Distributions module#
statista.distributions.Distributions
#
Facade for working with probability distributions.
Distributions can be used in two modes:
- Single-distribution mode: pass a distribution name to wrap a specific distribution and delegate all method calls to it.
- Multi-distribution mode: pass only data (no distribution name)
and use
fit/best_fitto compare all distributions.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
distribution
|
str | None
|
Name of the distribution to use. Must be one of the
keys in |
None
|
data
|
list | ndarray | None
|
Data time series as a list or numpy array. |
None
|
parameters
|
dict[str, Any] | Parameters | None
|
None
|
Attributes:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
available_distributions |
dict[str, type[AbstractDistribution]]
|
Registry mapping distribution names to their classes. |
distribution |
AbstractDistribution | None
|
The underlying distribution instance (None in multi-distribution mode). |
Raises:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ValueError
|
If the distribution name is not in
|
ValueError
|
If neither distribution nor data is provided. |
Examples:
- Single-distribution mode — wrap a Gumbel and fit:
>>> import numpy as np >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt") >>> dist = Distributions("Gumbel", data=data) >>> params = dist.fit_model(method="lmoments", test=False) >>> params.loc is not None True >>> params.scale is not None True - Multi-distribution mode — find the best fit in one call:
- Create a distribution from known parameters:
- Invalid distribution name raises ValueError:
See Also
Gumbel: Gumbel (Extreme Value Type I) distribution. GEV: Generalized Extreme Value distribution. Exponential: Exponential distribution. Normal: Normal (Gaussian) distribution.
Source code in src/statista/distributions/facade.py
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__getattr__(name)
#
Delegate attribute access to the underlying distribution instance.
Any attribute or method not defined directly on Distributions
is looked up on the wrapped distribution object. This allows
transparent access to pdf, cdf, fit_model, ks,
chisquare, inverse_cdf, confidence_interval, plot,
and all other methods of the concrete distribution.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
name
|
str
|
Attribute name to look up. |
required |
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
|
The attribute from the underlying distribution instance. |
Raises:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
AttributeError
|
If neither |
Source code in src/statista/distributions/facade.py
fit(method='lmoments', distributions=None)
#
Fit multiple distributions to the data and evaluate goodness of fit.
Fits each distribution using the specified method, then runs both the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Chi-square goodness-of-fit tests. NaN values are removed and the data is sorted before fitting.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
method
|
str
|
Fitting method ('mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', or 'optimization'). Default is 'lmoments'. |
'lmoments'
|
distributions
|
list[str] | None
|
List of distribution names to fit. If None, fits all available distributions ('GEV', 'Gumbel', 'Exponential', 'Normal'). |
None
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
dict[str, dict[str, Any]]
|
Dictionary keyed by distribution name, each value is a dict |
|
containing |
dict[str, dict[str, Any]]
|
|
Raises:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ValueError
|
If a distribution name is not in
|
Examples:
- Fit all distributions and inspect the result keys:
>>> import numpy as np >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt") >>> dist = Distributions(data=data) >>> results = dist.fit() # doctest: +ELLIPSIS -----KS Test-------- ... >>> sorted(results.keys()) ['Exponential', 'GEV', 'Gumbel', 'Normal'] - Fit only a subset of distributions:
>>> import numpy as np >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt") >>> dist = Distributions(data=data) >>> results = dist.fit( ... distributions=["Gumbel", "GEV"] ... ) # doctest: +ELLIPSIS -----KS Test-------- ... >>> sorted(results.keys()) ['GEV', 'Gumbel'] - Access fitted parameters and KS p-value:
>>> import numpy as np >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt") >>> dist = Distributions(data=data) >>> results = dist.fit( ... distributions=["Gumbel"] ... ) # doctest: +ELLIPSIS -----KS Test-------- ... >>> results["Gumbel"]["parameters"].loc is not None True >>> bool(0 <= results["Gumbel"]["ks"][1] <= 1) True
See Also
best_fit: Fit all distributions and directly return the best one.
Source code in src/statista/distributions/facade.py
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best_fit(method='lmoments', distributions=None, criterion='ks')
#
Find the best-fitting distribution for the data.
Fits all (or selected) distributions and returns the one with the highest goodness-of-fit p-value.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
method
|
str
|
Fitting method ('mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', or 'optimization'). Default is 'lmoments'. |
'lmoments'
|
distributions
|
list[str] | None
|
List of distribution names to fit. If None, fits all available distributions. |
None
|
criterion
|
str
|
Goodness-of-fit criterion for selection. 'ks' selects by highest Kolmogorov-Smirnov p-value. 'chisquare' selects by highest Chi-square p-value. Default is 'ks'. |
'ks'
|
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
str
|
Tuple of (distribution_name, result_dict) for the best fit. |
dict[str, Any]
|
The result dict contains:
- 'distribution': the fitted distribution instance
- 'parameters': |
Raises:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ValueError
|
If |
Examples:
- Find the best distribution directly from data:
>>> import numpy as np >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt") >>> dist = Distributions(data=data) >>> best_name, best_info = dist.best_fit() # doctest: +ELLIPSIS -----KS Test-------- ... >>> best_name 'GEV' >>> best_info["parameters"].shape is not None True - Select by Chi-square criterion among specific distributions:
>>> import numpy as np >>> from statista.distributions import Distributions >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/time_series2.txt") >>> dist = Distributions(data=data) >>> best_name, best_info = dist.best_fit( ... distributions=["Gumbel", "GEV"], ... criterion="chisquare", ... ) # doctest: +ELLIPSIS -----KS Test-------- ... >>> best_name in ("Gumbel", "GEV") True
See Also
fit: Fit multiple distributions and return all results.
Source code in src/statista/distributions/facade.py
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statista.distributions.PlottingPosition
#
PlottingPosition.
Source code in src/statista/distributions/base.py
return_period(prob_non_exceed)
staticmethod
#
Return Period.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
prob_non_exceed
|
list | ndarray
|
non-exceedance probability. |
required |
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
array |
ndarray
|
calculated return period. |
Examples:
- First generate some random numbers between 0 and 1 as a non-exceedance probability. then use this non-exceedance
to calculate the return period.
