=PDF_XAXIS_LABEL, ylabel='cdf', fontsize=15, cdf=None, parameters=None) #

Probability Plot.

Probability Plot method calculates the theoretical values based on the Gumbel distribution parameters, theoretical cdf (or weibul), and calculates the confidence interval.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
parameters Parameters

Distribution parameters instance.

  • loc (numeric): Location parameter of the GEV distribution.
  • scale (numeric): Scale parameter of the GEV distribution.
  • shape (float | int): Shape parameter for the GEV distribution.
None
cdf list

Theoretical cdf calculated using weibul or using the distribution cdf function.

None
fontsize numeric

Font size of the axis labels and legend

15
ylabel str

y label string

'cdf'
xlabel str

X label string

PDF_XAXIS_LABEL
fig_size int

size of the pdf and cdf figure

(10, 5)

Returns:

Name Type Description
Figure Figure

matplotlib figure object

tuple[Axes, Axes]

tuple[Axes, Axes]: matplotlib plot axes

Examples:

  • Instantiate the Gumbel class with the data and the parameters.
    >>> import numpy as np
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series1.txt")
    >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=16.3928, scale=0.70054, shape=-0.1614793)
    >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)
    
  • to calculate the confidence interval, we need to provide the confidence level (alpha).
    >>> fig, ax = gev_dist.plot()
    >>> print(fig)
    Figure(1000x500)
    >>> print(ax)
    (<Axes: xlabel='Actual data', ylabel='pdf'>, <Axes: xlabel='Actual data', ylabel='cdf'>)
    
    gev-plot
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
def plot(
    self,
    fig_size: tuple = (10, 5),
    xlabel: str = PDF_XAXIS_LABEL,
    ylabel: str = "cdf",
    fontsize: int = 15,
    cdf: np.ndarray | list | None = None,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
) -> tuple[Figure, tuple[Axes, Axes]]:
    """Probability Plot.

    Probability Plot method calculates the theoretical values based on the Gumbel distribution
    parameters, theoretical cdf (or weibul), and calculates the confidence interval.

    Args:
        parameters (Parameters):
            Distribution parameters instance.

            - loc (numeric):
                Location parameter of the GEV distribution.
            - scale (numeric):
                Scale parameter of the GEV distribution.
            - shape (float | int):
                Shape parameter for the GEV distribution.
        cdf (list):
            Theoretical cdf calculated using weibul or using the distribution cdf function.
        fontsize (numeric):
            Font size of the axis labels and legend
        ylabel (str):
            y label string
        xlabel (str):
            X label string
        fig_size (int):
            size of the pdf and cdf figure

    Returns:
        Figure:
            matplotlib figure object
        tuple[Axes, Axes]:
            matplotlib plot axes

    Examples:
        - Instantiate the Gumbel class with the data and the parameters.
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series1.txt")
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=16.3928, scale=0.70054, shape=-0.1614793)
            >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters)

            ```
        - to calculate the confidence interval, we need to provide the confidence level (`alpha`).
            ```python
            >>> fig, ax = gev_dist.plot()
            >>> print(fig)
            Figure(1000x500)
            >>> print(ax)
            (<Axes: xlabel='Actual data', ylabel='pdf'>, <Axes: xlabel='Actual data', ylabel='cdf'>)

            ```
        ![gev-plot](./../../_images/gev-plot.png)
    """
    # if no parameters are provided, take the parameters provided in the class initialization.
    if parameters is None:
        parameters = self.parameters
    elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
        parameters = Parameters(**parameters)
    scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]

    if scale is None or scale <= 0:
        raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

    if cdf is None:
        cdf = PlottingPosition.weibul(self.data)
    else:
        # if the prob_non_exceed is given, check if the length is the same as the data
        if len(cdf) != len(self.data):
            raise ValueError(PROB_NON_EXCEEDENCE_ERROR)

    q_x = np.linspace(
        float(self.data_sorted[0]), 1.5 * float(self.data_sorted[-1]), 10000
    )
    pdf_fitted: Any = self.pdf(parameters=parameters, data=q_x)
    cdf_fitted: Any = self.cdf(parameters=parameters, data=q_x)

    fig, ax = Plot.details(
        q_x,
        self.data,
        pdf_fitted,
        cdf_fitted,
        cdf,
        fig_size=fig_size,
        xlabel=xlabel,
        ylabel=ylabel,
        fontsize=fontsize,
    )

    return fig, ax

ci_func(data, **kwargs) staticmethod #

GEV distribution function.

Parameters#

data: [list, np.ndarray] time series kwargs (dict[str, Any]): gevfit: Parameters GEV distribution parameters instance. F: [list] Non-Exceedance probability method: [str] method used to fit the generated samples from the bootstrap method ["lmoments", "mle", "mm"]. Default is "lmoments".

Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
@staticmethod
def ci_func(data: list | np.ndarray, **kwargs: Any):
    """GEV distribution function.

    Parameters
    ----------
    data: [list, np.ndarray]
        time series
    kwargs (dict[str, Any]):
        gevfit: Parameters
            GEV distribution parameters instance.
        F: [list]
            Non-Exceedance probability
        method: [str]
            method used to fit the generated samples from the bootstrap method ["lmoments", "mle", "mm"]. Default is
            "lmoments".
    """
    gevfit = kwargs["gevfit"]
    prob_non_exceed = kwargs["F"]
    method = kwargs["method"]
    # generate theoretical estimates based on a random cdf, and the dist parameters
    sample = GEV._inv_cdf(np.random.rand(len(data)), gevfit)  # type: ignore[arg-type]

    # get parameters based on the new generated sample
    dist = GEV(sample)
    new_param = dist.fit_model(method=method, test=False)  # type: ignore[arg-type]

    # return period
    # T = np.arange(0.1, 999.1, 0.1) + 1
    # +1 in order not to make 1- 1/0.1 = -9
    # T = np.linspace(0.1, 999, len(data)) + 1
    # coresponding theoretical estimate to T
    # prob_non_exceed = 1 - 1 / T
    q_th = GEV._inv_cdf(prob_non_exceed, new_param)  # type: ignore[arg-type]

    res = [new_param.loc, new_param.scale, new_param.shape]
    res.extend(q_th)
    return tuple(res)

statista.distributions.Exponential #

Bases: AbstractDistribution

Exponential distribution.

  • The exponential distribution assumes that small values occur more frequently than large values.

  • The probability density function (PDF) of the Exponential distribution is:

    \[ f(x; \delta, \beta) = \begin{cases} \frac{1}{\beta} e^{-\frac{x - \delta}{\beta}} & \quad x \geq \delta \\ 0 & \quad x < \delta \end{cases} \]
  • The probability density function above uses the location parameter \(\delta\) and the scale parameter \(\beta\) to define the distribution in a standardized form.

  • A common parameterization for the exponential distribution is in terms of the rate parameter \(\lambda\), such that \(\lambda = 1 / \beta\).
  • The Location Parameter (\(\delta\)): This shifts the starting point of the distribution. The distribution is defined for \(x \geq \delta\).
  • Scale Parameter (\(\beta\)): This determines the spread of the distribution. The rate parameter \(\lambda\) is the inverse of the scale parameter, so \(\lambda = \frac{1}{\beta}\).