>>> import numpy as np >>> from statista.distributions import PlottingPosition >>> data = np.random.random(15) >>> rp = PlottingPosition.return_period(data) >>> print(rp) # doctest: +SKIP [ 1.33088992 4.75342173 2.46855419 1.42836548 2.75320582 2.2268505 8.06500888 10.56043917 18.28884687 1.10298241 1.2113997 1.40988022 1.02795867 1.01326322 1.05572108]
Source code in src/statista/distributions/base.py
weibul(data, return_period=False)
staticmethod
#
Weibul.
Weibul method to calculate the cumulative distribution function cdf or return period.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
data
|
list | ndarray
|
list/array of the data. |
required |
return_period
|
int
|
False to calculate the cumulative distribution function cdf or True to calculate the return period. Default=False |
False
|
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ndarray
|
cdf/T: cumulative distribution function or return period. |
Examples:
>>> data = [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10]
>>> cdf = PlottingPosition.weibul(data)
>>> print(cdf)
[0.09090909 0.18181818 0.27272727 0.36363636 0.45454545 0.54545455
0.63636364 0.72727273 0.81818182 0.90909091]
Source code in src/statista/distributions/base.py
statista.distributions.Gumbel
#
Bases: AbstractDistribution
Gumbel distribution (Maximum - Right Skewed) for extreme value analysis.
The Gumbel distribution is used to model the distribution of the maximum (or the minimum) of a number of samples of various distributions. It is commonly used in hydrology, meteorology, and other fields to model extreme events like floods, rainfall, and wind speeds.
The Gumbel distribution is a special case of the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution with shape parameter ξ = 0.
Attributes:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
_data |
ndarray
|
The data array used for distribution calculations. |
_parameters |
Parameters
|
Distribution parameters (loc and scale). |
-
The probability density function (PDF) of the Gumbel distribution is:
\[ f(x; \zeta, \delta) = \frac{1}{\delta} \exp\left(-\frac{x - \zeta}{\delta}\right) \exp\left(-\exp\left(-\frac{x - \zeta}{\delta}\right)\right) \]Where \(\zeta\) (zeta) is the location parameter and \(\delta\) (delta) is the scale parameter.
-
The cumulative distribution function (CDF) is:
\[ F(x; \zeta, \delta) = \exp\left(-\exp\left(-\frac{x - \zeta}{\delta}\right)\right) \] -
The location parameter \(\zeta\) shifts the distribution along the x-axis, determining the mode (peak) of the distribution. It can range from negative to positive infinity.
- The scale parameter \(\delta\) controls the spread of the distribution. A larger scale parameter results in a wider distribution. It must always be positive.
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
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__init__(data=None, parameters=None)
#
Initialize a Gumbel distribution with data or parameters.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
data
|
list | ndarray | None
|
Data time series as a list or numpy array. |
None
|
parameters
|
Parameters | dict[str, float] | None
|
None
|
Raises:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ValueError
|
If neither data nor parameters are provided. |
TypeError
|
If data is not a list or numpy array, or if parameters is not a dictionary. |
Examples:
- Import necessary libraries
- Load sample data:
- Initialize with data only
- Initialize with both data and parameters
- Initialize with parameters only
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
pdf(plot_figure=False, parameters=None, data=None, *args, **kwargs)
#
Calculate the probability density function (PDF) values for Gumbel distribution.
This method calculates the PDF values for the given data using the specified Gumbel distribution parameters. It can also generate a plot of the PDF.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
plot_figure
|
bool
|
Whether to generate a plot of the PDF. Default is False. |
False
|
parameters
|
Parameters | dict[str, float] | None
|
|
None
|
data
|
list[float] | ndarray | None
|
Data points for which to calculate PDF values. If None, uses the data provided during initialization. |
None
|
*args
|
Any
|
Variable length argument list to pass to the parent class method. |
()
|
**kwargs
|
Any
|
Arbitrary keyword arguments to pass to the plotting function. the possible keyword arguments are: - fig_size: Size of the figure as a tuple (width, height). Default is (6, 5). - xlabel: Label for the x-axis. Default is "Actual data". - ylabel: Label for the y-axis. Default is "pdf". - fontsize: Font size for plot labels. Default is 15. |
{}
|
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ndarray | tuple[ndarray, Figure, Any]
|
If plot_figure is False: Numpy array containing the PDF values for each data point. |
ndarray | tuple[ndarray, Figure, Any]
|
If plot_figure is True: Tuple containing: - Numpy array of PDF values - Figure object - Axes object |
Examples:
- Import libraries:
- Load sample data:
- Calculate PDF values with default parameters:
-
Generate a PDF plot:
>>> pdf_values, fig, ax = gumbel_dist.pdf( ... plot_figure=True, ... xlabel="Values", ... ylabel="Density", ... fig_size=(8, 6) ... ) # doctest: +SKIP
-
Calculate PDF with custom parameters:
>>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1) >>> pdf_custom = gumbel_dist.pdf(parameters=parameters) >>> print(pdf_custom) #doctest: +SKIP array([5.44630532e-02, 1.55313724e-01, 3.29857975e-01, 7.01082330e-02, 3.54572987e-01, 1.46804327e-01, 3.36843753e-01, 1.01491310e-01, 2.38861650e-01, 3.42034071e-01, 2.59606975e-01, 3.33403275e-01, 3.52075676e-01, 1.24617619e-01, 6.37994991e-02, 3.67871923e-01, ... 2.12529308e-01, 3.13383427e-01, 3.62783762e-01, 4.09957082e-02, 2.61395400e-01, 2.58511435e-01, 1.94640967e-01, 3.37392659e-01])
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
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random(size, parameters=None)
#
Generate random samples from the Gumbel distribution.
This method generates random samples following the Gumbel distribution with the specified parameters.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
size
|
int
|
Number of random samples to generate. |
required |
parameters
|
Parameters | dict[str, float] | None
|
|
None
|
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
tuple[ndarray, Figure, Any] | ndarray
|
Numpy array containing the generated random samples. |
Raises:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ValueError
|
If the parameters are not provided and not available from initialization. |
Examples:
- import the required modules and generate random samples:
-
Analyze the generated data:
-
Plot the PDF of the random data:
-
Plot the CDF of the random data:
-
-
Verify the parameters by fitting the model to the random data
>>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data=random_data) >>> fitted_params = gumbel_dist.fit_model() #doctest: +SKIP -----KS Test-------- Statistic = 0.018 Accept Hypothesis P value = 0.9969602438295625 >>> print(f"Fitted parameters: {fitted_params}") #doctest: +SKIP Fitted parameters: Parameters(loc=np.float64(-0.010212105435018243), scale=1.010287499893525) - Should be close to the original parameters Parameters(loc=0, scale=1) ```
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
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cdf(plot_figure=False, parameters=None, data=None, *args, **kwargs)
#
Calculate the cumulative distribution function (CDF) values for Gumbel distribution.
This method calculates the CDF values for the given data using the specified Gumbel distribution parameters. It can also generate a plot of the CDF.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
plot_figure
|
bool
|
Whether to generate a plot of the CDF. Default is False. |
False
|
parameters
|
Parameters | dict[str, float] | None
|
None
|
|
data
|
list[float] | ndarray | None
|
Data points for which to calculate CDF values. If None, uses the data provided during initialization. |
None
|
*args
|
Any
|
Variable length argument list to pass to the parent class method. |
()
|
**kwargs
|
Any
|
|
{}
|
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ndarray | tuple[ndarray, Figure, Axes]
|
If plot_figure is False: Numpy array containing the CDF values for each data point. |
ndarray | tuple[ndarray, Figure, Axes]
|
If plot_figure is True: Tuple containing: - Numpy array of CDF values - Figure object - Axes object |
Examples:
- Load sample data:
- Calculate CDF values with default parameters:
-
Generate a CDF plot:
>>> cdf_values, fig, ax = gumbel_dist.cdf( ... plot_figure=True, ... xlabel="Values", ... ylabel="Probability", ... fig_size=(8, 6) ... ) # doctest: +SKIP
-
Calculate CDF with custom parameters:
- Calculate exceedance probability (1-CDF): ```
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
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return_period(*, data=None, parameters=None)
#
Calculate return periods for given data values.
The return period is the average time between events of a given magnitude. It is calculated as 1/(1-F(x)), where F(x) is the cumulative distribution function.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
data
|
bool | list[float] | None
|
Values for which to calculate return periods. Can be a single value, list, or array. If None, uses the data provided during initialization. |
None
|
parameters
|
Parameters | dict[str, float] | None
|
None
|
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ndarray
|
np.ndarray: Return periods corresponding to the input data values. - If input is a single value, returns a single value. - If input is a list or array, returns an array of return periods. |
Examples:
- Import necessary libraries:
- Calculate return periods for specific values
- Calculate the 100-year return level:
- First, find the CDF value corresponding to a 100-year return period
- F(x) = 1 - 1/T, where T is the return period
- Then, find the quantile corresponding to this CDF value:
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
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truncated_distribution(opt_parameters, data)
staticmethod
#
Calculate a negative log-likelihood for a truncated Gumbel distribution.
This function calculates the negative log-likelihood of a Gumbel distribution that is truncated (i.e., the data only includes values above a certain threshold). It is used as an objective function for parameter optimization when fitting a truncated Gumbel distribution to data.
This approach is useful when the dataset is incomplete or when data is only available above a certain threshold, a common scenario in environmental sciences, finance, and other fields dealing with extremes.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
opt_parameters
|
list[float]
|
List of parameters to optimize: - opt_parameters[0]: Threshold value - opt_parameters[1]: Location parameter (loc) - opt_parameters[2]: Scale parameter (scale) |
required |
data
|
list[float]
|
Data points to fit the truncated distribution to. |
required |
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
float
|
Negative log-likelihood value. Lower values indicate better fit. |
Notes
The negative log-likelihood is calculated as the sum of two components: - L1: Log-likelihood for values below the threshold - L2: Log-likelihood for values above the threshold
Reference
https://stackoverflow.com/questions/23217484/how-to-find-parameters-of-gumbels-distribution-using-scipy-optimize
Examples:
- import the required modules and generate sample data:
- Initial parameter guess [threshold, loc, scale]:
- Optimize parameters:
- Extract optimized parameters:
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
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fit_model(method='mle', obj_func=None, threshold=None, test=True)
#
Estimate the parameters of the Gumbel distribution from data.
This method fits the Gumbel distribution to the data using various estimation methods, including Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), Method of Moments (MM), L-moments, or custom optimization.
When using the 'optimization' method with a threshold, the method employs two likelihood functions: - L1: For values below the threshold - L2: For values above the threshold
The parameters are estimated by maximizing the product L1*L2.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
method
|
str
|
Estimation method to use. Default is 'mle'. Options: - 'mle' (Maximum Likelihood Estimation), - 'mm' (Method of Moments), - 'lmoments' (L-moments), - 'optimization' (Custom optimization) |
'mle'
|
obj_func
|
callable | None
|
Custom objective function to use for parameter estimation. Only used when method is 'optimization'. Default is None. |
None
|
threshold
|
float | int | None
|
Value above which to consider data points. If provided, only data points above this threshold are used for estimation when using the 'optimization' method. Default is None (use all data points). |
None
|
test
|
bool
|
Whether to perform goodness-of-fit tests after estimation. Default is True. |
True
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
Parameters |
Parameters
|
Raises:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ValueError
|
If an invalid method is specified or if required parameters are missing. |
Examples:
- Import necessary libraries:
- Load sample data:
- Fit using Maximum Likelihood Estimation (default):
- Fit using L-moments:
- Fit using optimization with a threshold:
>>> threshold = np.quantile(data, 0.80) >>> print(threshold) 1.5717000000000005 >>> parameters = gumbel_dist.fit_model( ... method="optimization", ... obj_func=Gumbel.truncated_distribution, ... threshold=threshold ... ) Optimization terminated successfully. Current function value: 0.000000 Iterations: 39 Function evaluations: 116 -----KS Test-------- Statistic = 0.107 reject Hypothesis P value = 2.0977827855404345e-05
Note: When P value is less than the significance level, we reject the null hypothesis,#
but in this case we're fitting the distribution to part of the data, not the whole data.#
```
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
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inverse_cdf(cdf=None, parameters=None)
#
Calculate the inverse of the cumulative distribution function (quantile function).