  • The cumulative distribution functions.

    \[ F(x; \delta, \beta) = \begin{cases} 1 - e^{-\frac{x - \delta}{\beta}} & \quad x \geq \delta \\ 0 & \quad x < \delta \end{cases} \]
Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
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class Exponential(AbstractDistribution):
    """Exponential distribution.

    - The exponential distribution assumes that small values occur more frequently than large values.

    - The probability density function (PDF) of the Exponential distribution is:

        $$
        f(x; \\delta, \\beta) =
        \\begin{cases}
            \\frac{1}{\\beta} e^{-\\frac{x - \\delta}{\\beta}} & \\quad x \\geq \\delta \\\\
            0 & \\quad x < \\delta
        \\end{cases}
        $$

    - The probability density function above uses the location parameter \\(\\delta\\) and the scale parameter
        \\(\\beta\\) to define the distribution in a standardized form.
    - A common parameterization for the exponential distribution is in terms of the rate parameter \\(\\lambda\\),
        such that \\(\\lambda = 1 / \\beta\\).
    - The Location Parameter (\\(\\delta\\)): This shifts the starting point of the distribution. The distribution is
        defined for \\(x \\geq \\delta\\).
    - Scale Parameter (\\(\\beta\\)): This determines the spread of the distribution. The rate parameter
        \\(\\lambda\\) is the inverse of the scale parameter, so \\(\\lambda = \\frac{1}{\\beta}\\).

    - The cumulative distribution functions.

        $$
        F(x; \\delta, \\beta) =
        \\begin{cases}
            1 - e^{-\\frac{x - \\delta}{\\beta}} & \\quad x \\geq \\delta \\\\
            0 & \\quad x < \\delta
        \\end{cases}
        $$

    """

    def __init__(
        self,
        data: list | np.ndarray | None = None,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    ):
        """Exponential Distribution.

        Args:
            data (list):
                data time series.
            parameters (Parameters):
                Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)

                - loc (numeric):
                    location parameter of the exponential distribution.
                - scale (numeric):
                    scale parameter of the exponential distribution.
        """
        super().__init__(data, parameters)

    @staticmethod
    def _pdf_eq(data: list | np.ndarray, parameters: Parameters) -> np.ndarray:
        loc = parameters.loc
        scale = parameters.scale

        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

        pdf = expon.pdf(data, loc=loc, scale=scale)
        return pdf

    def pdf(  # type: ignore[override]
        self,
        plot_figure: bool = False,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
        data: list[float] | np.ndarray | None = None,
        *args: Any,
        **kwargs: Any,
    ) -> tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any] | np.ndarray:
        """pdf.

        Returns the value of Gumbel's pdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

        Args:
            parameters (Parameters, optional):
                if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used.
                - loc: [numeric]
                    location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
                - scale: [numeric]
                    scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
                ```python
                Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
                ```
                default is None.
            data (np.ndarray):
                array if you want to calculate the pdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor
                method. default is None.
            plot_figure (bool):
                Default is False.
            kwargs (dict[str, Any]):
                fig_size(tuple):
                    Default is (6, 5).
                xlabel (str):
                    Default is "Actual data".
                ylabel (str):
                    Default is "pdf".
                fontsize (int):
                    Default is 15

        Returns:
            pdf (array):
                probability density function pdf.
            fig (matplotlib.figure.Figure):
                Figure object. returned only if `plot_figure` is True.
            ax (matplotlib.axes.Axes):
                Axes object. returned only if `plot_figure` is True.

        Examples:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Exponential
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/expo.txt")
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)
            >>> expo_dist = Exponential(data, parameters)
            >>> _ = expo_dist.pdf(plot_figure=True)

            ```
            ![exponential-pdf](./../../_images/distributions/exponential-pdf-2.png)
        """
        result = super().pdf(
            parameters=parameters,
            data=data,
            plot_figure=plot_figure,
            *args,
            **kwargs,
        )  # type: ignore[misc]

        return result

    def random(
        self,
        size: int,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    ) -> tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any] | np.ndarray:
        """Generate Random Variable.

        Args:
            size (int):
                size of the random generated sample.
            parameters (Parameters):
                - loc (numeric):
                    location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
                - scale (numeric):
                    scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
                ```python
                Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
                ```

        Returns:
            data (np.ndarray):
                random generated data.

        Examples:
            - To generate a random sample that follow the gumbel distribution with the parameters loc=0 and scale=1.
                ```python
                >>> from statista.distributions import Exponential
                >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)
                >>> expon_dist = Exponential(parameters=parameters)
                >>> random_data = expon_dist.random(1000)

                ```
            - then we can use the `pdf` method to plot the pdf of the random data.
                ```python
                >>> _ = expon_dist.pdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")

                ```
                ![exponential-pdf](./../../_images/distributions/exponential-pdf.png)

                ```python
                >>> _ = expon_dist.cdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")

                ```
                ![exponential-cdf](./../../_images/distributions/exponential-cdf.png)
        """
        # if no parameters are provided, take the parameters provided in the class initialization.
        if parameters is None:
            parameters = self.parameters
        elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
            parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

        loc = parameters.loc  # type: ignore[union-attr]
        scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]
        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

        random_data = expon.rvs(loc=loc, scale=scale, size=size)
        return random_data

    @staticmethod
    def _cdf_eq(data: list | np.ndarray, parameters: Parameters) -> np.ndarray:
        """
        old cdf equation.
        ```python
        >>> ts = np.array([1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6]) # any value
        >>> loc = 0 # any value
        >>> scale = 2 # any value
        >>> Y = (ts - loc) / scale
        >>> cdf = 1 - np.exp(-Y)
        >>> for i in range(0, len(cdf)):
        ...     if cdf[i] < 0:
        ...         cdf[i] = 0

        ```
        """
        loc = parameters.loc
        scale = parameters.scale
        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

        cdf = expon.cdf(data, loc=loc, scale=scale)
        return cdf

    def cdf(  # type: ignore[override]
        self,
        plot_figure: bool = False,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
        data: list[float] | np.ndarray | None = None,
        *args: Any,
        **kwargs: Any,
    ) -> (
        tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any] | np.ndarray
    ):  # pylint: disable=arguments-differ
        """cdf.

        cdf calculates the value of Gumbel's cdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

        Args:
            parameters (Parameters, optional):
                if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used. default is None.
                - loc (numeric):
                    location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
                - scale (numeric):
                    scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
                ```python
                Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
                ```
            data (np.ndarray):
                array if you want to calculate the cdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor
                method. default is None.
            plot_figure (bool):
                Default is False.
            kwargs (dict[str, Any]):
                fig_size: [tuple]
                    Default is (6, 5).
                xlabel (str):
                    Default is "Actual data".
                ylabel (str):
                    Default is "cdf".
                fontsize (int):
                    Default is 15.

        Returns:
            cdf (array):
                probability density function cdf.
            fig (matplotlib.figure.Figure):
                Figure object is returned only if `plot_figure` is True.
            ax (matplotlib.axes.Axes):
                Axes object is returned only if `plot_figure` is True.