This method calculates the theoretical values (quantiles) corresponding to the given CDF values using the specified Gumbel distribution parameters.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
cdf
|
ndarray | list[float] | None
|
CDF values (non-exceedance probabilities) for which to calculate the quantiles. Values should be between 0 and 1. |
None
|
parameters
|
Parameters
|
If None, uses the parameters provided during initialization.
- loc (Numeric):
Location parameter of the Gumbel distribution
- scale (Numeric):
Scale parameter of the Gumbel distribution (must be positive)
|
None
|
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ndarray
|
Numpy array containing the quantile values corresponding to the given CDF values. |
Raises:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ValueError
|
If any CDF value is less than or equal to 0 or greater than 1. |
Examples:
- Load sample data and initialize distribution:
-
Calculate quantiles for specific probabilities:
-
Calculate return levels for specific return periods:
>>> return_periods = [10, 50, 100] >>> probs = 1 - 1/np.array(return_periods) >>> return_levels = gumbel_dist.inverse_cdf(probs) >>> print(f"10-year return level: {return_levels[0]:.2f}") 10-year return level: 2.25 >>> print(f"50-year return level: {return_levels[1]:.2f}") 50-year return level: 3.90 >>> print(f"100-year return level: {return_levels[2]:.2f}") 100-year return level: 4.60
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
ks()
#
Perform the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test for goodness of fit.
This method tests whether the data follows the fitted Gumbel distribution using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. The test compares the empirical CDF of the data with the theoretical CDF of the fitted distribution.
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
Tuple |
GoodnessOfFitResult
|
|
Raises:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ValueError
|
If the distribution parameters have not been estimated. |
Examples:
- Import necessary libraries and initialize the Gumbel distribution:
- Perform KS test:
>>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt") >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data) >>> gumbel_dist.fit_model() -----KS Test-------- Statistic = 0.019 Accept Hypothesis P value = 0.9937026761524456 Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108) >>> d_stat, p_value = gumbel_dist.ks() -----KS Test-------- Statistic = 0.019 Accept Hypothesis P value = 0.9937026761524456 - Interpret the results:
>>> alpha = 0.05 >>> if p_value < alpha: ... print(f"Reject the null hypothesis (p-value: {p_value:.4f} < {alpha})") ... print("The data does not follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.") ... else: ... print(f"Cannot reject the null hypothesis (p-value: {p_value:.4f} >= {alpha})") ... print("The data may follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.") Cannot reject the null hypothesis (p-value: 0.9937 >= 0.05) The data may follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
chisquare()
#
Perform the Chi-square test for goodness of fit.
This method tests whether the data follows the fitted Gumbel distribution using the Chi-square test. The test compares the observed frequencies with the expected frequencies under the fitted distribution.
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
Tuple |
GoodnessOfFitResult
|
|
Raises:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ValueError
|
If the distribution parameters have not been estimated. |
Examples:
- Perform Chi-square test:
>>> import numpy as np >>> from statista.distributions import Gumbel >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gumbel.txt") >>> gumbel_dist = Gumbel(data) >>> gumbel_dist.fit_model() -----KS Test-------- Statistic = 0.019 Accept Hypothesis P value = 0.9937026761524456 Parameters(loc=np.float64(0.010101355750222706), scale=1.0313042643102108) >>> gumbel_dist.chisquare() #doctest: +SKIP - Interpret the results:
>>> alpha = 0.05 >>> if p_value < alpha: #doctest: +SKIP ... print(f"Reject the null hypothesis (p-value: {p_value:.4f} < {alpha})") ... print("The data does not follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.") >>> else: #doctest: +SKIP ... print(f"Cannot reject the null hypothesis (p-value: {p_value:.4f} >= {alpha})") ... print("The data may follow the fitted Gumbel distribution.")
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
confidence_interval(alpha=0.1, prob_non_exceed=None, parameters=None, plot_figure=False, **kwargs)
#
Calculate confidence intervals for the Gumbel distribution quantiles.
This method calculates the upper and lower bounds of the confidence interval for the quantiles of the Gumbel distribution. It can also generate a plot of the confidence intervals.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
alpha
|
float
|
Significance level for the confidence interval. Default is 0.1 (90% confidence interval). |
0.1
|
prob_non_exceed
|
ndarray
|
Non-exceedance probabilities for which to calculate quantiles. If None, uses the empirical CDF calculated using Weibull plotting positions. |
None
|
parameters
|
Parameters
|
None
|
|
plot_figure
|
bool
|
Whether to generate a plot of the confidence intervals. Default is False. |
False
|
**kwargs
|
Any
|
Additional keyword arguments to pass to the plotting function. - fig_size: Size of the figure as a tuple (width, height). Default is (6, 6). - fontsize: Font size for plot labels. Default is 11. - marker_size: Size of markers in the plot. |
{}
|
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
tuple[ndarray, ndarray] | tuple[ndarray, ndarray, Figure, Axes]
|
If plot_figure is False: Tuple containing: - Numpy array of upper bound values - Numpy array of lower bound values |
tuple[ndarray, ndarray] | tuple[ndarray, ndarray, Figure, Axes]
|
If plot_figure is True: Tuple containing: - Numpy array of upper bound values - Numpy array of lower bound values - Figure object - Axes object |
Raises:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ValueError
|
If the scale parameter is negative or zero. |
Examples:
- Load data and initialize distribution:
- Calculate confidence intervals
- Generate a confidence interval plot:
>>> upper, lower, fig, ax = gumbel_dist.confidence_interval( ... alpha=0.1, ... plot_figure=True, ... marker_size=10 ... ) >>> plt.show()
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
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plot(fig_size=(10, 5), xlabel=PDF_XAXIS_LABEL, ylabel='cdf', fontsize=15, cdf=None, parameters=None)
#
Probability plot.