        Examples:
            ```python
            >>> import numpy as np
            >>> from statista.distributions import Exponential
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/expo.txt")
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)
            >>> expo_dist = Exponential(data, parameters)
            >>> _ = expo_dist.cdf(plot_figure=True)

            ```
            ![gamma-pdf](./../../_images/distributions/expo-random-cdf.png)
        """
        result = super().cdf(
            parameters=parameters,
            data=data,
            plot_figure=plot_figure,
            *args,
            **kwargs,
        )  # type: ignore[misc]
        return result

    def fit_model(
        self,
        method: str = "mle",
        obj_func=None,
        threshold: int | float | None = None,
        test: bool = True,
    ) -> Parameters:
        """fit_model.

        fit_model estimates the distribution parameter based on MLM
        (Maximum likelihood method), if an objective function is entered as an input

        There are two likelihood functions (L1 and L2), one for values above some
        threshold (x>=C) and one for the values below (x < C), now the likeliest parameters
        are those at the max value of multiplication between two functions max(L1*L2).

        In this case, the L1 is still the product of multiplication of probability
        density function's values at xi, but the L2 is the probability that threshold
        value C will be exceeded (1-F(C)).

        Args:
            obj_func (function):
                function to be used to get the distribution parameters.
            threshold (numeric):
                Value you want to consider only the greater values.
            method (str):
                'mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', optimization
            test (bool):
                Default is True

        Returns:
            param (list):
                shape, loc, scale parameter of the gumbel distribution in that order.

        Examples:
            - Instantiate the `Exponential` class only with the data.
                ```python
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/expo.txt")
                >>> expo_dist = Exponential(data)

                ```
            - Then use the `fit_model` method to estimate the distribution parameters. the method takes the method as
                parameter, the default is 'mle'. the `test` parameter is used to perform the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and chisquare
                test.

                ```python
                >>> parameters = expo_dist.fit_model(method="mle", test=True) # doctest: +SKIP
                -----KS Test--------
                Statistic = 0.019
                Accept Hypothesis
                P value = 0.9937026761524456
                Out[14]: Parameters(loc=0.0009, scale=2.0498075)
                >>> print(parameters) # doctest: +SKIP
                Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)

                ```
            - You can also use the `lmoments` method to estimate the distribution parameters.
                ```python
                >>> parameters = expo_dist.fit_model(method="lmoments", test=True) # doctest: +SKIP
                -----KS Test--------
                Statistic = 0.021
                Accept Hypothesis
                P value = 0.9802627322900355
                >>> print(parameters) # doctest: +SKIP
                Parameters(loc=-0.00805012182182141, scale=2.0587576218218215)

                ```
        """
        # obj_func = lambda p, x: (-np.log(Gumbel.pdf(x, p[0], p[1]))).sum()
        # #first we make a simple Gumbel fit
        # Par1 = so.fmin(obj_func, [0.5,0.5], args=(np.array(data),))
        method = super().fit_model(method=method)  # type: ignore[assignment]

        if method == "mle" or method == "mm":
            param_list: Any = list(expon.fit(self.data, method=method))
        elif method == "lmoments":
            lm = Lmoments(self.data)
            lmu = lm.calculate()
            param_list = Lmoments.exponential(lmu)
        elif method == "optimization":
            if obj_func is None or threshold is None:
                raise TypeError(OBJ_FUNCTION_THRESHOLD_ERROR)

            param_list = expon.fit(self.data, method="mle")
            # then we use the result as starting value for your truncated Gumbel fit
            param_list = so.fmin(
                obj_func,
                [threshold, param_list[0], param_list[1]],
                args=(self.data,),
                maxiter=500,
                maxfun=500,
            )
            param_list = [param_list[1], param_list[2]]
        else:
            raise ValueError(f"The given: {method} does not exist")

        param = Parameters(loc=param_list[0], scale=param_list[1])
        self.parameters = param

        if test:
            self.ks()
            self.chisquare()

        return param

    def inverse_cdf(
        self,
        cdf: np.ndarray | list[float] | None = None,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    ) -> np.ndarray:
        """Theoretical Estimate.

        Theoretical Estimate method calculates the theoretical values based on a given  non-exceedance probability

        Args:
            parameters (Parameters):
                - loc: [numeric]
                    location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
                - scale: [numeric]
                    scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
                ```python
                Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
                ```
            cdf (list):
                cumulative distribution function/ Non-Exceedance probability.

        Returns:
            theoretical value (numeric):
                Value based on the theoretical distribution

        Examples:
            - Instantiate the Exponential class only with the data.
                ```python
                >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/expo.txt")
                >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)
                >>> expo_dist = Exponential(data, parameters)

                ```
            - We will generate a random numbers between 0 and 1 and pass it to the inverse_cdf method as a probabilities
                to get the data that coresponds to these probabilities based on the distribution.
                ```python
                >>> cdf = [0.1, 0.2, 0.4, 0.6, 0.8, 0.9]
                >>> data_values = expo_dist.inverse_cdf(cdf)
                >>> print(data_values)
                [0.21072103 0.4462871  1.02165125 1.83258146 3.21887582 4.60517019]

                ```
        """
        if parameters is None:
            parameters = self.parameters
        elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
            parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

        loc = parameters.loc  # type: ignore[union-attr]
        scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]

        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

        cdf = np.array(cdf)
        if np.any(cdf < 0) or np.any(cdf > 1):
            raise ValueError(CDF_INVALID_VALUE_ERROR)

        # the main equation from scipy
        q_th = expon.ppf(cdf, loc=loc, scale=scale)
        return q_th

    def ks(self) -> GoodnessOfFitResult:
        """Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test.

        The smaller the D statistic, the more likely that the two samples are drawn from the
        same distribution. If ``p_value < alpha`` — reject the null hypothesis.

        Returns:
            GoodnessOfFitResult with ``statistic`` (D) and ``p_value``. Supports tuple unpacking
            ``stat, p = dist.ks()`` for backward compatibility.
        """
        return super().ks()

    def chisquare(self) -> GoodnessOfFitResult:
        """Chi-square goodness-of-fit test.

        Returns:
            GoodnessOfFitResult with ``statistic`` and ``p_value``. Supports tuple unpacking.
        """
        return super().chisquare()

__init__(data=None, parameters=None) #

Exponential Distribution.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
data list

data time series.

None
parameters Parameters

Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)

  • loc (numeric): location parameter of the exponential distribution.
  • scale (numeric): scale parameter of the exponential distribution.
None
Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
def __init__(
    self,
    data: list | np.ndarray | None = None,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
):
    """Exponential Distribution.

    Args:
        data (list):
            data time series.
        parameters (Parameters):
            Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)

            - loc (numeric):
                location parameter of the exponential distribution.
            - scale (numeric):
                scale parameter of the exponential distribution.
    """
    super().__init__(data, parameters)

pdf(plot_figure=False, parameters=None, data=None, *args, **kwargs) #

pdf.

Returns the value of Gumbel's pdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
parameters Parameters

if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used. - loc: [numeric] location parameter of the gumbel distribution. - scale: [numeric] scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.

Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
default is None.

None
data ndarray

array if you want to calculate the pdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor method. default is None.

None
plot_figure bool

Default is False.

False
kwargs dict[str, Any]

fig_size(tuple): Default is (6, 5). xlabel (str): Default is "Actual data". ylabel (str): Default is "pdf". fontsize (int): Default is 15

{}

Returns:

Name Type Description
pdf array

probability density function pdf.

fig Figure

Figure object. returned only if plot_figure is True.

ax Axes

Axes object. returned only if plot_figure is True.