Probability Plot method calculates the theoretical values based on the Gumbel distribution parameters, theoretical cdf (or weibul), and calculates the confidence interval.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
fig_size
|
tuple[float, float]
|
tuple, Default is (10, 5). Size of the figure. |
(10, 5)
|
cdf
|
ndarray | list | None
|
[np.ndarray] theoretical cdf calculated using weibul or using the distribution cdf function. |
None
|
fig_size
|
tuple[float, float]
|
[tuple] Default is (10, 5) |
(10, 5)
|
xlabel
|
str
|
[str] Default is "Actual data" |
PDF_XAXIS_LABEL
|
ylabel
|
str
|
[str] Default is "cdf" |
'cdf'
|
fontsize
|
int
|
[float] Default is 15. |
15
|
parameters
|
Parameters | dict[str, float] | None
|
Parameters Parameters(loc=val, scale=val) - loc: [numeric] location parameter of the gumbel distribution. - scale: [numeric] scale parameter of the gumbel distribution. |
None
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
Figure |
Figure
|
matplotlib figure object |
tuple[Axes, Axes]
|
tuple[Axes, Axes]: matplotlib plot axes |
Examples:
- Instantiate the Gumbel class with the data and the parameters:
- To calculate the confidence interval, we need to provide the confidence level (
alpha).>>> fig, ax = gumbel_dist.plot() >>> print(fig) Figure(1000x500) >>> print(ax) (<Axes: xlabel='Actual data', ylabel='pdf'>, <Axes: xlabel='Actual data', ylabel='cdf'>)
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gumbel.py
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statista.distributions.GEV
#
Bases: AbstractDistribution
GEV (Generalized Extreme value statistics)
- The Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution is used to model the largest or smallest value among a large set of independent, identically distributed random values.
-
The GEV distribution encompasses three types of distributions: Gumbel, Fréchet, and Weibull, which are distinguished by a shape parameter (\(\\xi\) (xi)).
-
The probability density function (PDF) of the Generalized-extreme-value distribution is:
\[ f(x; \\zeta, \\delta, \\xi)=\\frac{1}{\\delta}\\mathrm{*}{\\mathrm{Q(x)}}^{\\xi+1}\\mathrm{ *} e^{\\mathrm{-Q(x)}} \]\[ Q(x; \\zeta, \\delta, \\xi)= \\begin{cases} \\left(1+ \\xi \\left(\\frac{x-\\zeta}{\\delta} \\right) \\right)^\\frac{-1}{\\xi} & \\quad\\land\\xi\\neq 0 \\\\ e^{- \\left(\\frac{x-\\zeta}{\\delta} \\right)} & \\quad \\land \\xi=0 \\end{cases} \]Where the \(\\delta\) (delta) is the scale parameter, \(\\zeta\) (zeta) is the location parameter, and \(\\xi\) (xi) is the shape parameter.
-
The location parameter \(\\zeta\) shifts the distribution along the x-axis. It essentially determines the mode (peak) of the distribution and its location. Changing the location parameter moves the distribution left or right without altering its shape. The location parameter ranges from negative infinity to positive infinity.
- The scale parameter \(\\delta\) controls the spread or dispersion of the distribution. A larger scale parameter results in a wider distribution, while a smaller scale parameter results in a narrower distribution. It must always be positive.
-
The shape parameter \(\\xi\) (xi) determines the shape of the distribution. The shape parameter can be positive, negative, or zero. The shape parameter is used to classify the GEV distribution into three types: \(\\xi = 0\) Gumbel (Type I), \(\\xi > 0\) Fréchet (Type II), and \(\\xi < 0\) Weibull (Type III). The shape parameter determines the tail behavior of the distribution.
In hydrology, the distribution is reparametrized with \(k=-\\xi\) (xi) (El Adlouni et al., 2008).
-
The cumulative distribution function (CDF) is:
\[ F(x; \\zeta, \\delta, \\xi)= \\begin{cases} \\exp\\left(- \\left(1+ \\xi \\left(\\frac{x-\\zeta}{\\delta} \\right) \\right)^\\frac{-1}{\\xi} \\right) & \\quad\\land\\xi\\neq 0 \\land 1 + \\xi \\left( \\frac{x-\\zeta}{\\delta}\\right) > 0 \\\\ \\exp\\left(- \\exp\\left(- \\frac{x-\\zeta}{\\delta} \\right) \\right) & \\quad \\land \\xi=0 \\end{cases} \]
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
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__init__(data=None, parameters=None)
#
GEV.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
data
|
list | ndarray | None
|
[list] data time series. |
None
|
parameters
|
Parameters | dict[str, float] | None
|
Parameters Distribution parameters instance.
|
None
|
Examples:
- First load the sample data.
- I nstantiate the Gumbel class only with the data.
- You can also instantiate the Gumbel class with the data and the parameters if you already have them.
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
pdf(plot_figure=False, parameters=None, data=None, *args, **kwargs)
#
pdf.
Returns the value of GEV's pdf with parameters loc and scale at x.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
parameters
|
Parameters | dict[str, float] | None
|
Parameters, optional, default is None. if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used.
|
None
|
data
|
list[float] | ndarray | None
|
np.ndarray, default is None. array if you want to calculate the pdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor method. |
None
|
plot_figure
|
bool
|
[bool] Default is False. |
False
|
kwargs
|
Any
|
fig_size: [tuple] Default is (6, 5). xlabel: [str] Default is "Actual data". ylabel: [str] Default is "pdf". fontsize: [int] Default is 15 |
{}
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
pdf |
tuple[ndarray, Figure, Any] | ndarray
|
[np.ndarray] probability density function pdf. |
fig |
tuple[ndarray, Figure, Any] | ndarray
|
matplotlib.figure.Figure, if |
ax |
tuple[ndarray, Figure, Any] | ndarray
|
matplotlib.axes.Axes, if |
Examples:
- To calculate the pdf of the GEV distribution, we need to provide the parameters.
>>> import numpy as np >>> from statista.distributions import GEV >>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt") >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1) >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters) >>> _ = gev_dist.pdf(plot_figure=True)
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
random(size, parameters=None)
#
Generate Random Variable.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
size
|
int
|
int size of the random generated sample. |
required |
parameters
|
Parameters | dict[str, float] | None
|
Parameters Distribution parameters instance.
|
None
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
data |
tuple[ndarray, Figure, Any] | ndarray
|
[np.ndarray] random generated data. |
Examples:
- To generate a random sample that follow the gumbel distribution with the parameters loc=0 and scale=1.
- then we can use the
pdfmethod to plot the pdf of the random data.

Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
cdf(plot_figure=False, parameters=None, data=None, *args, **kwargs)
#
cdf.
cdf calculates the value of Gumbel's cdf with parameters loc and scale at x.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
parameters
|
Parameters | dict[str, float] | None
|
Parameters, optional, default is None. if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used.
|
None
|
data
|
list[float] | ndarray | None
|
np.ndarray, default is None. array if you want to calculate the cdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor method. |
None
|
plot_figure
|
bool
|
[bool] Default is False. |
False
|
kwargs
|
Any
|
fig_size: [tuple] Default is (6, 5). xlabel: [str] Default is "Actual data". ylabel: [str] Default is "cdf". fontsize: [int] Default is 15. |
{}
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
cdf |
tuple[ndarray, Figure, Axes] | ndarray
|
[array] cumulative distribution function cdf. |
fig |
tuple[ndarray, Figure, Axes] | ndarray
|
matplotlib.figure.Figure, if |
ax |
tuple[ndarray, Figure, Axes] | ndarray
|
matplotlib.axes.Axes, if |
Examples:
- To calculate the cdf of the GEV distribution, we need to provide the parameters.
>>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/gev.txt") >>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=1, shape=0.1) >>> gev_dist = GEV(data, parameters) >>> _ = gev_dist.cdf(plot_figure=True)
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
return_period(*, data=None, parameters=None)
#
return_period.
calculate return period calculates the return period for a list/array of values or a single value.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
data
|
list / array / float
|
value you want the coresponding return value for |
None
|
parameters
|
Parameters
|
Distribution parameters instance.
|
None
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
float |
ndarray
|
return period |
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
fit_model(method='mle', obj_func=None, threshold=None, test=True)
#
Fit model.
fit_model estimates the distribution parameter based on MLM (Maximum likelihood method), if an objective function is entered as an input
There are two likelihood functions (L1 and L2), one for values above some threshold (x>=C) and one for the values below (x < C), now the likeliest parameters are those at the max value of multiplication between two functions max(L1*L2).
In this case, the L1 is still the product of multiplication of probability density function's values at xi, but the L2 is the probability that threshold value C will be exceeded (1-F(C)).
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
obj_func
|
Callable | None
|
function to be used to get the distribution parameters. |
None
|
threshold
|
int | float | None
|
Value you want to consider only the greater values. |
None
|
method
|
str
|
'mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', optimization |
'mle'
|
test
|
bool
|
Default is True |
True
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
Parameters |
Parameters
|
Distribution parameters instance.
|
Examples:
- Instantiate the Gumbel class only with the data.
- Then use the
fit_modelmethod to estimate the distribution parameters. the method takes the method as parameter, the default is 'mle'. thetestparameter is used to perform the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and chisquare test. - You can also use the
lmomentsmethod to estimate the distribution parameters. - You can also use the
fit_modelmethod to estimate the distribution parameters using the 'optimization' method. the optimization method requires theobj_funcandthresholdparameter. the method will take thethresholdnumber and try to fit the data values that are greater than the threshold.
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
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inverse_cdf(cdf=None, parameters=None)
#
Theoretical Estimate.
Theoretical Estimate method calculates the theoretical values based on a given non-exceedance probability
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
parameters
|
Parameters | dict[str, float] | None
|
Parameters Distribution parameters instance. |
None
|
cdf
|
ndarray | list[float] | None
|
[list] cumulative distribution function/ Non-Exceedance probability. |
None
|
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ndarray
|
theoretical value: [numeric] Value based on the theoretical distribution |
Examples:
- Instantiate the Gumbel class only with the data.
- We will generate a random numbers between 0 and 1 and pass it to the inverse_cdf method as a probabilities to get the data that coresponds to these probabilities based on the distribution.
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
ks()
#
Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test.
The smaller the D statistic, the more likely that the two samples are drawn from the
same distribution. If p_value < alpha — reject the null hypothesis.
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
GoodnessOfFitResult
|
GoodnessOfFitResult with |
GoodnessOfFitResult
|
|
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
chisquare()
#
Chi-square goodness-of-fit test.
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
GoodnessOfFitResult
|
GoodnessOfFitResult with |
confidence_interval(alpha=0.1, plot_figure=False, prob_non_exceed=None, parameters=None, state_function=None, n_samples=100, method='lmoments', **kwargs)
#
confidence_interval.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
parameters
|
Parameters | dict[str, float] | None
|
Parameters, optional, default is None. if not provided, the parameters provided in the class initialization will be used.
|
None
|
prob_non_exceed
|
ndarray
|
[list] Non-Exceedance probability |
None
|
alpha
|
float
|
[numeric] alpha or SignificanceLevel is a value of the confidence interval. |
0.1
|
state_function
|
Callable | None
|
callable, Default is GEV.ci_func function to calculate the confidence interval. |
None
|
n_samples
|
int
|
[int] number of samples generated by the bootstrap method Default is 100. |
100
|
method
|
str
|
[str] method used to fit the generated samples from the bootstrap method ["lmoments", "mle", "mm"]. Default is "lmoments". |
'lmoments'
|
plot_figure
|
bool
|
bool, optional, default is False. to plot the confidence interval. |
False
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
q_upper |
tuple[ndarray, ndarray] | tuple[ndarray, ndarray, Figure, Axes]
|
[list] upper-bound coresponding to the confidence interval. |
q_lower |
tuple[ndarray, ndarray] | tuple[ndarray, ndarray, Figure, Axes]
|
[list] lower-bound coresponding to the confidence interval. |
fig |
tuple[ndarray, ndarray] | tuple[ndarray, ndarray, Figure, Axes]
|
matplotlib.figure.Figure Figure object. |
ax |
tuple[ndarray, ndarray] | tuple[ndarray, ndarray, Figure, Axes]
|
matplotlib.axes.Axes Axes object. |
Examples:
- Instantiate the GEV class with the data and the parameters.
- to calculate the confidence interval, we need to provide the confidence level (
alpha). - You can also plot confidence intervals
>>> upper, lower, fig, ax = gev_dist.confidence_interval(alpha=0.1, plot_figure=True, marker_size=10)
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
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plot(fig_size=(10, 5), xlabel=PDF_XAXIS_LABEL, ylabel='cdf', fontsize=15, cdf=None, parameters=None)
#
Probability Plot.