Examples:

>>> import numpy as np
>>> from statista.distributions import Exponential
>>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/expo.txt")
>>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)
>>> expo_dist = Exponential(data, parameters)
>>> _ = expo_dist.pdf(plot_figure=True)
exponential-pdf

Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
def pdf(  # type: ignore[override]
    self,
    plot_figure: bool = False,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    data: list[float] | np.ndarray | None = None,
    *args: Any,
    **kwargs: Any,
) -> tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any] | np.ndarray:
    """pdf.

    Returns the value of Gumbel's pdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

    Args:
        parameters (Parameters, optional):
            if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used.
            - loc: [numeric]
                location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
            - scale: [numeric]
                scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
            ```python
            Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
            ```
            default is None.
        data (np.ndarray):
            array if you want to calculate the pdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor
            method. default is None.
        plot_figure (bool):
            Default is False.
        kwargs (dict[str, Any]):
            fig_size(tuple):
                Default is (6, 5).
            xlabel (str):
                Default is "Actual data".
            ylabel (str):
                Default is "pdf".
            fontsize (int):
                Default is 15

    Returns:
        pdf (array):
            probability density function pdf.
        fig (matplotlib.figure.Figure):
            Figure object. returned only if `plot_figure` is True.
        ax (matplotlib.axes.Axes):
            Axes object. returned only if `plot_figure` is True.

    Examples:
        ```python
        >>> import numpy as np
        >>> from statista.distributions import Exponential
        >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/expo.txt")
        >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)
        >>> expo_dist = Exponential(data, parameters)
        >>> _ = expo_dist.pdf(plot_figure=True)

        ```
        ![exponential-pdf](./../../_images/distributions/exponential-pdf-2.png)
    """
    result = super().pdf(
        parameters=parameters,
        data=data,
        plot_figure=plot_figure,
        *args,
        **kwargs,
    )  # type: ignore[misc]

    return result

random(size, parameters=None) #

Generate Random Variable.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
size int

size of the random generated sample.

required
parameters Parameters
  • loc (numeric): location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
  • scale (numeric): scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
    Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
    
None

Returns:

Name Type Description
data ndarray

random generated data.

Examples:

  • To generate a random sample that follow the gumbel distribution with the parameters loc=0 and scale=1.
    >>> from statista.distributions import Exponential
    >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)
    >>> expon_dist = Exponential(parameters=parameters)
    >>> random_data = expon_dist.random(1000)
    
  • then we can use the pdf method to plot the pdf of the random data.

    >>> _ = expon_dist.pdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")
    
    exponential-pdf

    >>> _ = expon_dist.cdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")
    
    exponential-cdf

Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
def random(
    self,
    size: int,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
) -> tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any] | np.ndarray:
    """Generate Random Variable.

    Args:
        size (int):
            size of the random generated sample.
        parameters (Parameters):
            - loc (numeric):
                location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
            - scale (numeric):
                scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
            ```python
            Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
            ```

    Returns:
        data (np.ndarray):
            random generated data.

    Examples:
        - To generate a random sample that follow the gumbel distribution with the parameters loc=0 and scale=1.
            ```python
            >>> from statista.distributions import Exponential
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)
            >>> expon_dist = Exponential(parameters=parameters)
            >>> random_data = expon_dist.random(1000)

            ```
        - then we can use the `pdf` method to plot the pdf of the random data.
            ```python
            >>> _ = expon_dist.pdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")

            ```
            ![exponential-pdf](./../../_images/distributions/exponential-pdf.png)

            ```python
            >>> _ = expon_dist.cdf(data=random_data, plot_figure=True, xlabel="Random data")

            ```
            ![exponential-cdf](./../../_images/distributions/exponential-cdf.png)
    """
    # if no parameters are provided, take the parameters provided in the class initialization.
    if parameters is None:
        parameters = self.parameters
    elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
        parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

    loc = parameters.loc  # type: ignore[union-attr]
    scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]
    if scale is None or scale <= 0:
        raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

    random_data = expon.rvs(loc=loc, scale=scale, size=size)
    return random_data

cdf(plot_figure=False, parameters=None, data=None, *args, **kwargs) #

cdf.

cdf calculates the value of Gumbel's cdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
parameters Parameters

if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used. default is None. - loc (numeric): location parameter of the gumbel distribution. - scale (numeric): scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.

Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)

None
data ndarray

array if you want to calculate the cdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor method. default is None.

None
plot_figure bool

Default is False.

False
kwargs dict[str, Any]

fig_size: [tuple] Default is (6, 5). xlabel (str): Default is "Actual data". ylabel (str): Default is "cdf". fontsize (int): Default is 15.

{}

Returns:

Name Type Description
cdf array

probability density function cdf.

fig Figure

Figure object is returned only if plot_figure is True.

ax Axes

Axes object is returned only if plot_figure is True.

Examples:

>>> import numpy as np
>>> from statista.distributions import Exponential
>>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/expo.txt")
>>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)
>>> expo_dist = Exponential(data, parameters)
>>> _ = expo_dist.cdf(plot_figure=True)
gamma-pdf

Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
def cdf(  # type: ignore[override]
    self,
    plot_figure: bool = False,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    data: list[float] | np.ndarray | None = None,
    *args: Any,
    **kwargs: Any,
) -> (
    tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any] | np.ndarray
):  # pylint: disable=arguments-differ
    """cdf.

    cdf calculates the value of Gumbel's cdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

    Args:
        parameters (Parameters, optional):
            if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used. default is None.
            - loc (numeric):
                location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
            - scale (numeric):
                scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
            ```python
            Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
            ```
        data (np.ndarray):
            array if you want to calculate the cdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor
            method. default is None.
        plot_figure (bool):
            Default is False.
        kwargs (dict[str, Any]):
            fig_size: [tuple]
                Default is (6, 5).
            xlabel (str):
                Default is "Actual data".
            ylabel (str):
                Default is "cdf".
            fontsize (int):
                Default is 15.

    Returns:
        cdf (array):
            probability density function cdf.
        fig (matplotlib.figure.Figure):
            Figure object is returned only if `plot_figure` is True.
        ax (matplotlib.axes.Axes):
            Axes object is returned only if `plot_figure` is True.

    Examples:
        ```python
        >>> import numpy as np
        >>> from statista.distributions import Exponential
        >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/expo.txt")
        >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)
        >>> expo_dist = Exponential(data, parameters)
        >>> _ = expo_dist.cdf(plot_figure=True)

        ```
        ![gamma-pdf](./../../_images/distributions/expo-random-cdf.png)
    """
    result = super().cdf(
        parameters=parameters,
        data=data,
        plot_figure=plot_figure,
        *args,
        **kwargs,
    )  # type: ignore[misc]
    return result

fit_model(method='mle', obj_func=None, threshold=None, test=True) #

fit_model.

fit_model estimates the distribution parameter based on MLM (Maximum likelihood method), if an objective function is entered as an input

There are two likelihood functions (L1 and L2), one for values above some threshold (x>=C) and one for the values below (x < C), now the likeliest parameters are those at the max value of multiplication between two functions max(L1*L2).

In this case, the L1 is still the product of multiplication of probability density function's values at xi, but the L2 is the probability that threshold value C will be exceeded (1-F(C)).

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
obj_func function

function to be used to get the distribution parameters.

None
threshold numeric

Value you want to consider only the greater values.

None
method str

'mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', optimization

'mle'
test bool

Default is True

True

Returns:

Name Type Description
param list

shape, loc, scale parameter of the gumbel distribution in that order.

Examples:

  • Instantiate the Exponential class only with the data.
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/expo.txt")
    >>> expo_dist = Exponential(data)
    
  • Then use the fit_model method to estimate the distribution parameters. the method takes the method as parameter, the default is 'mle'. the test parameter is used to perform the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and chisquare test.

    >>> parameters = expo_dist.fit_model(method="mle", test=True) # doctest: +SKIP
    -----KS Test--------
    Statistic = 0.019
    Accept Hypothesis
    P value = 0.9937026761524456
    Out[14]: Parameters(loc=0.0009, scale=2.0498075)
    >>> print(parameters) # doctest: +SKIP
    Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)
    
    - You can also use the lmoments method to estimate the distribution parameters.
    >>> parameters = expo_dist.fit_model(method="lmoments", test=True) # doctest: +SKIP
    -----KS Test--------
    Statistic = 0.021
    Accept Hypothesis
    P value = 0.9802627322900355
    >>> print(parameters) # doctest: +SKIP
    Parameters(loc=-0.00805012182182141, scale=2.0587576218218215)
    

Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
def fit_model(
    self,
    method: str = "mle",
    obj_func=None,
    threshold: int | float | None = None,
    test: bool = True,
) -> Parameters:
    """fit_model.

    fit_model estimates the distribution parameter based on MLM
    (Maximum likelihood method), if an objective function is entered as an input

    There are two likelihood functions (L1 and L2), one for values above some
    threshold (x>=C) and one for the values below (x < C), now the likeliest parameters
    are those at the max value of multiplication between two functions max(L1*L2).

    In this case, the L1 is still the product of multiplication of probability
    density function's values at xi, but the L2 is the probability that threshold
    value C will be exceeded (1-F(C)).

    Args:
        obj_func (function):
            function to be used to get the distribution parameters.
        threshold (numeric):
            Value you want to consider only the greater values.
        method (str):
            'mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', optimization
        test (bool):
            Default is True

    Returns:
        param (list):
            shape, loc, scale parameter of the gumbel distribution in that order.

    Examples:
        - Instantiate the `Exponential` class only with the data.
            ```python
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/expo.txt")
            >>> expo_dist = Exponential(data)

            ```
        - Then use the `fit_model` method to estimate the distribution parameters. the method takes the method as
            parameter, the default is 'mle'. the `test` parameter is used to perform the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and chisquare
            test.

            ```python
            >>> parameters = expo_dist.fit_model(method="mle", test=True) # doctest: +SKIP
            -----KS Test--------
            Statistic = 0.019
            Accept Hypothesis
            P value = 0.9937026761524456
            Out[14]: Parameters(loc=0.0009, scale=2.0498075)
            >>> print(parameters) # doctest: +SKIP
            Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)

            ```
        - You can also use the `lmoments` method to estimate the distribution parameters.
            ```python
            >>> parameters = expo_dist.fit_model(method="lmoments", test=True) # doctest: +SKIP
            -----KS Test--------
            Statistic = 0.021
            Accept Hypothesis
            P value = 0.9802627322900355
            >>> print(parameters) # doctest: +SKIP
            Parameters(loc=-0.00805012182182141, scale=2.0587576218218215)

            ```
    """
    # obj_func = lambda p, x: (-np.log(Gumbel.pdf(x, p[0], p[1]))).sum()
    # #first we make a simple Gumbel fit
    # Par1 = so.fmin(obj_func, [0.5,0.5], args=(np.array(data),))
    method = super().fit_model(method=method)  # type: ignore[assignment]

    if method == "mle" or method == "mm":
        param_list: Any = list(expon.fit(self.data, method=method))
    elif method == "lmoments":
        lm = Lmoments(self.data)
        lmu = lm.calculate()
        param_list = Lmoments.exponential(lmu)
    elif method == "optimization":
        if obj_func is None or threshold is None:
            raise TypeError(OBJ_FUNCTION_THRESHOLD_ERROR)

        param_list = expon.fit(self.data, method="mle")
        # then we use the result as starting value for your truncated Gumbel fit
        param_list = so.fmin(
            obj_func,
            [threshold, param_list[0], param_list[1]],
            args=(self.data,),
            maxiter=500,
            maxfun=500,
        )
        param_list = [param_list[1], param_list[2]]
    else:
        raise ValueError(f"The given: {method} does not exist")

    param = Parameters(loc=param_list[0], scale=param_list[1])
    self.parameters = param

    if test:
        self.ks()
        self.chisquare()

    return param

inverse_cdf(cdf=None, parameters=None) #

Theoretical Estimate.

Theoretical Estimate method calculates the theoretical values based on a given non-exceedance probability

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
parameters Parameters
  • loc: [numeric] location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
  • scale: [numeric] scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
    Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
    
None
cdf list

cumulative distribution function/ Non-Exceedance probability.

None

Returns:

Type Description
ndarray

theoretical value (numeric): Value based on the theoretical distribution

Examples:

  • Instantiate the Exponential class only with the data.
    >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/expo.txt")
    >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)
    >>> expo_dist = Exponential(data, parameters)
    
  • We will generate a random numbers between 0 and 1 and pass it to the inverse_cdf method as a probabilities to get the data that coresponds to these probabilities based on the distribution.
    >>> cdf = [0.1, 0.2, 0.4, 0.6, 0.8, 0.9]
    >>> data_values = expo_dist.inverse_cdf(cdf)
    >>> print(data_values)
    [0.21072103 0.4462871  1.02165125 1.83258146 3.21887582 4.60517019]
    
Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
def inverse_cdf(
    self,
    cdf: np.ndarray | list[float] | None = None,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
) -> np.ndarray:
    """Theoretical Estimate.

    Theoretical Estimate method calculates the theoretical values based on a given  non-exceedance probability

    Args:
        parameters (Parameters):
            - loc: [numeric]
                location parameter of the gumbel distribution.
            - scale: [numeric]
                scale parameter of the gumbel distribution.
            ```python
            Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
            ```
        cdf (list):
            cumulative distribution function/ Non-Exceedance probability.

    Returns:
        theoretical value (numeric):
            Value based on the theoretical distribution

    Examples:
        - Instantiate the Exponential class only with the data.
            ```python
            >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/expo.txt")
            >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)
            >>> expo_dist = Exponential(data, parameters)

            ```
        - We will generate a random numbers between 0 and 1 and pass it to the inverse_cdf method as a probabilities
            to get the data that coresponds to these probabilities based on the distribution.
            ```python
            >>> cdf = [0.1, 0.2, 0.4, 0.6, 0.8, 0.9]
            >>> data_values = expo_dist.inverse_cdf(cdf)
            >>> print(data_values)
            [0.21072103 0.4462871  1.02165125 1.83258146 3.21887582 4.60517019]

            ```
    """
    if parameters is None:
        parameters = self.parameters
    elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
        parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

    loc = parameters.loc  # type: ignore[union-attr]
    scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]

    if scale is None or scale <= 0:
        raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

    cdf = np.array(cdf)
    if np.any(cdf < 0) or np.any(cdf > 1):
        raise ValueError(CDF_INVALID_VALUE_ERROR)

    # the main equation from scipy
    q_th = expon.ppf(cdf, loc=loc, scale=scale)
    return q_th

ks() #

Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test.