Probability Plot method calculates the theoretical values based on the Gumbel distribution parameters, theoretical cdf (or weibul), and calculates the confidence interval.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
parameters
|
Parameters
|
Distribution parameters instance.
|
None
|
cdf
|
list
|
Theoretical cdf calculated using weibul or using the distribution cdf function. |
None
|
fontsize
|
numeric
|
Font size of the axis labels and legend |
15
|
ylabel
|
str
|
y label string |
'cdf'
|
xlabel
|
str
|
X label string |
PDF_XAXIS_LABEL
|
fig_size
|
int
|
size of the pdf and cdf figure |
(10, 5)
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
Figure |
Figure
|
matplotlib figure object |
tuple[Axes, Axes]
|
tuple[Axes, Axes]: matplotlib plot axes |
Examples:
- Instantiate the Gumbel class with the data and the parameters.
- to calculate the confidence interval, we need to provide the confidence level (
alpha).>>> fig, ax = gev_dist.plot() >>> print(fig) Figure(1000x500) >>> print(ax) (<Axes: xlabel='Actual data', ylabel='pdf'>, <Axes: xlabel='Actual data', ylabel='cdf'>)
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
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ci_func(data, **kwargs)
staticmethod
#
GEV distribution function.
Parameters#
data: [list, np.ndarray] time series kwargs (dict[str, Any]): gevfit: Parameters GEV distribution parameters instance. F: [list] Non-Exceedance probability method: [str] method used to fit the generated samples from the bootstrap method ["lmoments", "mle", "mm"]. Default is "lmoments".
Source code in src/statista/distributions/gev.py
statista.distributions.Exponential
#
Bases: AbstractDistribution
Exponential distribution.
-
The exponential distribution assumes that small values occur more frequently than large values.
-
The probability density function (PDF) of the Exponential distribution is:
\[ f(x; \delta, \beta) = \begin{cases} \frac{1}{\beta} e^{-\frac{x - \delta}{\beta}} & \quad x \geq \delta \\ 0 & \quad x < \delta \end{cases} \] -
The probability density function above uses the location parameter \(\delta\) and the scale parameter \(\beta\) to define the distribution in a standardized form.
- A common parameterization for the exponential distribution is in terms of the rate parameter \(\lambda\), such that \(\lambda = 1 / \beta\).
- The Location Parameter (\(\delta\)): This shifts the starting point of the distribution. The distribution is defined for \(x \geq \delta\).
-
Scale Parameter (\(\beta\)): This determines the spread of the distribution. The rate parameter \(\lambda\) is the inverse of the scale parameter, so \(\lambda = \frac{1}{\beta}\).
-
The cumulative distribution functions.
\[ F(x; \delta, \beta) = \begin{cases} 1 - e^{-\frac{x - \delta}{\beta}} & \quad x \geq \delta \\ 0 & \quad x < \delta \end{cases} \]
Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
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__init__(data=None, parameters=None)
#
Exponential Distribution.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
data
|
list
|
data time series. |
None
|
parameters
|
Parameters
|
Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
|
None
|
Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
pdf(plot_figure=False, parameters=None, data=None, *args, **kwargs)
#
pdf.
Returns the value of Gumbel's pdf with parameters loc and scale at x.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
parameters
|
Parameters
|
None
|
|
data
|
ndarray
|
array if you want to calculate the pdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor method. default is None. |
None
|
plot_figure
|
bool
|
Default is False. |
False
|
kwargs
|
dict[str, Any]
|
fig_size(tuple): Default is (6, 5). xlabel (str): Default is "Actual data". ylabel (str): Default is "pdf". fontsize (int): Default is 15 |
{}
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
pdf |
array
|
probability density function pdf. |
fig |
Figure
|
Figure object. returned only if |
ax |
Axes
|
Axes object. returned only if |
Examples:
>>> import numpy as np
>>> from statista.distributions import Exponential
>>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/expo.txt")
>>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)
>>> expo_dist = Exponential(data, parameters)
>>> _ = expo_dist.pdf(plot_figure=True)
Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
random(size, parameters=None)
#
Generate Random Variable.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
size
|
int
|
size of the random generated sample. |
required |
parameters
|
Parameters
|
None
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
data |
ndarray
|
random generated data. |
Examples:
- To generate a random sample that follow the gumbel distribution with the parameters loc=0 and scale=1.
-
then we can use the
pdfmethod to plot the pdf of the random data.
Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
cdf(plot_figure=False, parameters=None, data=None, *args, **kwargs)
#
cdf.
cdf calculates the value of Gumbel's cdf with parameters loc and scale at x.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
parameters
|
Parameters
|
None
|
|
data
|
ndarray
|
array if you want to calculate the cdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor method. default is None. |
None
|
plot_figure
|
bool
|
Default is False. |
False
|
kwargs
|
dict[str, Any]
|
fig_size: [tuple] Default is (6, 5). xlabel (str): Default is "Actual data". ylabel (str): Default is "cdf". fontsize (int): Default is 15. |
{}
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
cdf |
array
|
probability density function cdf. |
fig |
Figure
|
Figure object is returned only if |
ax |
Axes
|
Axes object is returned only if |
Examples:
>>> import numpy as np
>>> from statista.distributions import Exponential
>>> data = np.loadtxt("examples/data/expo.txt")
>>> parameters = Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)
>>> expo_dist = Exponential(data, parameters)
>>> _ = expo_dist.cdf(plot_figure=True)
Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
fit_model(method='mle', obj_func=None, threshold=None, test=True)
#
fit_model.
fit_model estimates the distribution parameter based on MLM (Maximum likelihood method), if an objective function is entered as an input
There are two likelihood functions (L1 and L2), one for values above some threshold (x>=C) and one for the values below (x < C), now the likeliest parameters are those at the max value of multiplication between two functions max(L1*L2).
In this case, the L1 is still the product of multiplication of probability density function's values at xi, but the L2 is the probability that threshold value C will be exceeded (1-F(C)).