The smaller the D statistic, the more likely that the two samples are drawn from the same distribution. If p_value < alpha — reject the null hypothesis.

Returns:

Type Description
GoodnessOfFitResult

GoodnessOfFitResult with statistic (D) and p_value. Supports tuple unpacking

GoodnessOfFitResult

stat, p = dist.ks() for backward compatibility.

Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
def ks(self) -> GoodnessOfFitResult:
    """Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test.

    The smaller the D statistic, the more likely that the two samples are drawn from the
    same distribution. If ``p_value < alpha`` — reject the null hypothesis.

    Returns:
        GoodnessOfFitResult with ``statistic`` (D) and ``p_value``. Supports tuple unpacking
        ``stat, p = dist.ks()`` for backward compatibility.
    """
    return super().ks()

chisquare() #

Chi-square goodness-of-fit test.

Returns:

Type Description
GoodnessOfFitResult

GoodnessOfFitResult with statistic and p_value. Supports tuple unpacking.

Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
def chisquare(self) -> GoodnessOfFitResult:
    """Chi-square goodness-of-fit test.

    Returns:
        GoodnessOfFitResult with ``statistic`` and ``p_value``. Supports tuple unpacking.
    """
    return super().chisquare()

statista.distributions.Normal #

Bases: AbstractDistribution

Normal Distribution.

  • The probability density function (PDF) of the Normal distribution is:

    \[ f(x; \mu, \sigma) = \frac{1}{\sigma \sqrt{2\pi}} \exp\left(-\frac{(x - \mu)^2}{2\sigma^2}\right) \]

    Where \(\mu\) is the location (mean) parameter and \(\sigma\) is the scale (standard deviation) parameter.

  • The cumulative distribution function (CDF) is:

    \[ F(x; \mu, \sigma) = \frac{1}{2}\left[1 + \mathrm{erf} \left(\frac{x - \mu}{\sigma \sqrt{2}}\right)\right] \]
Source code in src/statista/distributions/normal.py
class Normal(AbstractDistribution):
    """Normal Distribution.

    - The probability density function (PDF) of the Normal distribution is:

        $$
        f(x; \\mu, \\sigma) = \\frac{1}{\\sigma \\sqrt{2\\pi}}
        \\exp\\left(-\\frac{(x - \\mu)^2}{2\\sigma^2}\\right)
        $$

        Where \\(\\mu\\) is the location (mean) parameter and \\(\\sigma\\) is the scale
        (standard deviation) parameter.

    - The cumulative distribution function (CDF) is:

        $$
        F(x; \\mu, \\sigma) = \\frac{1}{2}\\left[1 + \\mathrm{erf}
        \\left(\\frac{x - \\mu}{\\sigma \\sqrt{2}}\\right)\\right]
        $$
    """

    def __init__(
        self,
        data: list | np.ndarray | None = None,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    ):
        """Normal.

        Args:
            data (list):
                data time series.
            parameters (Parameters):
                - loc: [numeric]
                    location (mean) parameter of the Normal distribution.
                - scale: [numeric]
                    scale (standard deviation) parameter of the Normal distribution.
                ```python
                Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
                ```
        """
        super().__init__(data, parameters)

    @staticmethod
    def _pdf_eq(data: list | np.ndarray, parameters: Parameters) -> np.ndarray:
        loc = parameters.loc
        scale = parameters.scale
        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)
        pdf = norm.pdf(data, loc=loc, scale=scale)

        return pdf

    def pdf(  # type: ignore[override]
        self,
        plot_figure: bool = False,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
        data: list[float] | np.ndarray | None = None,
        *args: Any,
        **kwargs: Any,
    ) -> tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any] | np.ndarray:
        """pdf.

        Returns the value of Gumbel's pdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

        Args:
            parameters (Parameters, optional):
                if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used. default is None.
                - loc: [numeric]
                    location parameter of the normal distribution.
                - scale: [numeric]
                    scale parameter of the normal distribution.
                ```python
                Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
                ```
            data (np.ndarray):
                array if you want to calculate the pdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor
                method. default is None.
            plot_figure (bool):
                Default is False.
            kwargs (dict[str, Any]):
                fig_size: [tuple]
                    Default is (6, 5).
                xlabel: [str]
                    Default is "Actual data".
                ylabel: [str]
                    Default is "pdf".
                fontsize: [int]
                    Default is 15

        Returns:
            pdf (array):
                probability density function pdf.
            fig (matplotlib.figure.Figure):
                Figure object is returned only if `plot_figure` is True.
            ax (matplotlib.axes.Axes):
                Axes object is returned only if `plot_figure` is True.
        """
        result = super().pdf(
            parameters=parameters,
            data=data,
            plot_figure=plot_figure,
            *args,
            **kwargs,
        )  # type: ignore[misc]

        return result

    @staticmethod
    def _cdf_eq(data: list | np.ndarray, parameters: Parameters) -> np.ndarray:
        loc = parameters.loc
        scale = parameters.scale

        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

        cdf = norm.cdf(data, loc=loc, scale=scale)
        return cdf

    def cdf(  # type: ignore[override]
        self,
        plot_figure: bool = False,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
        data: list[float] | np.ndarray | None = None,
        *args: Any,
        **kwargs: Any,
    ) -> tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any] | np.ndarray:
        """cdf.

        cdf calculates the value of Normal distribution cdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

        Args:
            parameters (Parameters, optional):
                if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used. default is None.
                - loc (numeric):
                    location parameter of the Normal distribution.
                - scale (numeric):
                    scale parameter of the Normal distribution.
                ```python
                Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
                ```
            data (np.ndarray):
                array if you want to calculate the pdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor
                method. default is None.
            plot_figure (bool):
                Default is False.
            kwargs (dict[str, Any]):
                fig_size (tuple):
                    Default is (6, 5).
                xlabel (str):
                    Default is "Actual data".
                ylabel (str):
                    Default is "cdf".
                fontsize (int):
                    Default is 15.

        Returns:
            cdf (array):
                probability density function cdf.
            fig (matplotlib.figure.Figure):
                Figure object is returned only if `plot_figure` is True.
            ax (matplotlib.axes.Axes):
                Axes object is returned only if `plot_figure` is True.
        """
        result = super().cdf(
            parameters=parameters,
            data=data,
            plot_figure=plot_figure,
            *args,
            **kwargs,
        )  # type: ignore[misc]
        return result

    def fit_model(
        self,
        method: str = "mle",
        obj_func=None,
        threshold: int | float | None = None,
        test: bool = True,
    ) -> Parameters:
        """fit_model.

        fit_model estimates the distribution parameter based on MLM
        (Maximum likelihood method), if an objective function is entered as an input

        There are two likelihood functions (L1 and L2), one for values above some
        threshold (x>=C) and one for the values below (x < C), now the likeliest parameters
        are those at the max value of multiplication between two functions max(L1*L2).

        In this case, the L1 is still the product of multiplication of probability
        density function's values at xi, but the L2 is the probability that threshold
        value C will be exceeded (1-F(C)).

        Args:
            obj_func (function):
                function to be used to get the distribution parameters.
            threshold (numeric):
                Value you want to consider only the greater values.
            method (str):
                'mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', optimization
            test (bool):
                Default is True

        Returns:
            parameters (list):
                shape, loc, scale parameter of the gumbel distribution in that order.
        """
        # obj_func = lambda p, x: (-np.log(Gumbel.pdf(x, p[0], p[1]))).sum()
        # #first we make a simple Gumbel fit
        # Par1 = so.fmin(obj_func, [0.5,0.5], args=(np.array(data),))
        method = super().fit_model(method=method)  # type: ignore[assignment]

        if method == "mle" or method == "mm":
            param_list: Any = list(norm.fit(self.data, method=method))
        elif method == "lmoments":
            lm = Lmoments(self.data)
            lmu = lm.calculate()
            param_list = Lmoments.normal(lmu)
        elif method == "optimization":
            if obj_func is None or threshold is None:
                raise TypeError(OBJ_FUNCTION_THRESHOLD_ERROR)

            param_list = norm.fit(self.data, method="mle")
            # then we use the result as starting value for your truncated Gumbel fit
            param_list = so.fmin(
                obj_func,
                [threshold, param_list[0], param_list[1]],
                args=(self.data,),
                maxiter=500,
                maxfun=500,
            )
            param_list = [param_list[1], param_list[2]]
        else:
            raise ValueError(f"The given: {method} does not exist")

        param = Parameters(loc=param_list[0], scale=param_list[1])
        self.parameters = param

        if test:
            self.ks()
            self.chisquare()

        return param

    def inverse_cdf(
        self,
        cdf: np.ndarray | list[float] | None = None,
        parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    ) -> np.ndarray:
        """Theoretical Estimate.

        Theoretical Estimate method calculates the theoretical values based on a given  non exceedence probability

        Args:
            parameters (Parameters):
                Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)

                - loc (numeric):
                    location parameter of the Normal distribution.
                - scale (numeric):
                    scale parameter of the Normal distribution.
            cdf (list):
                cumulative distribution function/ Non-Exceedance probability.

        Returns:
            numeric:
                Value based on the theoretical distribution
        """
        if parameters is None:
            parameters = self.parameters
        elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
            parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

        loc = parameters.loc  # type: ignore[union-attr]
        scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]

        if scale is None or scale <= 0:
            raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

        cdf = np.array(cdf)
        if np.any(cdf < 0) or np.any(cdf > 1):
            raise ValueError(CDF_INVALID_VALUE_ERROR)

        # the main equation from scipy
        q_th = norm.ppf(cdf, loc=loc, scale=scale)
        return q_th

    def ks(self) -> GoodnessOfFitResult:
        """Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test.

        The smaller the D statistic, the more likely that the two samples are drawn from the
        same distribution. If ``p_value < alpha`` — reject the null hypothesis.

        Returns:
            GoodnessOfFitResult with ``statistic`` (D) and ``p_value``. Supports tuple unpacking
            ``stat, p = dist.ks()`` for backward compatibility.
        """
        return super().ks()

    def chisquare(self) -> GoodnessOfFitResult:
        """Chi-square goodness-of-fit test.

        Returns:
            GoodnessOfFitResult with ``statistic`` and ``p_value``. Supports tuple unpacking.
        """
        return super().chisquare()

__init__(data=None, parameters=None) #

Normal.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
data list

data time series.

None
parameters Parameters
  • loc: [numeric] location (mean) parameter of the Normal distribution.
  • scale: [numeric] scale (standard deviation) parameter of the Normal distribution.
    Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
    
None
Source code in src/statista/distributions/normal.py
def __init__(
    self,
    data: list | np.ndarray | None = None,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
):
    """Normal.

    Args:
        data (list):
            data time series.
        parameters (Parameters):
            - loc: [numeric]
                location (mean) parameter of the Normal distribution.
            - scale: [numeric]
                scale (standard deviation) parameter of the Normal distribution.
            ```python
            Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
            ```
    """
    super().__init__(data, parameters)

pdf(plot_figure=False, parameters=None, data=None, *args, **kwargs) #

pdf.

Returns the value of Gumbel's pdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
parameters Parameters

if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used. default is None. - loc: [numeric] location parameter of the normal distribution. - scale: [numeric] scale parameter of the normal distribution.

Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)

None
data ndarray

array if you want to calculate the pdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor method. default is None.

None
plot_figure bool

Default is False.

False
kwargs dict[str, Any]

fig_size: [tuple] Default is (6, 5). xlabel: [str] Default is "Actual data". ylabel: [str] Default is "pdf". fontsize: [int] Default is 15

{}

Returns:

Name Type Description
pdf array

probability density function pdf.

fig Figure

Figure object is returned only if plot_figure is True.

ax Axes

Axes object is returned only if plot_figure is True.

Source code in src/statista/distributions/normal.py
def pdf(  # type: ignore[override]
    self,
    plot_figure: bool = False,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    data: list[float] | np.ndarray | None = None,
    *args: Any,
    **kwargs: Any,
) -> tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any] | np.ndarray:
    """pdf.

    Returns the value of Gumbel's pdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

    Args:
        parameters (Parameters, optional):
            if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used. default is None.
            - loc: [numeric]
                location parameter of the normal distribution.
            - scale: [numeric]
                scale parameter of the normal distribution.
            ```python
            Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
            ```
        data (np.ndarray):
            array if you want to calculate the pdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor
            method. default is None.
        plot_figure (bool):
            Default is False.
        kwargs (dict[str, Any]):
            fig_size: [tuple]
                Default is (6, 5).
            xlabel: [str]
                Default is "Actual data".
            ylabel: [str]
                Default is "pdf".
            fontsize: [int]
                Default is 15

    Returns:
        pdf (array):
            probability density function pdf.
        fig (matplotlib.figure.Figure):
            Figure object is returned only if `plot_figure` is True.
        ax (matplotlib.axes.Axes):
            Axes object is returned only if `plot_figure` is True.
    """
    result = super().pdf(
        parameters=parameters,
        data=data,
        plot_figure=plot_figure,
        *args,
        **kwargs,
    )  # type: ignore[misc]

    return result

cdf(plot_figure=False, parameters=None, data=None, *args, **kwargs) #

cdf.

cdf calculates the value of Normal distribution cdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
parameters Parameters

if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used. default is None. - loc (numeric): location parameter of the Normal distribution. - scale (numeric): scale parameter of the Normal distribution.

Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)

None
data ndarray

array if you want to calculate the pdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor method. default is None.

None
plot_figure bool

Default is False.

False
kwargs dict[str, Any]

fig_size (tuple): Default is (6, 5). xlabel (str): Default is "Actual data". ylabel (str): Default is "cdf". fontsize (int): Default is 15.

{}

Returns:

Name Type Description
cdf array

probability density function cdf.

fig Figure

Figure object is returned only if plot_figure is True.

ax Axes

Axes object is returned only if plot_figure is True.

Source code in src/statista/distributions/normal.py
def cdf(  # type: ignore[override]
    self,
    plot_figure: bool = False,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
    data: list[float] | np.ndarray | None = None,
    *args: Any,
    **kwargs: Any,
) -> tuple[np.ndarray, Figure, Any] | np.ndarray:
    """cdf.

    cdf calculates the value of Normal distribution cdf with parameters loc and scale at x.