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
obj_func
|
function
|
function to be used to get the distribution parameters. |
None
|
threshold
|
numeric
|
Value you want to consider only the greater values. |
None
|
method
|
str
|
'mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', optimization |
'mle'
|
test
|
bool
|
Default is True |
True
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
param |
list
|
shape, loc, scale parameter of the gumbel distribution in that order. |
Examples:
- Instantiate the
Exponentialclass only with the data. -
Then use the
fit_modelmethod to estimate the distribution parameters. the method takes the method as parameter, the default is 'mle'. thetestparameter is used to perform the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and chisquare test.- You can also use the>>> parameters = expo_dist.fit_model(method="mle", test=True) # doctest: +SKIP -----KS Test-------- Statistic = 0.019 Accept Hypothesis P value = 0.9937026761524456 Out[14]: Parameters(loc=0.0009, scale=2.0498075) >>> print(parameters) # doctest: +SKIP Parameters(loc=0, scale=2)lmomentsmethod to estimate the distribution parameters.
Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
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inverse_cdf(cdf=None, parameters=None)
#
Theoretical Estimate.
Theoretical Estimate method calculates the theoretical values based on a given non-exceedance probability
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
parameters
|
Parameters
|
None
|
|
cdf
|
list
|
cumulative distribution function/ Non-Exceedance probability. |
None
|
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
ndarray
|
theoretical value (numeric): Value based on the theoretical distribution |
Examples:
- Instantiate the Exponential class only with the data.
- We will generate a random numbers between 0 and 1 and pass it to the inverse_cdf method as a probabilities to get the data that coresponds to these probabilities based on the distribution.
Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
ks()
#
Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test.
The smaller the D statistic, the more likely that the two samples are drawn from the
same distribution. If p_value < alpha — reject the null hypothesis.
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
GoodnessOfFitResult
|
GoodnessOfFitResult with |
GoodnessOfFitResult
|
|
Source code in src/statista/distributions/exponential.py
chisquare()
#
Chi-square goodness-of-fit test.
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
GoodnessOfFitResult
|
GoodnessOfFitResult with |
statista.distributions.Normal
#
Bases: AbstractDistribution
Normal Distribution.
-
The probability density function (PDF) of the Normal distribution is:
\[ f(x; \mu, \sigma) = \frac{1}{\sigma \sqrt{2\pi}} \exp\left(-\frac{(x - \mu)^2}{2\sigma^2}\right) \]Where \(\mu\) is the location (mean) parameter and \(\sigma\) is the scale (standard deviation) parameter.
-
The cumulative distribution function (CDF) is:
\[ F(x; \mu, \sigma) = \frac{1}{2}\left[1 + \mathrm{erf} \left(\frac{x - \mu}{\sigma \sqrt{2}}\right)\right] \]
Source code in src/statista/distributions/normal.py
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__init__(data=None, parameters=None)
#
Normal.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
data
|
list
|
data time series. |
None
|
parameters
|
Parameters
|
None
|
Source code in src/statista/distributions/normal.py
pdf(plot_figure=False, parameters=None, data=None, *args, **kwargs)
#
pdf.
Returns the value of Gumbel's pdf with parameters loc and scale at x.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
parameters
|
Parameters
|
None
|
|
data
|
ndarray
|
array if you want to calculate the pdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor method. default is None. |
None
|
plot_figure
|
bool
|
Default is False. |
False
|
kwargs
|
dict[str, Any]
|
fig_size: [tuple] Default is (6, 5). xlabel: [str] Default is "Actual data". ylabel: [str] Default is "pdf". fontsize: [int] Default is 15 |
{}
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
pdf |
array
|
probability density function pdf. |
fig |
Figure
|
Figure object is returned only if |
ax |
Axes
|
Axes object is returned only if |
Source code in src/statista/distributions/normal.py
cdf(plot_figure=False, parameters=None, data=None, *args, **kwargs)
#
cdf.
cdf calculates the value of Normal distribution cdf with parameters loc and scale at x.
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
parameters
|
Parameters
|
None
|
|
data
|
ndarray
|
array if you want to calculate the pdf for different data than the time series given to the constructor method. default is None. |
None
|
plot_figure
|
bool
|
Default is False. |
False
|
kwargs
|
dict[str, Any]
|
fig_size (tuple): Default is (6, 5). xlabel (str): Default is "Actual data". ylabel (str): Default is "cdf". fontsize (int): Default is 15. |
{}
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
cdf |
array
|
probability density function cdf. |
fig |
Figure
|
Figure object is returned only if |
ax |
Axes
|
Axes object is returned only if |
Source code in src/statista/distributions/normal.py
fit_model(method='mle', obj_func=None, threshold=None, test=True)
#
fit_model.
fit_model estimates the distribution parameter based on MLM (Maximum likelihood method), if an objective function is entered as an input
There are two likelihood functions (L1 and L2), one for values above some threshold (x>=C) and one for the values below (x < C), now the likeliest parameters are those at the max value of multiplication between two functions max(L1*L2).
In this case, the L1 is still the product of multiplication of probability density function's values at xi, but the L2 is the probability that threshold value C will be exceeded (1-F(C)).
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
obj_func
|
function
|
function to be used to get the distribution parameters. |
None
|
threshold
|
numeric
|
Value you want to consider only the greater values. |
None
|
method
|
str
|
'mle', 'mm', 'lmoments', optimization |
'mle'
|
test
|
bool
|
Default is True |
True
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
parameters |
list
|
shape, loc, scale parameter of the gumbel distribution in that order. |
Source code in src/statista/distributions/normal.py
inverse_cdf(cdf=None, parameters=None)
#
Theoretical Estimate.
Theoretical Estimate method calculates the theoretical values based on a given non exceedence probability
Parameters:
| Name | Type | Description | Default |
|---|---|---|---|
parameters
|
Parameters
|
Parameters(loc=val, scale=val)
|
None
|
cdf
|
list
|
cumulative distribution function/ Non-Exceedance probability. |
None
|
Returns:
| Name | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
numeric |
ndarray
|
Value based on the theoretical distribution |
Source code in src/statista/distributions/normal.py
ks()
#
Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test.
The smaller the D statistic, the more likely that the two samples are drawn from the
same distribution. If p_value < alpha — reject the null hypothesis.
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
GoodnessOfFitResult
|
GoodnessOfFitResult with |
GoodnessOfFitResult
|
|
Source code in src/statista/distributions/normal.py
chisquare()
#
Chi-square goodness-of-fit test.
Returns:
| Type | Description |
|---|---|
GoodnessOfFitResult
|
GoodnessOfFitResult with |