    Args:
        parameters (Parameters, optional):
            if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used. default is None.
            - loc (numeric):
                location parameter of the Normal distribution.
            - scale (numeric):
                scale parameter of the Normal distribution.
            ```python
            Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
            ```
        data (np.ndarray):
            array if you want to calculate the pdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor
            method. default is None.
        plot_figure (bool):
            Default is False.
        kwargs (dict[str, Any]):
            fig_size (tuple):
                Default is (6, 5).
            xlabel (str):
                Default is "Actual data".
            ylabel (str):
                Default is "cdf".
            fontsize (int):
                Default is 15.

    Returns:
        cdf (array):
            probability density function cdf.
        fig (matplotlib.figure.Figure):
            Figure object is returned only if `plot_figure` is True.
        ax (matplotlib.axes.Axes):
            Axes object is returned only if `plot_figure` is True.
    """
    result = super().cdf(
        parameters=parameters,
        data=data,
        plot_figure=plot_figure,
        *args,
        **kwargs,
    )  # type: ignore[misc]
    return result

fit_model(method='mle', obj_func=None, threshold=None, test=True) #

fit_model.

fit_model estimates the distribution parameter based on MLM (Maximum likelihood method), if an objective function is entered as an input

There are two likelihood functions (L1 and L2), one for values above some threshold (x>=C) and one for the values below (x < C), now the likeliest parameters are those at the max value of multiplication between two functions max(L1*L2).

In this case, the L1 is still the product of multiplication of probability density function's values at xi, but the L2 is the probability that threshold value C will be exceeded (1-F(C)).

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
obj_func function

function to be used to get the distribution parameters.

None
threshold numeric

Value you want to consider only the greater values.

None
method str

'mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', optimization

'mle'
test bool

Default is True

True

Returns:

Name Type Description
parameters list

shape, loc, scale parameter of the gumbel distribution in that order.

Source code in src/statista/distributions/normal.py
def fit_model(
    self,
    method: str = "mle",
    obj_func=None,
    threshold: int | float | None = None,
    test: bool = True,
) -> Parameters:
    """fit_model.

    fit_model estimates the distribution parameter based on MLM
    (Maximum likelihood method), if an objective function is entered as an input

    There are two likelihood functions (L1 and L2), one for values above some
    threshold (x>=C) and one for the values below (x < C), now the likeliest parameters
    are those at the max value of multiplication between two functions max(L1*L2).

    In this case, the L1 is still the product of multiplication of probability
    density function's values at xi, but the L2 is the probability that threshold
    value C will be exceeded (1-F(C)).

    Args:
        obj_func (function):
            function to be used to get the distribution parameters.
        threshold (numeric):
            Value you want to consider only the greater values.
        method (str):
            'mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', optimization
        test (bool):
            Default is True

    Returns:
        parameters (list):
            shape, loc, scale parameter of the gumbel distribution in that order.
    """
    # obj_func = lambda p, x: (-np.log(Gumbel.pdf(x, p[0], p[1]))).sum()
    # #first we make a simple Gumbel fit
    # Par1 = so.fmin(obj_func, [0.5,0.5], args=(np.array(data),))
    method = super().fit_model(method=method)  # type: ignore[assignment]

    if method == "mle" or method == "mm":
        param_list: Any = list(norm.fit(self.data, method=method))
    elif method == "lmoments":
        lm = Lmoments(self.data)
        lmu = lm.calculate()
        param_list = Lmoments.normal(lmu)
    elif method == "optimization":
        if obj_func is None or threshold is None:
            raise TypeError(OBJ_FUNCTION_THRESHOLD_ERROR)

        param_list = norm.fit(self.data, method="mle")
        # then we use the result as starting value for your truncated Gumbel fit
        param_list = so.fmin(
            obj_func,
            [threshold, param_list[0], param_list[1]],
            args=(self.data,),
            maxiter=500,
            maxfun=500,
        )
        param_list = [param_list[1], param_list[2]]
    else:
        raise ValueError(f"The given: {method} does not exist")

    param = Parameters(loc=param_list[0], scale=param_list[1])
    self.parameters = param

    if test:
        self.ks()
        self.chisquare()

    return param

inverse_cdf(cdf=None, parameters=None) #

Theoretical Estimate.

Theoretical Estimate method calculates the theoretical values based on a given non exceedence probability

Parameters:

Name Type Description Default
parameters Parameters

Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)

  • loc (numeric): location parameter of the Normal distribution.
  • scale (numeric): scale parameter of the Normal distribution.
None
cdf list

cumulative distribution function/ Non-Exceedance probability.

None

Returns:

Name Type Description
numeric ndarray

Value based on the theoretical distribution

Source code in src/statista/distributions/normal.py
def inverse_cdf(
    self,
    cdf: np.ndarray | list[float] | None = None,
    parameters: Parameters | dict[str, float] | None = None,
) -> np.ndarray:
    """Theoretical Estimate.

    Theoretical Estimate method calculates the theoretical values based on a given  non exceedence probability

    Args:
        parameters (Parameters):
            Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)

            - loc (numeric):
                location parameter of the Normal distribution.
            - scale (numeric):
                scale parameter of the Normal distribution.
        cdf (list):
            cumulative distribution function/ Non-Exceedance probability.

    Returns:
        numeric:
            Value based on the theoretical distribution
    """
    if parameters is None:
        parameters = self.parameters
    elif isinstance(parameters, dict):
        parameters = Parameters(**parameters)

    loc = parameters.loc  # type: ignore[union-attr]
    scale = parameters.scale  # type: ignore[union-attr]

    if scale is None or scale <= 0:
        raise ValueError(SCALE_PARAMETER_ERROR)

    cdf = np.array(cdf)
    if np.any(cdf < 0) or np.any(cdf > 1):
        raise ValueError(CDF_INVALID_VALUE_ERROR)

    # the main equation from scipy
    q_th = norm.ppf(cdf, loc=loc, scale=scale)
    return q_th

ks() #

Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test.

The smaller the D statistic, the more likely that the two samples are drawn from the same distribution. If p_value < alpha — reject the null hypothesis.

Returns:

Type Description
GoodnessOfFitResult

GoodnessOfFitResult with statistic (D) and p_value. Supports tuple unpacking

GoodnessOfFitResult

stat, p = dist.ks() for backward compatibility.

Source code in src/statista/distributions/normal.py
def ks(self) -> GoodnessOfFitResult:
    """Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test.

    The smaller the D statistic, the more likely that the two samples are drawn from the
    same distribution. If ``p_value < alpha`` — reject the null hypothesis.

    Returns:
        GoodnessOfFitResult with ``statistic`` (D) and ``p_value``. Supports tuple unpacking
        ``stat, p = dist.ks()`` for backward compatibility.
    """
    return super().ks()

chisquare() #

Chi-square goodness-of-fit test.

Returns:

Type Description
GoodnessOfFitResult

GoodnessOfFitResult with statistic and p_value. Supports tuple unpacking.

Source code in src/statista/distributions/normal.py
def chisquare(self) -> GoodnessOfFitResult:
    """Chi-square goodness-of-fit test.

    Returns:
        GoodnessOfFitResult with ``statistic`` and ``p_value``. Supports tuple unpacking.
    """
    return super().chisquare()